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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 10, 2013·Madison Square Garden, New York

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, New York Rangers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 80% of the time.

NYR winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Lecavalier–Purcell–ConacherSt. Louis–Stamkos–ConacherLecavalier–Purcell–KillornHall–Crombeen–LabrieSt. Louis–Thompson–StamkosThompson–Pouliot–PyattPouliot–Pyatt–KillornSt. Louis–Pouliot–StamkosCrombeen–Thompson–PyattSalo–HedmanBrewer–CarleLee–AulieBrewer–AulieSalo–LeeLee–HedmanAulie–HedmanCarle–Hedman
Richards–Pyatt–Gaborik4:210.43–0.314:030.10–0.010:470.03–0.000:400.02–0.004:180.45–0.194:030.09–0.202:070.03–0.00
Nash–Hagelin–Stepan4:400.61–0.090:400.00–0.002:430.15–0.021:000.00–0.004:510.40–0.012:330.25–0.100:550.00–0.000:420.00–0.00
Callahan–Kreider–Miller1:520.00–0.030:370.01–0.052:060.06–0.031:190.07–0.001:160.00–0.032:440.01–0.112:340.09–0.03
Asham–Halpern–Powe1:210.01–0.001:230.09–0.001:400.02–0.000:420.09–0.000:410.00–0.001:120.11–0.002:130.01–0.002:200.09–0.00
Nash–Callahan–Stepan0:470.02–0.020:300.27–0.002:050.09–0.10
Staal–Girardi5:070.64–0.121:030.16–0.001:160.00–0.004:200.43–0.123:040.25–0.101:060.00–0.00
Stralman–McDonagh1:480.28–0.074:390.16–0.011:140.02–0.001:100.00–0.034:390.44–0.102:090.02–0.011:330.00–0.00
Del Zotto–Gilroy0:590.00–0.002:050.03–0.030:400.00–0.002:110.09–0.000:380.00–0.001:350.02–0.001:150.00–0.003:420.10–0.031:060.00–0.00
Girardi–McDonagh1:020.01–0.001:160.00–0.003:080.28–0.262:140.10–0.002:170.23–0.260:470.00–0.00
Staal–Stralman2:580.01–0.120:420.00–0.251:030.00–0.123:000.01–0.000:490.00–0.25
McDonagh–Del Zotto1:410.06–0.010:470.00–0.000:410.09–0.000:310.00–0.001:260.29–0.001:150.09–0.00
Staal–Del Zotto0:400.19–0.001:240.00–0.000:510.06–0.000:350.19–0.001:240.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Stralman–Del Zotto0:530.08–0.120:310.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStepan FNash FHagelin FGaborik FPyatt FRichards FMiller FKreider FCallahan FPowe FHalpern FAsham FGirardi DMcDonagh DStralman DStaal DDel Zotto DGilroy DLundqvist GSt. Louis FThompson FStamkos FLecavalier FPurcell FConacher FPyatt FKillorn FPouliot FCrombeen FLabrie FHall FSalo DHedman DBrewer DCarle DAulie DLee DGaron GLindback G
NYRTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Marc StaalNYR2824:200:521:3646
Victor HedmanTBL3323:590:441:34810
Matt CarleTBL2823:080:501:4635
Ryan McDonaghNYR2823:070:501:3052
Vincent LecavalierTBL2522:510:552:1254
Dan GirardiNYR2622:100:512:1245
Sami SaloTBL2921:070:441:3498
Eric BrewerTBL2921:060:441:3236
Anton StralmanNYR2520:360:491:2341
Teddy PurcellTBL2320:330:542:1243
Cory ConacherTBL2320:030:521:2843
Derek StepanNYR2519:480:481:1756
Martin St. LouisTBL2419:120:481:2372
Steven StamkosTBL2419:030:481:2373
Brad RichardsNYR2218:260:501:2851
Rick NashNYR2418:210:461:2654
Marian GaborikNYR2417:580:451:1322
Ryan CallahanNYR2017:460:531:3123
Michael Del ZottoNYR2017:410:531:5242
Taylor PyattNYR2117:090:491:1631
Carl HagelinNYR1915:480:501:1742
Keith AulieTBL1914:150:451:5203
Brian LeeTBL1914:060:451:2312
J.T. MillerNYR1913:440:431:3221
Alex KillornTBL2013:170:401:0312
Nate ThompsonTBL2113:120:381:2744
Chris KreiderNYR1812:210:411:2731
Tom PyattTBL1911:510:371:2224
Benoit PouliotTBL1811:360:391:1623
Jeff HalpernNYR1510:020:401:0432
B.J. CrombeenTBL149:210:401:1605
Darroll PoweNYR159:200:370:5722
Matt GilroyNYR128:530:441:4641
Adam HallTBL138:350:401:2806
Arron AshamNYR128:300:431:0523
Pierre-Cedric LabrieTBL106:450:411:2104