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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 29, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Florida Panthers 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 61% of the time.

TBL winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kovalev–Skille–MatthiasKopecky–Fleischmann–VersteegMueller–Shore–HuberdeauParros–Smithson–UpshallUpshall–Skille–MatthiasSmithson–Upshall–MuellerSkille–Mueller–MatthiasKuba–CampbellWeaver–KulikovCampbell–KulikovJovanovski–EllerbyKuba–WeaverCampbell–EllerbyJovanovski–CampbellEllerby–KulikovWeaver–EllerbyJovanovski–KulikovJovanovski–WeaverKuba–Kulikov
St. Louis–Purcell–Stamkos3:170.01–0.031:100.00–0.001:530.05–0.130:300.00–0.000:570.00–0.003:040.06–0.004:270.06–0.161:220.00–0.110:560.12–0.000:350.00–0.000:570.00–0.00
Lecavalier–Malone–Conacher1:550.04–0.071:130.04–0.001:190.00–0.030:400.00–0.001:250.02–0.051:280.02–0.051:330.00–0.040:420.03–0.000:390.02–0.000:380.00–0.00
Hall–Crombeen–Thompson3:410.09–0.030:440.04–0.010:520.01–0.000:430.00–0.000:390.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:450.04–0.010:420.00–0.000:470.08–0.00
Pouliot–Pyatt–Tyrell0:450.03–0.021:340.00–0.091:190.10–0.110:360.15–0.001:200.00–0.091:130.15–0.000:410.00–0.020:320.00–0.05
St. Louis–Lecavalier–Stamkos0:490.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Brewer–Carle3:110.04–0.103:140.09–0.031:230.00–0.282:160.04–0.100:400.00–0.003:330.01–0.143:260.02–0.152:300.00–0.260:370.03–0.000:320.00–0.000:450.04–0.010:420.00–0.000:520.08–0.00
Lee–Aulie1:140.00–0.090:430.02–0.004:090.05–0.071:090.04–0.000:360.15–0.002:050.02–0.002:320.23–0.031:010.00–0.001:160.00–0.020:390.00–0.090:460.02–0.000:420.00–0.000:310.00–0.010:540.01–0.00
Salo–Hedman2:490.11–0.053:170.02–0.000:430.00–0.070:300.12–0.000:570.00–0.002:220.13–0.002:050.03–0.031:270.00–0.061:010.00–0.000:460.00–0.001:230.17–0.000:340.00–0.000:330.10–0.02
Brewer–Hedman0:350.00–0.001:170.12–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndLecavalier FMalone FConacher FPurcell FSt. Louis FStamkos FPyatt FTyrell FPouliot FHall FCrombeen FThompson FBrewer DCarle DSalo DHedman DAulie DLee DLindback GSkille FMatthias FKovalev FFleischmann FVersteeg FKopecky FHuberdeau FShore FMueller FUpshall FParros FSmithson FKuba DCampbell DEllerby DJovanovski DKulikov DWeaver DTheodore G
TBLFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brian CampbellFLA3229:440:561:5562
Matt CarleTBL2623:490:551:4024
Steven StamkosTBL2223:231:041:2952
Martin St. LouisTBL2223:021:031:2952
Dmitry KulikovFLA2722:570:511:5523
Victor HedmanTBL2822:470:491:4843
Eric BrewerTBL2322:450:593:0514
Sami SaloTBL2421:410:541:5252
Filip KubaFLA3021:360:431:2945
Mike WeaverFLA2921:280:443:2314
Teddy PurcellTBL2119:000:541:1642
Tomas KopeckyFLA2417:300:441:2932
Tomas FleischmannFLA2217:220:471:2933
Vincent LecavalierTBL2517:060:411:2073
Jonathan HuberdeauFLA2016:290:491:3031
Ryan MaloneTBL2616:180:381:1683
Kris VersteegFLA2115:160:441:2911
Peter MuellerFLA2215:140:421:3941
Jack SkilleFLA2015:120:461:2323
Shawn MatthiasFLA2014:590:451:2321
Drew ShoreFLA1914:440:471:2741
Alex KovalevFLA1814:280:481:1931
Cory ConacherTBL2113:050:371:2052
Scottie UpshallFLA1912:560:412:1031
Tom PyattTBL1812:430:421:0841
Brian LeeTBL1812:400:421:0812
Ed JovanovskiFLA1712:320:441:3921
Keith AulieTBL1712:240:441:0811
Jerred SmithsonFLA1711:370:411:4933
Adam HallTBL1811:360:391:2305
Benoit PouliotTBL1611:200:432:2240
Keaton EllerbyFLA1811:190:381:0922
Nate ThompsonTBL1810:590:371:1805
Dana TyrellTBL179:040:320:5120
B.J. CrombeenTBL128:180:421:1803
George ParrosFLA115:380:311:1620