Tue, Jan 29, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Florida Panthers 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 61% of the time.
51%
11%
9%
30%
TBL winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 29:44 | 0.03 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:57 | 0.04 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:36 | 0.00 | 27.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:28 | 0.05 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:30 | 0.55 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:22 | 0.38 | 9.9% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:29 | 0.03 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:16 | 0.15 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:14 | 0.22 | 49.0% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:12 | 0.06 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 14:59 | 0.25 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 14:44 | 0.12 | 86.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:28 | 0.09 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:56 | 0.15 | 25.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:32 | 0.00 | 8.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:37 | 0.00 | 15.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 11:19 | 0.07 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 5:38 | 0.02 | 39.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 28 | 5 | .848 | 2.76 | −2.2 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:49 | 0.01 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 23:23 | 0.68 | 67.5% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23:02 | 0.27 | 57.3% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:47 | 0.16 | 79.9% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:45 | 0.00 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:41 | 0.07 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:00 | 0.07 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 17:06 | 0.21 | 59.7% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:18 | 0.04 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 13:05 | 0.32 | 79.5% | +19.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12:43 | 0.13 | 47.7% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:40 | 0.02 | 67.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:24 | 0.00 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:36 | 0.05 | 82.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:20 | 0.36 | 58.0% | +5.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:59 | 0.10 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 9:04 | 0.26 | 55.8% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:18 | 0.00 | 88.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 2.20 | +0.2 | 60:00 |