Sat, Mar 17, 2012·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Ottawa Senators 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 70% of the time.
61%
9%
9%
21%
OTT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Dion PhaneufD · #3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27:13 | 0.19 | 29.3% | +2.6 |
 Carl GunnarssonD · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:08 | 0.05 | 41.2% | 0.0 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 21:51 | 0.01 | 28.6% | +16.8 |
 Phil KesselRW · #81 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 19:44 | 0.24 | 35.9% | +16.8 |
 Tim ConnollyC · #12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:28 | 0.38 | 35.1% | +22.5 |
 John-Michael LilesD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:28 | 0.00 | 27.5% | 0.0 |
 David SteckelC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:21 | 0.02 | 33.6% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 18:53 | 0.00 | 30.0% | +14.2 |
 Clarke MacArthurLW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:16 | 0.26 | 43.2% | 0.0 |
 Joey CrabbRW · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:46 | 0.01 | 39.2% | 0.0 |
 Mike KomisarekD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:59 | 0.01 | 34.9% | 0.0 |
 Luke SchennD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:31 | 0.02 | 41.4% | 0.0 |
 Matthew LombardiC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:15 | 0.25 | 17.6% | 0.0 |
 Matt FrattinRW · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:42 | 0.00 | 11.5% | 0.0 |
 Carter AshtonRW · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:57 | 0.20 | 28.0% | 0.0 |
 Mikhail GrabovskiC · #84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:58 | 0.00 | 40.3% | 0.0 |
 Jay RosehillLW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:32 | 0.00 | 2.8% | 0.0 |
 Colby ArmstrongRW · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:58 | 0.00 | 22.1% | 0.0 |
 James Reimer#34 | W | 30 | 29 | 1 | .967 | 2.69 | +1.7 | 60:00 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Erik KarlssonD · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 26:59 | 0.12 | 52.2% | 0.0 |
 Filip KubaD · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 24:34 | 0.04 | 54.2% | +0.2 |
 Jason SpezzaC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:40 | 0.02 | 24.7% | 0.0 |
 Chris PhillipsD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:00 | 0.06 | 64.4% | 0.0 |
 Milan MichalekLW · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:53 | 0.12 | 23.5% | 0.0 |
 Daniel AlfredssonRW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:19 | 0.32 | 89.8% | 0.0 |
 Sergei GoncharD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:49 | 0.02 | 84.5% | 0.0 |
 Matt GilroyD · #97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:33 | 0.00 | 73.6% | 0.0 |
 Kyle TurrisC · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:46 | 0.21 | 77.0% | 0.0 |
 Rob KlinkhammerLW · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:25 | 0.41 | 77.0% | 0.0 |
 Colin GreeningC · #14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 14:55 | 0.40 | 64.9% | +0.2 |
 Jared CowenD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:14 | 0.01 | 92.7% | 0.0 |
 Nick FolignoLW · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:49 | 0.34 | 88.8% | 0.0 |
 Erik CondraRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:32 | 0.08 | 66.8% | 0.0 |
 Zack SmithC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:12 | 0.39 | 73.0% | 0.0 |
 Jim O'BrienC · #42 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:08 | 0.00 | 92.7% | +0.2 |
 Bobby ButlerRW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:25 | 0.04 | 29.5% | 0.0 |
 Chris NeilRW · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:08 | 0.13 | 77.4% | 0.0 |
 Ben Bishop#30 | L | 18 | 15 | 3 | .833 | 1.65 | −1.3 | 58:18 |