Tue, Jan 29, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Florida Panthers 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 61% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:17Shot by Matthias, saved by Lindback
- P1 0:28Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Theodore
- P1 1:11Shot by St. Louis, saved by Theodore
- P1 1:46Shot by Mueller, saved by Lindback
- P1 4:50Shot by Upshall, saved by Lindback
- P1 7:14Shot by Malone, saved by Theodore
- P1 8:46Shot by Purcell, saved by Theodore
- P1 9:40Crombeen: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TBL Brewer, Hall, Carle, Crombeen, Thompson · FLA Jovanovski, Kopecky, Fleischmann, Versteeg, Ellerby
- P1 9:40Crombeen: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: TBL Brewer, Hall, Carle, Crombeen, Thompson · FLA Jovanovski, Kopecky, Fleischmann, Versteeg, Ellerby
- P1 9:40Ellerby: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: TBL Brewer, Hall, Carle, Crombeen, Thompson · FLA Jovanovski, Kopecky, Fleischmann, Versteeg, Ellerby
- P1 9:40Ellerby: Misconduct (10 min)
On ice: TBL Brewer, Hall, Carle, Crombeen, Thompson · FLA Jovanovski, Kopecky, Fleischmann, Versteeg, Ellerby
- P1 9:40Ellerby: Instigator (2 min)
On ice: TBL Brewer, Hall, Carle, Crombeen, Thompson · FLA Jovanovski, Kopecky, Fleischmann, Versteeg, Ellerby
- P1 9:40Ellerby: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)
On ice: TBL Brewer, Hall, Carle, Crombeen, Thompson · FLA Jovanovski, Kopecky, Fleischmann, Versteeg, Ellerby
- P1 9:56Shot by Upshall, saved by Lindback5v4
- P1 10:15Shot by St. Louis, saved by Theodore5v4
- P1 10:51Shot by Kopecky, saved by Lindback5v4
- P1 11:07Shot by Stamkos, saved by Theodore5v4
- P1 11:09Goal by Stamkos (St. Louis, Lecavalier)5v4+16 pts WP
On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Carle, Stamkos, Hedman · FLA Jovanovski, Weaver, Kopecky, Upshall
- P1 11:24Goal by Mueller, unassisted+19 pts WP
On ice: TBL Brewer, Lecavalier, Carle, Pouliot, Pyatt · FLA Campbell, Mueller, Kulikov, Shore, Huberdeau
- P1 12:49Goal by Conacher (Hedman)+19 pts WP
On ice: TBL Salo, Malone, Stamkos, Hedman, Conacher · FLA Kovalev, Jovanovski, Weaver, Skille, Matthias
- P1 14:20Shot by Tyrell, saved by Theodore
- P1 14:29Weaver: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TBL Pouliot, Lee, Pyatt, Aulie, Tyrell · FLA Smithson, Weaver, Upshall, Mueller, Kulikov
- P1 14:37Shot by Conacher, saved by Theodore5v4
- P1 16:07Malone: Tripping (2 min)5v4
On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Malone, Purcell, Stamkos · FLA Jovanovski, Smithson, Upshall, Kulikov
- P1 19:00Shot by Salo, saved by Theodore
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:20Shot by Hall, saved by Theodore
- P2 0:46Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Lindback
- P2 3:10Shot by Parros, saved by Lindback
- P2 3:18Goal by Pyatt (Tyrell)+13 pts WP
On ice: TBL Pouliot, Lee, Pyatt, Aulie, Tyrell · FLA Kuba, Parros, Smithson, Upshall, Kulikov
- P2 3:48Shot by Thompson, saved by Theodore
- P2 4:48Shot by Pyatt, saved by Theodore
- P2 4:55Shot by Matthias, saved by Lindback
- P2 5:33Shot by Mueller, saved by Lindback
- P2 5:51Shot by Weaver, saved by Lindback
