Sat, Mar 9, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Montréal Canadiens 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 80% of the time.
12%
9%
72%
TBL winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 27:42 | 0.10 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:13 | 0.04 | 57.2% | +23.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 23:10 | 0.07 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:12 | 0.04 | 54.8% | +32.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:06 | 0.12 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:37 | 0.35 | 63.0% | +45.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:31 | 0.23 | 58.4% | +32.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:06 | 0.14 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:30 | 0.01 | 53.4% | +12.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:20 | 0.31 | 59.3% | +32.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 16:15 | 0.27 | 85.5% | +23.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 14:45 | 0.62 | 79.8% | +45.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:16 | 0.00 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:02 | 0.15 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:19 | 0.09 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:47 | 0.03 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:38 | 0.11 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:13 | 0.00 | 57.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 1.11 | −1.9 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 25:14 | 0.07 | 61.5% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 0 | 23:18 | 0.00 | 43.2% | +35.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 2 | 22:36 | 0.14 | 37.8% | +35.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:14 | 0.02 | 43.4% | +23.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 20:50 | 0.02 | 18.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:26 | 0.04 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:24 | 0.03 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:45 | 0.00 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 18:01 | 0.05 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:21 | 0.27 | 56.7% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:47 | 0.01 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:37 | 0.06 | 59.7% | +23.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:08 | 0.15 | 50.2% | +23.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:25 | 0.02 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:43 | 0.11 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:24 | 0.10 | 15.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:34 | 0.01 | 20.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:26 | 0.00 | 54.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 2.67 | −1.3 | 58:47 |