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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 17, 2013·Rexall Place, Edmonton

Nashville Predators 2, Edmonton Oilers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 76% of the time.

EDM winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

EDM forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Fisher–Erat–KostitsynLegwand–Smith–BourqueYip–Halischuk–SpalingLegwand–Clune–ButlerClune–Smith–ButlerLegwand–Clune–HalischukWeber–JosiKlein–BartleyBlum–EllisHannan–Klein
Jones–Eberle–Nugent-Hopkins4:540.03–0.112:390.11–0.031:410.02–0.000:400.05–0.002:380.17–0.072:540.03–0.003:230.02–0.061:210.05–0.00
Horcoff–Hemsky–Hall2:180.00–0.115:340.09–0.182:580.07–0.106:180.06–0.292:360.00–0.141:490.06–0.00
Gagner–Paajarvi–Yakupov2:340.00–0.173:280.02–0.040:370.00–0.002:230.00–0.084:330.00–0.102:290.02–0.08
Smyth–Brown–Petrell1:080.00–0.410:360.00–0.000:300.00–0.001:070.00–0.081:090.02–0.001:150.00–0.001:450.00–0.491:500.00–0.000:300.04–0.00
Petrell–Gagner–Paajarvi0:340.00–0.460:400.00–0.000:320.00–0.46
Smyth–Eberle–Nugent-Hopkins0:380.00–0.00
Smid–Petry3:120.00–0.063:580.16–0.513:360.05–0.030:410.05–0.004:290.11–0.074:510.02–0.025:010.05–0.580:410.05–0.00
Whitney–Schultz6:000.08–0.733:390.00–0.112:090.00–0.080:480.05–0.005:200.10–0.285:450.03–0.600:550.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Schultz–Fistric1:350.00–0.042:140.60–0.042:570.09–0.011:090.02–0.003:570.63–0.161:150.00–0.014:160.06–0.02
Fistric–Petry0:380.06–0.000:350.03–0.00
Schultz–Schultz0:570.00–0.020:570.00–0.02
Whitney–Fistric0:300.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Whitney–Petry0:350.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndEberle FJones FNugent-Hopkins FHorcoff FHall FHemsky FGagner FPaajarvi FYakupov FBrown FPetrell FSmyth FSchultz DFistric DWhitney DSchultz DPetry DSmid DDubnyk GErat FFisher FKostitsyn FLegwand FSmith FBourque FSpaling FYip FHalischuk FClune FButler FKlein DJosi DBartley DWeber DEllis DBlum DHannan DRinne G
EDMNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Shea WeberNSH2525:191:012:0333
Jeff PetryEDM2923:300:491:2125
Roman JosiNSH2623:210:542:0233
Ladislav SmidEDM2821:480:471:2115
David LegwandNSH3021:430:431:3744
Mike FisherNSH2621:250:491:2852
Ryan WhitneyEDM2621:190:491:1680
Martin EratNSH2620:130:471:2852
Craig SmithNSH2619:350:451:2352
Kevin KleinNSH2419:270:491:2212
Justin SchultzEDM2319:120:501:3760
Sam GagnerEDM2418:460:471:1463
Shawn HorcoffEDM2418:430:471:0945
Gabriel BourqueNSH2418:190:461:2341
Nick SpalingNSH2417:540:452:0624
Mark FistricEDM2417:000:432:0511
Jordan EberleEDM2116:530:481:4140
Sergei KostitsynNSH2316:400:431:2251
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM2116:260:471:3530
Victor BartleyNSH2115:420:451:0421
Taylor HallEDM1915:380:491:2533
Ales HemskyEDM2015:250:461:1533
Ryan EllisNSH2015:020:452:0611
Matt HalischukNSH2015:000:452:0611
Magnus PaajarviEDM1814:490:491:3750
Nick SchultzEDM2314:430:381:1012
Brandon YipNSH2314:280:382:0604
Jonathon BlumNSH1914:070:452:0611
Ryan JonesEDM2013:450:411:1920
Ryan SmythEDM2013:450:411:0416
Nail YakupovEDM1512:360:501:3740
Bobby ButlerNSH1511:260:461:2820
Lennart PetrellEDM1710:150:361:0710
Mike BrownEDM127:590:401:0702
Rich CluneNSH96:090:411:0510
Scott HannanNSH53:520:461:2201