Sat, Mar 16, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 55% of the time.
43%
12%
11%
35%
TBL winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Justin FaulkD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:03 | 0.13 | 49.6% | 0.0 |
 Jamie McBainD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:07 | 0.04 | 54.1% | 0.0 |
 Jay HarrisonD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:06 | 0.03 | 66.0% | 0.0 |
 Tim GleasonD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:31 | 0.05 | 45.9% | 0.0 |
 Joni PitkanenD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:06 | 0.10 | 37.4% | 0.0 |
 Jordan StaalC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19:33 | 0.37 | 61.0% | 0.0 |
 Alexander SeminRW · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:05 | 0.19 | 63.4% | +0.9 |
 Jeff SkinnerLW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:49 | 0.20 | 62.2% | 0.0 |
 Eric StaalC · #12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:47 | 0.11 | 68.2% | +0.9 |
 Patrick DwyerRW · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:57 | 0.11 | 64.4% | 0.0 |
 Jiri TlustyLW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:14 | 0.02 | 66.7% | 0.0 |
 Jussi JokinenLW · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:12 | 0.07 | 44.9% | 0.0 |
 Riley NashC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:08 | 0.00 | 38.0% | 0.0 |
 Drayson BowmanLW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:08 | 0.01 | 48.7% | 0.0 |
 Tim WallaceRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:19 | 0.16 | 34.7% | 0.0 |
 Joe CorvoD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:41 | 0.00 | 46.7% | 0.0 |
 Adam HallRW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:38 | 0.00 | 28.2% | 0.0 |
 Tim BrentC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:36 | 0.06 | 32.0% | 0.0 |
 Justin Peters#35 | L | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 1.84 | −2.2 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 25:04 | 0.00 | 53.2% | +1.2 |
 Sami SaloD · #6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 20:47 | 0.00 | 66.4% | +12.7 |
 Radko GudasD · #75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:03 | 0.07 | 48.7% | 0.0 |
 Matt CarleD · #25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:32 | 0.03 | 40.6% | +5.7 |
 Martin St. LouisRW · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:18 | 0.10 | 40.4% | +1.2 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:53 | 0.39 | 34.0% | 0.0 |
 Ryan MaloneLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:41 | 0.01 | 46.3% | 0.0 |
 Eric BrewerD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:39 | 0.04 | 42.1% | 0.0 |
 Tom PyattLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:06 | 0.17 | 57.0% | 0.0 |
 Alex KillornLW · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:33 | 0.01 | 67.0% | +16.9 |
 B.J. CrombeenRW · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:09 | 0.13 | 49.3% | +5.7 |
 Nate ThompsonC · #44 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:05 | 0.13 | 47.5% | +5.7 |
 Teddy PurcellLW · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:36 | 0.25 | 30.1% | +1.2 |
 Keith AulieD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:15 | 0.03 | 45.3% | 0.0 |
 Cory ConacherC · #89 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:30 | 0.06 | 54.6% | +16.9 |
 Dana TyrellC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:37 | 0.10 | 63.5% | 0.0 |
 Ondrej PalatLW · #74 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 9:16 | 0.15 | 54.4% | +12.7 |
 Tyler JohnsonC · #63 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 8:56 | 0.17 | 65.3% | +29.6 |
 Mathieu Garon#32 | W | 22 | 21 | 1 | .955 | 1.67 | +0.7 | 60:00 |