Sat, Mar 23, 2013·Centre Bell, Montreal
Buffalo Sabres 2, Montréal Canadiens 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 78% of the time.
69%
8%
15%
MTL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:51 | 0.02 | 22.6% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:15 | 0.03 | 22.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:38 | 0.00 | 20.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:36 | 0.00 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:25 | 0.01 | 4.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:17 | 0.35 | 23.8% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:24 | 0.02 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:45 | 0.00 | 10.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:55 | 0.01 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:03 | 0.21 | 14.5% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:58 | 0.18 | 22.8% | +18.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 15:56 | 0.56 | 19.6% | +38.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:07 | 0.02 | 23.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:36 | 0.14 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:15 | 0.00 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:32 | 0.05 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:59 | 0.00 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:03 | 0.00 | 14.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 39 | 38 | 1 | .974 | 3.12 | +2.1 | 60:00 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25:53 | 0.07 | 88.4% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 25:03 | 0.02 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:44 | 0.05 | 70.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20:45 | 0.33 | 92.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:22 | 0.02 | 80.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 7 | 18:42 | 0.27 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:29 | 0.76 | 93.1% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:21 | 0.23 | 92.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:45 | 0.05 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:28 | 0.33 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:04 | 0.03 | 74.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:57 | 0.13 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:23 | 0.35 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:51 | 0.32 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:09 | 0.00 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:05 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:09 | 0.00 | 97.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:57 | 0.16 | 91.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 18 | 16 | 2 | .889 | 1.59 | −0.4 | 58:37 |