Tue, Mar 12, 2013·MTS Centre, Winnipeg
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Winnipeg Jets 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 78% of the time.
71%
16%
WPG winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 22:35 | 0.15 | 69.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:06 | 0.09 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 21:34 | 0.19 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:57 | 0.11 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20:33 | 0.39 | 40.2% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:15 | 0.38 | 40.0% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:17 | 0.29 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:48 | 0.01 | 41.7% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:40 | 0.01 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:48 | 0.02 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:13 | 0.21 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:52 | 0.07 | 19.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:47 | 0.00 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:42 | 0.03 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 12:40 | 0.11 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:23 | 0.17 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:57 | 0.00 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:41 | 0.05 | 38.2% | 0.0 |
| – | 6 | 5 | 1 | .833 | 0.75 | −0.3 | 8:44 | |
| L | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 3.33 | −0.7 | 51:16 |
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 25:38 | 0.25 | 75.4% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:43 | 0.04 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:57 | 0.04 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:49 | 0.09 | 75.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 20:12 | 0.79 | 42.8% | +2.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:13 | 0.18 | 22.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:27 | 0.38 | 61.8% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:37 | 0.17 | 61.8% | +21.1 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 16:21 | 0.43 | 77.3% | +28.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 16:08 | 0.13 | 73.5% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:26 | 0.88 | 58.9% | +21.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 14:51 | 0.00 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:31 | 0.36 | 71.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 14:05 | 0.00 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:17 | 0.03 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:04 | 0.00 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:43 | 0.23 | 61.1% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:58 | 0.09 | 58.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 2.30 | +0.3 | 60:00 |