Sat, Mar 16, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 4, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 50% of the time.
40%
10%
8%
41%
BUF winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 24:40 | 0.02 | 63.5% | +23.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 0 | 24:31 | 0.00 | 23.6% | +66.3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 23:24 | 0.29 | 35.6% | +89.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 23:15 | 0.32 | 44.7% | +53.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:55 | 0.04 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:20 | 0.03 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:59 | 0.29 | 42.6% | +23.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:56 | 0.07 | 37.2% | +35.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:22 | 0.20 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:16 | 0.38 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:12 | 0.07 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:21 | 0.07 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:27 | 0.07 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:55 | 0.02 | 30.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:20 | 0.24 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:51 | 0.60 | 64.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:31 | 0.03 | 70.8% | +23.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:21 | 0.00 | 28.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 33 | 3 | .917 | 2.73 | −0.3 | 63:54 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25:56 | 0.07 | 59.0% | +32.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 24:38 | 0.01 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:01 | 0.01 | 55.0% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:55 | 0.02 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:30 | 0.01 | 57.1% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 18:11 | 0.25 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:08 | 0.06 | 71.6% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:53 | 0.23 | 19.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:22 | 0.65 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:55 | 0.15 | 53.1% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:45 | 0.18 | 19.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:39 | 0.02 | 23.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15:37 | 0.54 | 74.0% | +44.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:28 | 0.10 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:42 | 0.18 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:58 | 0.05 | 74.0% | +32.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:14 | 0.05 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:06 | 0.15 | 78.6% | +12.6 |
| O | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 2.75 | −1.3 | 63:54 |