Sat, Feb 23, 2013·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Ottawa Senators 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 60% of the time.
50%
10%
8%
31%
OTT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26:17 | 0.04 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:25 | 0.25 | 19.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:19 | 0.10 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:19 | 0.04 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:02 | 0.12 | 20.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:39 | 0.01 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:36 | 0.04 | 22.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:34 | 0.04 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:09 | 0.33 | 45.6% | +34.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17:00 | 0.88 | 75.6% | +34.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:47 | 0.08 | 80.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.08 | 44.7% | +34.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 16:17 | 0.25 | 28.6% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 15:59 | 0.10 | 27.4% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 14:20 | 0.02 | 22.5% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:23 | 0.02 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:20 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:15 | 0.00 | 77.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 35 | 32 | 3 | .914 | 2.93 | −0.1 | 59:44 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 25:28 | 0.03 | 75.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 22:01 | 0.10 | 78.7% | +27.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:31 | 0.18 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:33 | 0.13 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:14 | 0.03 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:04 | 0.02 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:35 | 0.12 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:50 | 0.05 | 67.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:39 | 0.05 | 61.6% | +48.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:20 | 0.15 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:13 | 0.73 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:56 | 0.21 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 13:09 | 0.45 | 79.8% | +47.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 13:00 | 0.13 | 79.6% | +68.1 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 1 | 12:42 | 0.38 | 79.5% | +95.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:53 | 0.08 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:04 | 0.00 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:11 | 0.08 | 51.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 2.42 | +0.4 | 60:00 |