Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 16, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Carolina Hurricanes 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 55% of the time.

TBL winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:52Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Garon
  3. P1 4:02Shot by Gudas, saved by Peters
  4. P1 4:31Shot by Semin, saved by Garon
  5. P1 7:36Shot by Palat, saved by Peters
  6. P1 8:01Shot by Semin, saved by Garon
  7. P1 8:12Shot by Brewer, saved by Peters
  8. P1 8:45Corvo: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Pyatt, Killorn, Aulie, Conacher · CAR Corvo, Gleason, Jokinen, Nash, Bowman

  9. P1 9:19Shot by Purcell, saved by Peters5v4
  10. P1 10:15Shot by St. Louis, saved by Peters5v4
  11. P1 10:54Goal by Johnson (Killorn, Conacher)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, Killorn, Johnson, Hedman, Conacher · CAR Corvo, Hall, Gleason, Bowman, Faulk

  12. P1 11:04Shot by Crombeen, saved by Peters
  13. P1 11:46Shot by Staal, saved by Garon
  14. P1 12:21Shot by Carle, saved by Peters
  15. P1 14:18Shot by Staal, saved by Garon
  16. P1 14:58Shot by Staal, saved by Garon
  17. P1 15:03Shot by Faulk, saved by Garon
  18. P1 17:33Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Garon
  19. P1 18:12Shot by Purcell, saved by Peters
  20. P1 19:07Shot by Crombeen, saved by Peters
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:08Shot by Stamkos, saved by Peters
  24. P2 0:24Shot by Staal, saved by Garon
  25. P2 2:28Shot by Pyatt, saved by Peters
  26. P2 4:41Shot by Crombeen, saved by Peters
  27. P2 5:12Shot by Faulk, saved by Garon
  28. P2 6:35Goal by Palat (Salo, Johnson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, Tyrell, Johnson, Hedman, Palat · CAR Hall, Pitkanen, Brent, McBain, Wallace

  29. P2 7:05Shot by Dwyer, saved by Garon
  30. P2 7:11Shot by Staal, saved by Garon
  31. P2 7:38Shot by Staal, saved by Garon
  32. P2 8:43Shot by Semin, saved by Garon
  33. P2 10:45Shot by Skinner, saved by Garon
  34. P2 11:43Shot by Stamkos, saved by Peters
  35. P2 12:55Goal by Thompson (Crombeen, Carle)+6 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Malone, Carle, Crombeen, Thompson · CAR Gleason, Jokinen, McBain, Nash, Bowman

  36. P2 14:38Shot by Pitkanen, saved by Garon
  37. P2 16:36Shot by Pyatt, saved by Peters
  38. P2 17:13Shot by Pyatt, saved by Peters
  39. P2 17:42Shot by Tlusty, saved by Garon
  40. P2 18:49Shot by Gleason, saved by Garon
  41. P2 0:00Period end
  42. P3 0:00Period start
  43. P3 1:02Shot by Skinner, saved by Garon
  44. P3 1:30Shot by Stamkos, saved by Peters
  45. P3 1:59Shot by Gudas, saved by Peters
  46. P3 3:54Goal by Purcell (St. Louis, Hedman)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Purcell, Stamkos, Hedman · CAR Harrison, Semin, Pitkanen, Staal, Skinner

  47. P3 4:47Shot by Johnson, saved by Peters
  48. P3 5:51Shot by Bowman, saved by Garon
  49. P3 6:16Shot by Brewer, saved by Peters
  50. P3 6:21Goal by Staal (Semin)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Carle, Purcell, Stamkos · CAR Semin, Pitkanen, Staal, McBain, Bowman

  51. P3 11:25Stamkos: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Carle, Purcell, Stamkos, Gudas · CAR Jokinen, Pitkanen, Brent, Bowman, Faulk

  52. P3 13:52Shot by Wallace, saved by Garon
  53. P3 14:29Palat: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Aulie, Johnson, Palat · CAR Harrison, Dwyer, Nash, Bowman, Faulk

  54. P3 15:25Shot by Pyatt, saved by Peters4v5
  55. P3 16:49Shot by Palat, saved by Peters
  56. P3 17:44Shot by Stamkos, saved by Peters
  57. P3 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Final