Sun, Jan 27, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Philadelphia Flyers 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 60% of the time.
28%
11%
9%
51%
TBL winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:10 | 0.06 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:55 | 0.04 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:06 | 0.10 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:03 | 0.18 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:32 | 0.03 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:10 | 0.28 | 72.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:45 | 0.03 | 28.9% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:35 | 0.23 | 78.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:51 | 0.11 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:14 | 0.55 | 72.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:11 | 0.07 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:45 | 0.16 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:53 | 0.18 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:44 | 0.00 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:20 | 0.05 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:54 | 0.00 | 23.9% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:05 | 0.13 | 74.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:12 | 0.00 | 28.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 21 | 5 | .808 | 1.66 | −3.3 | 59:08 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 25:36 | 0.00 | 52.3% | +16.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:33 | 0.39 | 61.4% | +4.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:35 | 0.02 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 4 | 19:23 | 0.17 | 58.8% | +48.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 19:03 | 0.35 | 56.0% | +16.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:29 | 0.03 | 48.4% | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:39 | 0.00 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:51 | 0.17 | 44.7% | +12.1 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 14:30 | 0.15 | 52.1% | +35.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:16 | 0.07 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:09 | 0.04 | 63.9% | +4.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:03 | 0.01 | 8.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:25 | 0.01 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:57 | 0.06 | 23.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:50 | 0.06 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:36 | 0.03 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:33 | 0.03 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:32 | 0.06 | 45.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 24 | 1 | .960 | 2.22 | +1.2 | 60:00 |