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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 22, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Edmonton Oilers 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 52% of the time.

TBL winsEDM wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Shift data for this game has gaps, so treat the charts as approximate.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against EDM's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Hemsky–Gagner–HartikainenJones–Eberle–Nugent-HopkinsSmyth–Horcoff–OmarkBelanger–Hemsky–EagerSmyth–Eberle–Nugent-HopkinsHemsky–Jones–GagnerSmyth–Hemsky–GagnerSmid–PetrySchultz–WhitneySutton–PotterWhitney–PotterSutton–SchultzSchultz–PotterSutton–Petry
Purcell–Stamkos–Connolly2:490.05–0.003:430.13–0.161:180.00–0.111:300.00–0.081:090.00–0.255:120.06–0.193:280.07–0.111:140.00–0.25
St. Louis–Malone–Smith4:000.00–0.262:090.00–0.092:030.24–0.033:370.14–0.101:570.00–0.142:190.00–0.170:590.10–0.02
Wyman–Pyatt–Wallace1:230.00–0.051:400.41–0.003:240.00–0.120:400.00–0.061:540.12–0.053:380.28–0.120:400.00–0.00
St. Louis–Purcell–Stamkos0:510.00–0.001:430.02–0.060:450.00–0.001:040.00–0.121:300.00–0.000:390.00–0.06
Malone–Smith–Connolly0:560.00–0.020:310.00–0.020:460.00–0.02
Segal–Wyman–Pyatt0:570.00–0.010:510.00–0.010:390.16–0.00
Segal–Labrie–Stamkos0:400.00–0.001:320.00–0.00
St. Louis–Malone–Stamkos0:530.02–0.000:570.00–0.00
Brewer–Hedman7:330.00–0.282:180.00–0.030:570.04–0.000:310.00–0.005:090.00–0.395:150.02–0.052:340.04–0.100:480.00–0.02
Commodore–Aulie0:430.00–0.002:170.41–0.062:130.00–0.160:590.00–0.001:570.00–0.081:580.12–0.032:160.28–0.36
Clark–Lee1:590.00–0.131:440.07–0.090:360.00–0.001:590.00–0.091:270.07–0.131:040.00–0.001:090.16–0.000:460.00–0.00
Clark–Mikkelson1:080.02–0.001:040.00–0.060:390.00–0.001:080.02–0.00
Lee–Mikkelson1:060.06–0.040:410.00–0.000:440.06–0.040:550.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Mikkelson–Hedman1:110.00–0.010:430.00–0.060:560.00–0.060:570.00–0.04
Clark–Brewer0:430.00–0.111:030.00–0.021:010.00–0.110:360.00–0.00
Brewer–Lee0:480.00–0.020:510.00–0.080:300.00–0.001:170.00–0.020:380.00–0.08
Commodore–Mikkelson1:450.14–0.010:520.20–0.000:510.00–0.01
Mikkelson–Aulie1:430.10–0.000:420.00–0.00
Clark–Commodore1:220.02–0.091:000.02–0.00
Lee–Hedman0:300.00–0.00
Commodore–Lee
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndMalone FSmith FSt. Louis FPurcell FStamkos FConnolly FPyatt FWyman FWallace FLabrie FSegal FClark DLee DBrewer DHedman DCommodore DMikkelson DAulie DRoloson GHartikainen FHemsky FGagner FJones FEberle FNugent-Hopkins FSmyth FOmark FHorcoff FHordichuk FBelanger FEager FSmid DPetry DWhitney DSchultz DSutton DPotter DKhabibulin G
TBLEDMFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Steven StamkosTBL2925:070:521:3546
Victor HedmanTBL2724:420:551:4335
Teddy PurcellTBL2524:100:582:0054
Martin St. LouisTBL2623:440:551:4734
Ladislav SmidEDM3023:370:471:3626
Jeff PetryEDM3323:170:421:2246
Ryan WhitneyEDM3022:580:461:2841
Eric BrewerTBL2622:530:531:4314
Ales HemskyEDM2622:370:521:2510
Ryan MaloneTBL2522:340:541:3144
Nick SchultzEDM3222:150:421:2834
Jordan EberleEDM2520:470:501:5151
Shawn HorcoffEDM2419:570:501:5626
Sam GagnerEDM2319:420:511:3020
Corey PotterEDM2619:260:451:1950
Tom PyattTBL2318:450:491:3334
Ryan SmythEDM1918:200:581:3414
Brett ConnollyTBL2018:150:551:3523
Ryan JonesEDM2618:020:421:5132
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM2317:540:471:5151
Brett ClarkTBL2217:500:491:3825
Andy SuttonEDM2616:520:391:3022
Brian LeeTBL2016:420:501:3813
Trevor SmithTBL2015:440:471:2334
Teemu HartikainenEDM1915:440:501:2500
Brendan MikkelsonTBL1915:270:491:3324
JT WymanTBL2014:350:441:3314
Mike CommodoreTBL1813:260:451:2914
Linus OmarkEDM1612:330:471:2422
Keith AulieTBL1911:530:381:2902
Tim WallaceTBL1611:260:431:1011
Eric BelangerEDM1710:220:371:2235
Brandon SegalTBL97:170:491:1301
Ben EagerEDM96:540:461:1330
Pierre-Cedric LabrieTBL86:340:491:1002
Darcy HordichukEDM20:530:270:4000