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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 9, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Montréal Canadiens 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 80% of the time.

TBL winsMTL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MTL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Desharnais–Pacioretty–GallagherGionta–Ryder–PlekanecPrust–Eller–GalchenyukMoen–Armstrong–DumontArmstrong–Eller–GalchenyukGorges–SubbanMarkov–EmelinBouillon–PaterynBouillon–EmelinMarkov–SubbanGorges–Emelin
St. Louis–Killorn–Stamkos3:140.00–0.192:190.02–0.021:260.00–0.011:230.00–0.004:240.02–0.012:230.00–0.170:560.00–0.021:480.00–0.02
Malone–Crombeen–Thompson6:550.24–0.180:350.00–0.000:510.00–0.002:100.04–0.033:170.20–0.15
St. Louis–Lecavalier–Killorn0:310.00–0.012:030.00–0.001:400.00–0.011:470.00–0.011:110.00–0.041:550.00–0.00
Pyatt–Labrie–Palat0:560.00–0.001:310.00–0.001:270.11–0.093:170.00–0.020:380.11–0.00
Lecavalier–Purcell–Conacher1:200.00–0.001:000.01–0.000:590.01–0.020:540.00–0.00
Lecavalier–Pyatt–Purcell0:440.00–0.000:480.00–0.000:330.11–0.000:480.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
St. Louis–Lecavalier–Stamkos0:420.10–0.021:460.11–0.02
Purcell–Stamkos–Conacher1:140.01–0.001:060.01–0.00
Salo–Hedman8:220.25–0.193:510.00–0.031:040.00–0.010:400.00–0.033:590.00–0.053:220.04–0.074:220.21–0.152:010.07–0.060:540.00–0.02
Carle–Lee1:490.02–0.323:140.00–0.202:070.02–0.000:330.00–0.002:280.01–0.153:580.03–0.400:320.02–0.000:420.00–0.00
Brewer–Aulie1:470.02–0.003:110.00–0.133:210.02–0.030:510.00–0.09
Lee–Aulie0:390.01–0.001:400.03–0.031:110.00–0.001:110.13–0.001:300.03–0.002:290.23–0.03
Brewer–Carle1:560.08–0.120:390.00–0.001:230.00–0.001:120.00–0.001:280.08–0.121:290.00–0.000:420.00–0.00
Brewer–Hedman0:580.00–0.001:050.00–0.000:510.00–0.002:360.11–0.001:060.01–0.000:360.00–0.00
Lee–Hedman0:400.11–0.000:540.00–0.000:410.00–0.000:460.11–0.00
Salo–Carle
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMalone FCrombeen FThompson FPurcell FPalat FStamkos FSt. Louis FLecavalier FKillorn FConacher FLabrie FPyatt FSalo DHedman DBrewer DCarle DAulie DLee DDesjardins GGallagher FDesharnais FPacioretty FPrust FGalchenyuk FEller FRyder FPlekanec FGionta FArmstrong FMoen FDumont FGorges DSubban DEmelin DMarkov DBouillon DPateryn DPrice G
TBLMTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

P.K. SubbanMTL3027:420:553:1134
Victor HedmanTBL3425:140:452:4036
Martin St. LouisTBL2423:180:581:5122
Andrei MarkovMTL3123:130:451:3343
Josh GorgesMTL3023:100:462:1434
Steven StamkosTBL2822:360:481:3346
Sami SaloTBL3322:140:401:4437
Matt CarleTBL2820:500:451:2142
Alexei EmelinMTL2820:120:431:1233
Alex KillornTBL2419:260:491:2632
Eric BrewerTBL2819:240:422:0313
Vincent LecavalierTBL2418:450:471:3310
David DesharnaisMTL2418:060:451:3871
Brian LeeTBL2418:010:451:4622
Brian GiontaMTL2517:370:421:2322
Max PaciorettyMTL2517:310:421:3871
Lars EllerMTL2417:060:431:0714
Francis BouillonMTL2016:300:501:2840
Ryan MaloneTBL2716:210:361:2748
Brendan GallagherMTL2316:200:431:3861
Tomas PlekanecMTL2516:150:391:1123
Michael RyderMTL2014:450:441:1112
Brandon PrustMTL1914:160:451:0212
Alex GalchenyukMTL2014:020:421:0722
Teddy PurcellTBL2013:470:411:2331
Nate ThompsonTBL2013:370:411:3616
B.J. CrombeenTBL2113:080:381:3616
Keith AulieTBL2012:250:371:1703
Colby ArmstrongMTL1710:190:361:0732
Travis MoenMTL179:470:351:1022
Tom PyattTBL149:430:422:1100
Gabriel DumontMTL169:380:361:0712
Ondrej PalatTBL159:240:382:0320
Greg PaterynMTL139:130:431:1420
Cory ConacherTBL148:340:371:2321
Pierre-Cedric LabrieTBL76:260:552:1100