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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 9, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Montréal Canadiens 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 80% of the time.

TBL winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:33Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Desjardins
  3. P1 1:06Shot by Ryder, saved by Desjardins
  4. P1 1:12Shot by Ryder, saved by Desjardins
  5. P1 1:53Shot by Armstrong, saved by Desjardins
  6. P1 2:22Shot by Emelin, saved by Desjardins
  7. P1 3:53Shot by Conacher, saved by Price
  8. P1 6:52Shot by Malone, saved by Price
  9. P1 7:28Shot by Ryder, saved by Desjardins
  10. P1 9:37Shot by Lee, saved by Price
  11. P1 9:43Shot by Palat, saved by Price
  12. P1 10:05Shot by Aulie, saved by Price
  13. P1 10:45Crombeen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, Malone, Crombeen, Thompson, Hedman · MTL Markov, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  14. P1 13:05Shot by Crombeen, saved by Price
  15. P1 13:13Shot by Lee, saved by Price
  16. P1 13:20Shot by Stamkos, saved by Price
  17. P1 13:27Shot by Brewer, saved by Price
  18. P1 13:55Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Desjardins
  19. P1 17:53Shot by Carle, saved by Price
  20. P1 18:25St. Louis: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lee, Purcell, Aulie, Stamkos · MTL Markov, Emelin, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  21. P1 18:25Desharnais: Diving (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lee, Purcell, Aulie, Stamkos · MTL Markov, Emelin, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:10Shot by Markov, saved by Desjardins
  25. P2 3:57Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Desjardins
  26. P2 5:30Goal by Stamkos (St. Louis, Hedman)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman · MTL Bouillon, Gionta, Ryder, Emelin, Dumont

  27. P2 5:46Shot by Dumont, saved by Desjardins
  28. P2 6:07Shot by Lee, saved by Price
  29. P2 7:38Goal by Plekanec (Markov)+23 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Carle, Lee, Killorn, Stamkos · MTL Gionta, Markov, Ryder, Plekanec, Emelin

  30. P2 8:15Goal by Salo (Crombeen, Thompson)+23 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, Malone, Crombeen, Thompson, Hedman · MTL Markov, Emelin, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  31. P2 10:05Shot by Brewer, saved by Price
  32. P2 10:40Shot by Dumont, saved by Desjardins
  33. P2 11:16Shot by Thompson, saved by Price
  34. P2 11:21Shot by Crombeen, saved by Price
  35. P2 11:44Shot by Gionta, saved by Desjardins
  36. P2 11:45Shot by Ryder, saved by Desjardins
  37. P2 12:02Plekanec: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman · MTL Gionta, Markov, Ryder, Plekanec, Emelin

  38. P2 12:20Goal by Malone (Stamkos, St. Louis)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Malone, Carle, Purcell, Stamkos · MTL Moen, Gorges, Subban, Eller

  39. P2 12:27Shot by Armstrong, saved by Desjardins
  40. P2 12:53Shot by Hedman, saved by Price
  41. P2 12:56Eller: Delaying game face off violation (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Carle, Lee, Conacher, Palat · MTL Gorges, Prust, Subban, Eller, Galchenyuk

  42. P2 14:19Hedman: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Killorn, Hedman, Conacher · MTL Markov, Moen, Subban, Dumont

  43. P2 16:33Shot by Eller, saved by Desjardins
  44. P2 17:12Shot by Pyatt, saved by Price
  45. P2 18:54Shot by Hedman, saved by Price
  46. P2 19:04Shot by Malone, saved by Price
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:42Shot by Subban, saved by Desjardins
  50. P3 1:49Hedman: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, Malone, Crombeen, Thompson, Hedman · MTL Bouillon, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Pateryn, Gallagher

  51. P3 2:36Shot by Subban, saved by Desjardins4v5
  52. P3 2:50Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Desjardins4v5
  53. P3 3:45Shot by Gorges, saved by Desjardins4v5
  54. P3 3:49Shot by Plekanec, saved by Desjardins4v5
  55. P3 3:49Shot by Ryder, saved by Desjardins4v5
  56. P3 3:49Goal by Gionta (Ryder, Bouillon)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Malone, Aulie, Stamkos · MTL Bouillon, Gionta, Ryder, Plekanec, Gorges

  57. P3 7:12Shot by Gionta, saved by Desjardins
  58. P3 7:33Goal by Emelin (Gionta, Ryder)+33 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Carle, Lee, Killorn, Stamkos · MTL Gionta, Markov, Ryder, Plekanec, Emelin

  59. P3 12:03Goal by Gallagher (Pacioretty)+32 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Carle, Crombeen, Lee, Palat · MTL Gorges, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  60. P3 13:18Shot by Bouillon, saved by Desjardins
  61. P3 15:39Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Desjardins
  62. P3 15:44Shot by Gallagher, saved by Desjardins
  63. P3 18:13Shot by Killorn, saved by Price
  64. P3 19:17Shot by Hedman, saved by Price6v5
  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Final