Sat, Mar 16, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 55% of the time.
43%
12%
11%
35%
TBL winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Dwyer–Staal–Skinner | Semin–Staal–Tlusty | Jokinen–Nash–Bowman | Hall–Brent–Wallace | Hall–Brent–Bowman | Jokinen–Wallace–Nash | Dwyer–Wallace–Nash | Harrison–Faulk | Pitkanen–McBain | Corvo–Gleason | Gleason–McBain | Pitkanen–Faulk | Harrison–McBain | Gleason–Faulk | Gleason–Harrison | Harrison–Pitkanen | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malone–Crombeen–Thompson | 0:430.00–0.01 | 11:260.12–0.26 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 2:550.01–0.05 | 4:300.11–0.07 | 0:570.00–0.01 | 2:050.13–0.02 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | |||||||
| St. Louis–Purcell–Stamkos | 7:020.03–0.50 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 1:340.13–0.03 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 4:440.00–0.31 | 0:530.02–0.13 | 3:270.03–0.21 | 0:530.00–0.11 | 1:130.13–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.03 | ||||||
| Pyatt–Killorn–Conacher | 1:080.13–0.00 | 4:560.04–0.06 | 1:440.04–0.15 | 0:430.03–0.00 | 2:360.02–0.03 | 2:210.00–0.09 | 1:340.03–0.00 | 1:350.15–0.06 | 1:220.04–0.00 | |||||||
| Tyrell–Johnson–Palat | 2:550.12–0.15 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.10 | 0:560.14–0.00 | 0:340.02–0.00 | 1:210.03–0.00 | 1:380.14–0.00 | 1:090.04–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.10 | 0:440.05–0.15 | 0:450.02–0.00 | |||||
| St. Louis–Malone–Stamkos | 1:000.02–0.03 | 1:000.02–0.03 | ||||||||||||||
| Salo–Hedman | 2:050.05–0.04 | 8:560.06–0.13 | 1:200.22–0.03 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:360.02–0.00 | 4:590.01–0.08 | 5:030.19–0.05 | 1:240.00–0.01 | 1:070.13–0.00 | 0:480.02–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | |||||
| Brewer–Carle | 3:350.10–0.22 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 2:110.14–0.10 | 1:570.00–0.19 | 1:140.02–0.11 | 1:030.04–0.06 | 1:540.19–0.10 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:450.01–0.00 | |||||||
| Carle–Gudas | 2:160.06–0.09 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.03 | 0:530.15–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 2:100.03–0.03 | 1:100.00–0.02 | 1:260.03–0.07 | 0:370.00–0.11 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:300.15–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||
| Brewer–Aulie | 1:470.00–0.08 | 1:510.08–0.03 | 1:030.00–0.03 | 0:580.02–0.03 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 2:020.05–0.06 | 2:260.03–0.08 | 1:090.02–0.03 | ||||||||
| Aulie–Gudas | 2:090.14–0.15 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 1:240.04–0.12 | 0:410.00–0.01 | 1:000.03–0.00 | 1:240.12–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.03 | 0:500.07–0.00 | 1:540.09–0.06 | 0:480.00–0.21 | 1:010.03–0.00 | |||||
| Hedman–Gudas | 1:480.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.12 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.02 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Brewer–Hedman | 0:530.00–0.09 | |||||||||||||||
| Salo–Aulie | 1:000.00–0.02 | 1:000.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||||
| Carle–Hedman | 0:490.00–0.03 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 29 | 25:04 | 0:52 | 1:39 | 4 | 5 |
 Justin FaulkCAR | 26 | 24:03 | 0:56 | 2:18 | 3 | 4 |
 Jamie McBainCAR | 27 | 22:07 | 0:49 | 1:44 | 2 | 0 |
 Jay HarrisonCAR | 24 | 22:06 | 0:55 | 1:28 | 2 | 3 |
 Sami SaloTBL | 26 | 20:47 | 0:48 | 1:39 | 3 | 5 |
 Tim GleasonCAR | 24 | 20:31 | 0:51 | 1:31 | 3 | 2 |
 Joni PitkanenCAR | 23 | 20:06 | 0:52 | 2:18 | 5 | 2 |
 Radko GudasTBL | 24 | 20:03 | 0:50 | 1:46 | 4 | 2 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 21 | 19:33 | 0:56 | 1:30 | 3 | 2 |
 Matt CarleTBL | 26 | 19:32 | 0:45 | 1:40 | 4 | 3 |
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 20 | 19:18 | 0:58 | 1:40 | 4 | 3 |
 Alexander SeminCAR | 21 | 19:05 | 0:55 | 1:38 | 4 | 1 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 20 | 18:53 | 0:57 | 1:40 | 3 | 3 |
 Jeff SkinnerCAR | 19 | 18:49 | 0:59 | 1:30 | 4 | 1 |
 Eric StaalCAR | 23 | 18:47 | 0:49 | 1:26 | 6 | 2 |
 Patrick DwyerCAR | 20 | 17:57 | 0:54 | 1:09 | 5 | 1 |
 Ryan MaloneTBL | 20 | 17:41 | 0:53 | 1:40 | 4 | 2 |
 Eric BrewerTBL | 22 | 17:39 | 0:48 | 1:35 | 2 | 4 |
 Tom PyattTBL | 19 | 17:06 | 0:54 | 1:22 | 3 | 2 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 20 | 16:33 | 0:50 | 1:17 | 3 | 2 |
 B.J. CrombeenTBL | 22 | 16:09 | 0:44 | 1:24 | 3 | 4 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 22 | 16:05 | 0:44 | 1:19 | 4 | 4 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 19 | 15:36 | 0:49 | 1:40 | 3 | 3 |
 Keith AulieTBL | 16 | 15:15 | 0:57 | 1:35 | 2 | 0 |
 Jiri TlustyCAR | 20 | 15:14 | 0:46 | 1:18 | 5 | 1 |
 Jussi JokinenCAR | 20 | 14:12 | 0:43 | 1:04 | 3 | 3 |
 Riley NashCAR | 18 | 13:08 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 2 | 2 |
 Drayson BowmanCAR | 19 | 13:08 | 0:41 | 1:09 | 1 | 2 |
 Cory ConacherTBL | 15 | 12:30 | 0:50 | 1:10 | 2 | 1 |
 Tim WallaceCAR | 14 | 10:19 | 0:44 | 1:04 | 0 | 0 |
 Joe CorvoCAR | 14 | 9:41 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 3 | 1 |
 Adam HallCAR | 14 | 9:38 | 0:41 | 1:07 | 0 | 1 |
 Dana TyrellTBL | 16 | 9:37 | 0:36 | 1:02 | 1 | 1 |
 Tim BrentCAR | 14 | 9:36 | 0:41 | 1:07 | 0 | 1 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 17 | 9:16 | 0:33 | 1:02 | 1 | 1 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 16 | 8:56 | 0:34 | 1:02 | 1 | 1 |