Sat, Mar 17, 2012·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Ottawa Senators 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 70% of the time.
61%
9%
9%
21%
OTT winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| MacArthur–Kessel–Bozak | Connolly–Steckel–Crabb | Grabovski–Frattin–Ashton | Lombardi–Armstrong–Rosehill | Lombardi–Kessel–Bozak | Lombardi–Frattin–Ashton | Steckel–MacArthur–Kessel | Steckel–Crabb–Ashton | Phaneuf–Gunnarsson | Liles–Komisarek | Schenn–Gardiner | Liles–Phaneuf | Phaneuf–Gardiner | Komisarek–Gunnarsson | Liles–Gardiner | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfredsson–Klinkhammer–Turris | 2:210.02–0.01 | 0:410.41–0.00 | 3:000.02–0.03 | 1:250.23–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 2:430.47–0.00 | 2:490.18–0.01 | 3:200.09–0.03 | 1:310.03–0.06 | ||||||
| Spezza–Michalek–Greening | 0:410.00–0.10 | 4:470.06–0.26 | 0:420.02–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.03 | 5:280.04–0.26 | 1:330.02–0.10 | 0:440.02–0.00 | |||||||
| Neil–Foligno–O'Brien | 2:000.10–0.06 | 1:000.03–0.00 | 1:320.39–0.00 | 0:390.01–0.00 | 1:370.00–0.05 | 2:320.40–0.01 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Condra–Smith–Butler | 0:540.00–0.00 | 1:400.01–0.03 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 2:260.03–0.00 | 2:200.00–0.20 | |||||||||
| Spezza–Michalek–Butler | 0:580.10–0.06 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.14 | 1:200.10–0.06 | 0:380.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Greening–Condra–Smith | 1:120.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Spezza–Michalek–Foligno | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Alfredsson–Klinkhammer–O'Brien | 0:520.05–0.00 | 0:450.05–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Foligno–Turris–Butler | 0:310.02–0.01 | ||||||||||||||
| Kuba–Karlsson | 2:470.11–0.11 | 3:080.19–0.26 | 1:350.02–0.00 | 1:560.01–0.00 | 1:400.23–0.05 | 0:370.00–0.14 | 5:070.35–0.31 | 5:170.20–0.01 | 2:100.01–0.10 | 1:530.03–0.06 | 0:330.00–0.14 | ||||
| Phillips–Gilroy | 3:130.10–0.16 | 3:330.33–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.03 | 0:350.06–0.00 | 3:400.04–0.00 | 2:040.10–0.15 | 1:470.00–0.01 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 1:110.29–0.03 | ||||
| Gonchar–Cowen | 1:540.01–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 4:080.42–0.06 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:450.02–0.00 | 1:360.00–0.00 | 4:020.42–0.03 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Karlsson–Cowen | 0:570.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Kuba–Phillips | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:560.15–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Gonchar–Gilroy | 1:150.15–0.06 | ||||||||||||||
| Gonchar–Karlsson | 0:570.07–0.01 | ||||||||||||||
| Karlsson–Gilroy | 0:340.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Dion PhaneufTOR | 36 | 27:13 | 0:45 | 2:14 | 4 | 11 |
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 30 | 26:59 | 0:54 | 2:17 | 5 | 2 |
 Filip KubaOTT | 29 | 24:34 | 0:51 | 1:48 | 7 | 3 |
 Carl GunnarssonTOR | 31 | 22:08 | 0:43 | 1:57 | 1 | 8 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 29 | 21:51 | 0:45 | 1:56 | 5 | 5 |
 Jason SpezzaOTT | 25 | 20:40 | 0:50 | 1:54 | 6 | 0 |
 Phil KesselTOR | 23 | 19:44 | 0:51 | 2:22 | 5 | 2 |
 Tim ConnollyTOR | 32 | 19:28 | 0:37 | 1:17 | 1 | 5 |
 John-Michael LilesTOR | 25 | 19:28 | 0:47 | 2:15 | 2 | 4 |
 David SteckelTOR | 34 | 19:21 | 0:34 | 1:01 | 1 | 10 |
 Chris PhillipsOTT | 26 | 19:00 | 0:44 | 1:51 | 6 | 1 |
 Milan MichalekOTT | 25 | 18:53 | 0:45 | 1:15 | 8 | 0 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 23 | 18:53 | 0:49 | 2:04 | 3 | 1 |
 Daniel AlfredssonOTT | 24 | 18:19 | 0:46 | 1:28 | 5 | 0 |
 Sergei GoncharOTT | 23 | 17:49 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 4 | 1 |
 Clarke MacArthurTOR | 21 | 17:16 | 0:49 | 2:50 | 2 | 2 |
 Joey CrabbTOR | 30 | 16:46 | 0:34 | 1:01 | 1 | 6 |
 Matt GilroyOTT | 20 | 16:33 | 0:50 | 1:51 | 4 | 0 |
 Kyle TurrisOTT | 19 | 15:46 | 0:50 | 1:41 | 1 | 0 |
 Rob KlinkhammerOTT | 18 | 15:25 | 0:51 | 1:56 | 1 | 0 |
 Mike KomisarekTOR | 27 | 14:59 | 0:33 | 2:10 | 2 | 1 |
 Colin GreeningOTT | 21 | 14:55 | 0:43 | 1:54 | 5 | 0 |
 Luke SchennTOR | 23 | 14:31 | 0:38 | 1:28 | 1 | 3 |
 Jared CowenOTT | 19 | 14:14 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 2 | 3 |
 Matthew LombardiTOR | 21 | 13:15 | 0:38 | 1:46 | 2 | 3 |
 Nick FolignoOTT | 18 | 12:49 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 6 | 1 |
 Matt FrattinTOR | 18 | 12:42 | 0:42 | 1:14 | 2 | 2 |
 Erik CondraOTT | 21 | 12:32 | 0:36 | 1:05 | 2 | 3 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 22 | 12:12 | 0:33 | 1:05 | 3 | 1 |
 Jim O'BrienOTT | 19 | 12:08 | 0:38 | 1:09 | 5 | 4 |
 Carter AshtonTOR | 18 | 11:57 | 0:40 | 1:01 | 2 | 2 |
 Bobby ButlerOTT | 19 | 11:25 | 0:36 | 1:05 | 5 | 1 |
 Mikhail GrabovskiTOR | 14 | 9:58 | 0:43 | 1:28 | 3 | 3 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 10 | 8:08 | 0:49 | 1:02 | 4 | 2 |
 Jay RosehillTOR | 9 | 5:32 | 0:37 | 1:04 | 1 | 0 |
 Colby ArmstrongTOR | 9 | 4:58 | 0:33 | 1:04 | 1 | 0 |