Sat, Mar 16, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 4, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 50% of the time.
40%
10%
8%
41%
BUF winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Alfredsson–Latendresse–Turris | Neil–Greening–Smith | Condra–Silfverberg–Zibanejad | Alfredsson–Latendresse–Smith | Regin–Kassian–O'Brien | Greening–Turris–Silfverberg | Greening–Condra–Turris | Regin–Condra–O'Brien | Neil–Silfverberg–Zibanejad | Phillips–Gryba | Gonchar–Wiercioch | Benoit–Methot | Gonchar–Methot | Benoit–Wiercioch | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ott–Leino–Ennis | 2:420.13–0.09 | 1:310.00–0.01 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 2:230.00–0.07 | 3:200.13–0.11 | 1:440.00–0.10 | 2:100.23–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||||
| Porter–Foligno–Flynn | 3:000.17–0.05 | 1:230.00–0.07 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.01 | 1:030.11–0.03 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 3:430.10–0.21 | 2:380.13–0.04 | 1:390.00–0.00 | 1:330.11–0.03 | ||||
| Pominville–Vanek–Hodgson | 2:250.01–0.12 | 1:540.01–0.14 | 1:080.03–0.01 | 0:320.00–0.03 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 6:420.09–0.27 | 1:380.00–0.03 | 1:060.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Hecht–Stafford–Gerbe | 0:320.07–0.00 | 3:170.17–0.01 | 1:420.00–0.07 | 1:060.21–0.04 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:310.05–0.00 | 2:370.17–0.01 | 1:340.07–0.01 | 2:340.00–0.07 | 0:560.21–0.00 | 0:440.05–0.04 | |||
| Ehrhoff–Myers | 2:570.21–0.09 | 3:030.17–0.00 | 0:470.01–0.19 | 0:490.00–0.02 | 1:460.11–0.03 | 1:320.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 6:200.22–0.23 | 1:510.19–0.02 | 2:570.06–0.10 | 1:190.00–0.02 | 1:440.11–0.03 | ||
| Regehr–Sekera | 3:590.10–0.17 | 0:470.00–0.01 | 2:390.00–0.16 | 0:430.00–0.03 | 3:310.07–0.17 | 3:410.07–0.13 | 2:000.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.04 | ||||||
| Leopold–Weber | 1:570.00–0.07 | 2:260.00–0.11 | 1:150.23–0.00 | 0:390.05–0.00 | 4:030.03–0.15 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 2:020.00–0.07 | 1:410.28–0.00 | 0:410.05–0.00 | |||||
| Leopold–Myers | 0:330.00–0.01 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.01 | |||||||||||
| Ehrhoff–Weber | 0:500.00–0.00 | 1:270.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Regehr–Weber | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:120.04–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Leopold–Sekera | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.08 | |||||||||||
| Regehr–Leopold | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:380.07–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Christian EhrhoffBUF | 29 | 25:56 | 0:54 | 2:07 | 1 | 2 |
 Chris PhillipsOTT | 30 | 24:40 | 0:49 | 1:48 | 4 | 6 |
 Tyler MyersBUF | 32 | 24:38 | 0:46 | 1:28 | 3 | 3 |
 Sergei GoncharOTT | 35 | 24:31 | 0:42 | 1:40 | 4 | 2 |
 Kyle TurrisOTT | 29 | 23:24 | 0:48 | 1:45 | 3 | 3 |
 Daniel AlfredssonOTT | 29 | 23:15 | 0:48 | 1:38 | 5 | 3 |
 Eric GrybaOTT | 28 | 22:55 | 0:49 | 1:45 | 2 | 8 |
 Jordan LeopoldBUF | 25 | 21:01 | 0:50 | 1:43 | 3 | 2 |
 Marc MethotOTT | 26 | 19:20 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 0 | 4 |
 Guillaume LatendresseOTT | 26 | 18:59 | 0:44 | 1:38 | 7 | 1 |
 Patrick WierciochOTT | 27 | 18:56 | 0:42 | 1:26 | 4 | 2 |
 Robyn RegehrBUF | 24 | 18:55 | 0:47 | 1:38 | 0 | 5 |
 Steve OttBUF | 21 | 18:30 | 0:53 | 1:38 | 4 | 5 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 20 | 18:11 | 0:55 | 1:35 | 6 | 1 |
 Mike WeberBUF | 26 | 18:08 | 0:42 | 1:35 | 1 | 3 |
 Cody HodgsonBUF | 21 | 17:53 | 0:51 | 1:32 | 6 | 1 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 19 | 17:22 | 0:55 | 1:56 | 6 | 2 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 25 | 17:22 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 5 | 3 |
 Jakob SilfverbergOTT | 25 | 16:16 | 0:39 | 1:12 | 3 | 4 |
 Andre BenoitOTT | 24 | 16:12 | 0:41 | 1:20 | 2 | 2 |
 Ville LeinoBUF | 18 | 15:55 | 0:53 | 1:22 | 3 | 2 |
 Thomas VanekBUF | 17 | 15:45 | 0:56 | 1:34 | 6 | 1 |
 Andrej SekeraBUF | 22 | 15:39 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 0 | 3 |
 Drew StaffordBUF | 19 | 15:37 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 2 | 2 |
 Erik CondraOTT | 22 | 15:21 | 0:42 | 1:07 | 2 | 4 |
 Kevin PorterBUF | 17 | 14:28 | 0:51 | 1:29 | 0 | 3 |
 Colin GreeningOTT | 20 | 14:27 | 0:43 | 1:38 | 1 | 2 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 19 | 13:55 | 0:44 | 1:24 | 4 | 2 |
 Brian FlynnBUF | 17 | 13:42 | 0:48 | 1:28 | 0 | 3 |
 Mika ZibanejadOTT | 18 | 13:20 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 3 | 2 |
 Jochen HechtBUF | 15 | 11:58 | 0:48 | 1:23 | 0 | 0 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 14 | 11:14 | 0:48 | 1:13 | 0 | 1 |
 Nathan GerbeBUF | 16 | 11:06 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 0 | 0 |
 Peter ReginOTT | 19 | 9:51 | 0:31 | 1:04 | 2 | 8 |
 Jim O'BrienOTT | 19 | 9:31 | 0:30 | 0:50 | 2 | 6 |
 Matt KassianOTT | 8 | 3:21 | 0:25 | 0:57 | 2 | 0 |