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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 10, 2013·Madison Square Garden, New York

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, New York Rangers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 80% of the time.

NYR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:31Goal by Hagelin (Nash, Girardi)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Girardi, McDonagh, Hagelin, Stepan · TBL Salo, St. Louis, Thompson, Stamkos, Hedman

  3. P1 0:55Shot by Gaborik, saved by Garon
  4. P1 3:06Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Lundqvist
  5. P1 3:29Shot by Pyatt, saved by Garon
  6. P1 3:38Shot by Richards, saved by Garon
  7. P1 4:56Shot by Brewer, saved by Lundqvist
  8. P1 5:11Shot by Miller, saved by Garon
  9. P1 7:09Shot by Thompson, saved by Lundqvist
  10. P1 8:54Shot by Conacher, saved by Lundqvist
  11. P1 9:58Shot by Gaborik, saved by Garon
  12. P1 10:54Shot by Stepan, saved by Garon
  13. P1 11:16Crombeen: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Callahan, Del Zotto, Gilroy, Kreider, Miller · TBL Brewer, Hall, Carle, Crombeen, Labrie

  14. P1 11:52Shot by Richards, saved by Garon5v4
  15. P1 12:08Shot by Girardi, saved by Garon5v4
  16. P1 12:22Shot by Gaborik, saved by Garon5v4
  17. P1 12:42Shot by Gaborik, saved by Garon5v4
  18. P1 13:41Shot by Pyatt, saved by Garon
  19. P1 14:40Shot by Girardi, saved by Garon
  20. P1 15:13Goal by Callahan, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Callahan, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Carle, Thompson, Stamkos

  21. P1 15:42Shot by Nash, saved by Garon
  22. P1 15:42Thompson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Callahan, Staal, Girardi, Stepan · TBL Salo, St. Louis, Thompson, Stamkos, Hedman

  23. P1 16:30Shot by Crombeen, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  24. P1 18:17Shot by Lee, saved by Lundqvist
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:33Shot by Hagelin, saved by Garon
  28. P2 2:46Shot by Gilroy, saved by Garon
  29. P2 2:56Shot by Stralman, saved by Garon
  30. P2 4:10Pyatt: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Pyatt, Nash, McDonagh, Del Zotto, Stepan · TBL Lecavalier, Carle, Purcell, Hedman, Conacher

  31. P2 5:38Shot by Pouliot, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  32. P2 5:51Shot by Carle, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  33. P2 6:52Shot by Crombeen, saved by Lundqvist
  34. P2 9:58Goal by Hagelin (Staal)+6 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Staal, Girardi, Hagelin, Stepan · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Carle, Thompson, Pouliot

  35. P2 10:53Shot by Conacher, saved by Lundqvist
  36. P2 11:18Shot by Richards, saved by Lindback
  37. P2 11:54Shot by Killorn, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P2 12:04Killorn: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Callahan, McDonagh, Gilroy, Kreider, Miller · TBL Brewer, Carle, Thompson, Pyatt, Killorn

  39. P2 14:37Shot by Killorn, saved by Lundqvist
  40. P2 14:42Goal by Lecavalier (Hedman, Killorn)+5 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Pyatt, Staal, Stralman, Hagelin, Miller · TBL Lecavalier, Purcell, Killorn, Aulie, Hedman

  41. P2 15:35Shot by Pyatt, saved by Lindback
  42. P2 18:36Shot by Nash, saved by Lindback
  43. P2 18:48Shot by Hagelin, saved by Lindback
  44. P2 19:18Shot by Thompson, saved by Lundqvist
  45. P2 19:25Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lundqvist
  46. P2 19:31Shot by Salo, saved by Lundqvist
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:51Shot by Nash, saved by Lindback
  50. P3 1:10Shot by Hagelin, saved by Lindback
  51. P3 1:31Shot by Miller, saved by Lindback
  52. P3 4:35Shot by Hagelin, saved by Lindback
  53. P3 6:42Shot by Asham, saved by Lindback
  54. P3 7:51Shot by Conacher, saved by Lundqvist
  55. P3 10:46Shot by Nash, saved by Lindback
  56. P3 11:16Shot by Richards, saved by Lindback
  57. P3 12:22Goal by Asham (McDonagh)+2 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Asham, Halpern, Powe, McDonagh, Del Zotto · TBL Thompson, Pouliot, Lee, Pyatt, Aulie

  58. P3 13:48Shot by Hedman, saved by Lundqvist
  59. P3 14:34Shot by Brewer, saved by Lundqvist
  60. P3 16:19Shot by Stamkos, saved by Lundqvist
  61. P3 17:49Kreider: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Callahan, Staal, Del Zotto, Kreider, Miller · TBL Brewer, Thompson, Pouliot, Pyatt, Hedman

  62. P3 19:51Goal by Nash (Hagelin, Girardi)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Staal, Girardi, Hagelin, Kreider · TBL Carle, Pouliot, Killorn, Hedman, Conacher

  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Final