Tue, Apr 3, 2012·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa
Carolina Hurricanes 2, Ottawa Senators 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 51% of the time.
43%
9%
8%
40%
OTT winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 24:07 | 0.06 | 53.5% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:29 | 0.06 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:17 | 0.07 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:36 | 0.05 | 67.7% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:15 | 0.26 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:56 | 0.23 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:21 | 0.18 | 24.0% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:49 | 0.08 | 65.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:42 | 0.10 | 36.7% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.16 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:00 | 0.00 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 14:43 | 0.43 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:28 | 0.45 | 67.7% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:15 | 0.02 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:32 | 0.00 | 16.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9:53 | 0.93 | 80.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:25 | 0.00 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:35 | 0.05 | 78.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 39 | 38 | 1 | .974 | 3.19 | +2.2 | 60:00 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 30:14 | 0.11 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 25:01 | 0.18 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:04 | 0.06 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:59 | 0.37 | 36.3% | +2.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:52 | 0.50 | 58.2% | +2.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 19:27 | 0.20 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.03 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:19 | 0.25 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:05 | 0.52 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16:15 | 0.43 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:52 | 0.16 | 15.2% | +2.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:43 | 0.00 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:37 | 0.05 | 29.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:06 | 0.15 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:16 | 0.00 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:24 | 0.08 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:34 | 0.04 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:26 | 0.07 | 77.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 3.12 | +1.1 | 59:11 |