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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 27, 2012·TD Garden, Boston

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Boston Bruins 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 94% of the time.

BOS winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

St. Louis–Purcell–StamkosSt. Louis–Malone–StamkosMalone–Pyatt–ConnollySmith–Purcell–StamkosSegal–Pyatt–ConnollyWyman–Wallace–LabrieSegal–Wyman–WallaceWyman–Wallace–SmithSt. Louis–Labrie–StamkosSt. Louis–Malone–PyattMalone–Wallace–PurcellMalone–Wyman–PyattPyatt–Smith–ConnollyClark–LeeBrewer–HedmanCommodore–MikkelsonLee–MikkelsonClark–HedmanCommodore–AulieBrewer–LeeMikkelson–HedmanBrewer–AulieLee–HedmanMikkelson–AulieBrewer–CommodoreLee–Aulie
Thornton–Campbell–Caron0:520.04–0.000:340.03–0.001:000.47–0.000:400.00–0.000:590.00–0.000:540.21–0.001:570.51–0.031:400.21–0.000:400.00–0.000:570.00–0.001:100.00–0.00
Bergeron–Peverley–Marchand0:430.05–0.000:540.00–0.000:390.05–0.030:460.04–0.000:380.00–0.000:480.00–0.000:430.00–0.003:180.07–0.002:100.00–0.000:480.04–0.000:390.08–0.000:350.00–0.00
Krejci–Lucic–Seguin1:320.00–0.050:540.00–0.001:290.04–0.130:360.06–0.002:040.00–0.161:540.15–0.001:070.09–0.030:340.06–0.000:540.00–0.00
Rolston–Kelly–Pouliot0:320.00–0.010:350.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:470.00–0.001:120.00–0.011:100.00–0.051:140.00–0.001:180.00–0.000:470.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:300.00–0.02
Bergeron–Marchand–Seguin0:490.00–0.000:430.03–0.00
Krejci–Lucic–Caron
Krejci–Peverley–Lucic0:410.00–0.02
Ference–Boychuk1:050.00–0.030:390.02–0.100:530.03–0.130:400.00–0.010:410.04–0.000:410.00–0.021:140.00–0.002:320.04–0.192:130.03–0.010:540.00–0.000:410.04–0.000:500.08–0.020:490.00–0.00
Chara–Seidenberg2:330.05–0.032:210.00–0.001:370.47–0.060:350.00–0.004:120.52–0.011:140.00–0.050:480.00–0.001:430.00–0.000:540.00–0.00
Zanon–McQuaid0:340.03–0.001:220.00–0.000:390.00–0.000:550.03–0.000:510.21–0.000:430.00–0.000:480.00–0.001:540.03–0.011:400.21–0.031:270.09–0.001:090.00–0.001:320.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:370.02–0.00
Chara–Boychuk0:350.00–0.000:450.02–0.00
Ference–Seidenberg0:470.11–0.00
Zanon–Boychuk0:340.00–0.00
Ference–McQuaid0:510.04–0.000:460.04–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBergeron FPeverley FMarchand FSeguin FKrejci FLucic FPouliot FKelly FRolston FThornton FCaron FCampbell FChara DBoychuk DFerence DSeidenberg DZanon DMcQuaid DThomas GMalone FWyman FStamkos FSt. Louis FPyatt FPurcell FConnolly FWallace FSmith FSegal FLabrie FBrewer DClark DLee DHedman DCommodore DMikkelson DAulie DRoloson G
BOSTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dennis SeidenbergBOS3024:530:501:4157
Steven StamkosTBL2524:450:592:0852
Zdeno CharaBOS2924:260:511:4627
Martin St. LouisTBL2523:530:572:0845
Ryan MaloneTBL2523:290:563:1346
Brett ClarkTBL2822:590:492:0655
Victor HedmanTBL2922:020:462:0625
Eric BrewerTBL3121:010:411:2818
Brian LeeTBL2620:050:461:2831
Teddy PurcellTBL2319:490:522:0851
Patrice BergeronBOS2419:040:481:4734
David KrejciBOS1819:031:041:4221
Johnny BoychukBOS2918:390:391:0341
Brad MarchandBOS2118:310:531:4731
Rich PeverleyBOS2118:050:521:4742
Milan LucicBOS1617:481:071:4222
Tom PyattTBL2517:420:421:3728
Tyler SeguinBOS1717:211:012:0341
Andrew FerenceBOS2716:480:371:0330
Brian RolstonBOS2015:100:462:0342
JT WymanTBL2014:420:441:1215
Trevor SmithTBL1813:570:471:1104
Brett ConnollyTBL1913:420:431:3713
Jordan CaronBOS1613:340:511:2501
Adam McQuaidBOS1612:520:481:3020
Greg ZanonBOS1612:350:471:3321
Gregory CampbellBOS1912:270:391:3104
Chris KellyBOS1811:170:381:0723
Brendan MikkelsonTBL1511:130:451:2012
Mike CommodoreTBL1710:500:381:0914
Benoit PouliotBOS1510:170:411:0721
Shawn ThorntonBOS118:520:481:2501
Tim WallaceTBL158:300:341:0822
Keith AulieTBL147:300:321:0921
Pierre-Cedric LabrieTBL96:140:421:2010
Brandon SegalTBL76:060:522:0600