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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 31, 2013·TD Garden, Boston

Buffalo Sabres 7, Boston Bruins 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 62% of the time.

BOS winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Pominville–Vanek–HodgsonOtt–Stafford–EnnisHecht–Foligno–GrigorenkoEllis–Gerbe–ScottHecht–Ellis–FolignoOtt–Pominville–HodgsonSekera–WeberEhrhoff–SulzerLeopold–Myers
Horton–Krejci–Lucic7:580.46–0.440:590.00–0.181:260.03–0.090:590.01–0.004:520.03–0.093:200.10–0.305:460.54–0.40
Bergeron–Marchand–Seguin0:370.00–0.027:490.50–0.360:390.01–0.000:300.08–0.003:020.12–0.004:310.46–0.212:240.17–0.05
Kelly–Paille–Peverley0:340.00–0.000:330.02–0.002:280.12–0.002:070.00–0.000:430.32–0.003:090.02–0.062:220.31–0.001:350.43–0.00
Kelly–Campbell–Paille0:370.00–0.050:430.00–0.090:550.00–0.091:000.00–0.07
Campbell–Peverley–MacDermid0:460.00–0.000:430.07–0.00
Campbell–Horton–MacDermid0:380.00–0.000:380.00–0.000:310.02–0.00
Kelly–Paille–Seguin0:330.00–0.000:470.00–0.03
Chara–Boychuk9:150.46–0.501:400.02–0.000:470.00–0.000:480.01–0.000:440.32–0.063:260.02–0.004:000.10–0.325:590.69–0.31
Seidenberg–Hamilton1:200.04–0.126:130.50–0.291:440.03–0.090:380.09–0.006:130.23–0.314:280.61–0.251:300.01–0.00
Ference–McQuaid2:080.00–0.253:250.12–0.092:540.00–0.004:590.03–0.004:430.33–0.112:260.23–0.24
Ference–Hamilton0:360.01–0.001:180.04–0.00
Ference–Boychuk0:370.00–0.051:020.05–0.07
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSeguin FBergeron FMarchand FLucic FHorton FKrejci FPaille FKelly FPeverley FCampbell FThornton FMacDermid FHamilton DSeidenberg DChara DBoychuk DFerence DMcQuaid DRask GOtt FStafford FEnnis FHodgson FVanek FPominville FGrigorenko FHecht FFoligno FEllis FGerbe FScott FEhrhoff DSulzer DLeopold DMyers DWeber DSekera DMiller G
BOSBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Zdeno CharaBOS2325:191:062:0933
Christian EhrhoffBUF2724:180:542:5014
Jason PominvilleBUF2423:080:582:1754
Milan LucicBOS2021:381:052:1823
David KrejciBOS2121:331:021:5614
Mike WeberBUF2521:230:511:4025
Andrej SekeraBUF2421:210:531:4013
Nathan HortonBOS2221:090:582:2323
Dougie HamiltonBOS2420:280:511:2851
Steve OttBUF2619:440:461:2617
Dennis SeidenbergBOS2619:400:452:0943
Thomas VanekBUF2119:210:553:1152
Tyler SeguinBOS2319:170:501:2441
Andrew FerenceBOS2319:110:501:5202
Tyler EnnisBUF2219:020:522:3431
Cody HodgsonBUF2518:350:451:2843
Patrice BergeronBOS2518:290:441:1242
Johnny BoychukBOS2218:130:501:2403
Alexander SulzerBUF2417:330:441:5412
Drew StaffordBUF2417:150:431:4023
Brad MarchandBOS2216:320:451:1240
Tyler MyersBUF2316:080:421:2622
Jordan LeopoldBUF2315:550:421:2623
Jochen HechtBUF2115:320:441:2624
Rich PeverleyBOS2115:110:431:3510
Marcus FolignoBUF2015:100:462:2011
Daniel PailleBOS1614:140:531:5101
Chris KellyBOS1914:120:451:2311
Adam McQuaidBOS1913:390:431:2502
Gregory CampbellBOS1210:570:551:3421
Mikhail GrigorenkoBUF138:570:411:2121
Matt EllisBUF117:330:411:1410
Nathan GerbeBUF106:410:401:2220
John ScottBUF84:280:341:0310
Lane MacDermidBOS74:120:360:4600
Shawn ThorntonBOS20:160:080:1200