Sat, Mar 23, 2013·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Ottawa Senators 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 70% of the time.
61%
9%
22%
OTT winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 24:20 | 0.02 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 23:48 | 0.13 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 23:34 | 0.18 | 82.6% | +1.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 21:42 | 0.05 | 19.1% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 19:00 | 0.07 | 7.5% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:54 | 0.06 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18:37 | 0.52 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:41 | 0.00 | 79.0% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 16:34 | 0.09 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:10 | 0.30 | 58.0% | +1.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 16:01 | 0.43 | 79.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:12 | 0.13 | 51.0% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:21 | 0.00 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 12:45 | 0.06 | 56.6% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:34 | 0.08 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:21 | 0.06 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:51 | 0.17 | 76.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:03 | 0.01 | 61.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 20 | 19 | 1 | .950 | 1.98 | +1.0 | 42:21 | |
| – | 11 | 8 | 3 | .727 | 0.79 | −2.2 | 17:01 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 21:43 | 0.09 | 69.3% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 21:33 | 0.06 | 77.3% | +31.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 21:29 | 0.02 | 32.4% | +3.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 20:31 | 0.15 | 66.3% | +13.8 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 20:14 | 1.43 | 53.1% | +4.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:32 | 0.02 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:36 | 0.31 | 62.8% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:35 | 0.02 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 17:18 | 0.12 | 34.7% | +3.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:51 | 0.11 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:28 | 0.04 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:18 | 0.06 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 14:13 | 0.43 | 54.4% | +25.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 13:03 | 0.33 | 47.4% | +6.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:46 | 0.04 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:32 | 0.25 | 55.3% | +6.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:09 | 0.00 | 27.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:09 | 0.00 | 21.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 2.35 | −0.6 | 60:00 |