- P2 5:55Shot by Shore, saved by Lindback
- P2 6:00Shot by Upshall, saved by Lindback
- P2 6:57Shot by Stamkos, saved by Theodore
- P2 10:17Shot by Purcell, saved by Theodore
- P2 10:38Conacher: Holding (2 min)
On ice: TBL Brewer, Lecavalier, Malone, Hedman, Conacher · FLA Kuba, Weaver, Kopecky, Fleischmann, Versteeg
- P2 11:05Shot by Kopecky, saved by Lindback4v5
- P2 12:03Shot by Kulikov, saved by Lindback4v5
- P2 13:10Shot by St. Louis, saved by Theodore
- P2 15:39Goal by Tyrell (Pyatt, Pouliot)+5 pts WP
On ice: TBL Brewer, Carle, Pouliot, Pyatt, Tyrell · FLA Jovanovski, Kuba, Kopecky, Versteeg, Huberdeau
- P2 16:34Stamkos: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Carle, Purcell, Stamkos · FLA Kovalev, Campbell, Skille, Matthias, Kulikov
- P2 17:41Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Lindback4v5
- P2 19:02Shot by Weaver, saved by Lindback
- P2 19:26Shot by Pouliot, saved by Theodore
- P2 19:34Shot by St. Louis, saved by Theodore
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:58Shot by Malone, saved by Theodore
- P3 3:22Shot by Hall, saved by Theodore
- P3 4:20Shot by Lee, saved by Theodore
- P3 4:55Shot by Hedman, saved by Theodore
- P3 6:05Pyatt: Holding (2 min)
On ice: TBL Salo, Carle, Pouliot, Pyatt, Tyrell · FLA Campbell, Mueller, Ellerby, Shore, Huberdeau
- P3 6:38Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Lindback4v5
- P3 6:39Shot by Kopecky, saved by Lindback4v5
- P3 7:35Shot by Matthias, saved by Lindback4v5
- P3 8:02Shot by Skille, saved by Lindback4v5
- P3 8:15Shot by Hedman, saved by Theodore
- P3 10:32Shot by Ellerby, saved by Lindback
- P3 10:34Upshall: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)
On ice: TBL Salo, Pouliot, Pyatt, Tyrell, Hedman · FLA Mueller, Ellerby, Kulikov, Shore, Huberdeau
- P3 11:35Shot by Campbell, saved by Lindback5v4
- P3 12:40Shot by Conacher, saved by Theodore
- P3 12:42Shot by Pouliot, saved by Theodore
- P3 12:43Kuba: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Carle, Pouliot, Hedman, Conacher · FLA Kuba, Smithson, Weaver, Fleischmann, Upshall
- P3 13:23Shot by Stamkos, saved by Theodore5v4
- P3 13:53Shot by St. Louis, saved by Theodore5v4
- P3 14:13Goal by Lecavalier (Pouliot, Conacher)5v40 pts WP
On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Carle, Pouliot, Hedman, Conacher · FLA Kopecky, Versteeg, Ellerby, Kulikov
- P3 14:13Kopecky: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v4
On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Carle, Pouliot, Hedman, Conacher · FLA Kopecky, Versteeg, Ellerby, Kulikov
- P3 14:13Kopecky: Misconduct (10 min)5v4
On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Carle, Pouliot, Hedman, Conacher · FLA Kopecky, Versteeg, Ellerby, Kulikov
- P3 14:31Goal by Fleischmann, unassisted5v40 pts WP
On ice: TBL Brewer, Carle, Pouliot, Pyatt, Tyrell · FLA Weaver, Fleischmann, Ellerby, Shore
- P3 17:23Shot by Ellerby, saved by Lindback
- P3 17:29Shot by Ellerby, saved by Lindback
- P3 18:43Shot by Stamkos, saved by Theodore
- P3 19:02Shot by Shore, saved by Lindback
- P3 19:31Shot by Carle, saved by Theodore
- P3 19:52Shot by Matthias, saved by Lindback
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final