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Ice Lab

Fri, Apr 5, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Ottawa Senators 2, Buffalo Sabres 4

Away

Ottawa Senators

2

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 50% of the time.

BUF winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:04Shot by Ennis, saved by Lehner
  3. P1 3:51Neil: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Pardy, Kaleta, Scott, Pysyk · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Lundin, Greening, Smith

  4. P1 4:12Shot by Myers, saved by Lehner5v4
  5. P1 6:21Goal by Adam (Pardy, Weber)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Porter, Pardy, Weber, Adam, Flynn · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Lundin, Greening, Smith

  6. P1 6:52Shot by Conacher, saved by Miller
  7. P1 7:19Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Miller
  8. P1 7:31Shot by Smith, saved by Miller
  9. P1 8:30Shot by Latendresse, saved by Miller
  10. P1 9:20Shot by Hodgson, saved by Lehner
  11. P1 10:24Shot by Stafford, saved by Lehner
  12. P1 10:53Shot by Stafford, saved by Lehner
  13. P1 11:22Shot by Latendresse, saved by Miller
  14. P1 12:29Goal by Methot (Silfverberg, Zibanejad)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Porter, Pardy, Adam, Pysyk, Flynn · OTT Methot, Wiercioch, Silfverberg, Conacher, Zibanejad

  15. P1 13:20Foligno: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Kaleta, Weber, Ennis, Foligno · OTT Methot, Regin, Kassian, Condra, Wiercioch

  16. P1 16:55Shot by Gonchar, saved by Miller
  17. P1 17:06Shot by Lundin, saved by Miller
  18. P1 17:28Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Miller
  19. P1 17:49Shot by Ennis, saved by Lehner
  20. P1 17:57Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Miller
  21. P1 18:17Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Lehner
  22. P1 18:47Shot by Greening, saved by Miller
  23. P1 18:58Shot by Greening, saved by Miller
  24. P1 19:49Shot by Gerbe, saved by Lehner
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:21Shot by Turris, saved by Miller
  28. P2 0:47Shot by Myers, saved by Lehner
  29. P2 1:03Shot by Phillips, saved by Miller
  30. P2 1:08Shot by Greening, saved by Miller
  31. P2 1:59Shot by Condra, saved by Miller
  32. P2 2:31Shot by Stafford, saved by Lehner
  33. P2 2:56Shot by Ennis, saved by Lehner
  34. P2 3:04Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Lehner
  35. P2 4:14Shot by Smith, saved by Miller
  36. P2 4:36Shot by Gonchar, saved by Miller
  37. P2 4:41Shot by Ott, saved by Lehner
  38. P2 7:54Shot by Myers, saved by Lehner
  39. P2 8:04Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Lehner
  40. P2 8:48Kaleta: Charging (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Sekera, Kaleta, Weber, Scott · OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Methot, Latendresse, Turris

  41. P2 9:26Shot by Latendresse, saved by Miller4v5
  42. P2 9:49Shot by Gonchar, saved by Miller4v5
  43. P2 10:46Shot by Greening, saved by Miller4v5
  44. P2 12:09Ennis: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Stafford, Pardy, Ennis, Foligno, Pysyk · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Phillips, Condra, Turris

  45. P2 12:29Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Miller4v5
  46. P2 13:50Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Lehner4v5
  47. P2 15:00Shot by Kaleta, saved by Lehner
  48. P2 15:51Shot by Latendresse, saved by Miller
  49. P2 17:25Shot by Pysyk, saved by Lehner
  50. P2 18:47Shot by Turris, saved by Miller
  51. P2 18:59Shot by Lundin, saved by Miller
  52. P2 19:43Shot by Porter, saved by Lehner
  53. P2 19:54Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Miller
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 1:39Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Miller
  57. P3 1:41Goal by Gryba (Zibanejad, Neil)+24 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Stafford, Sekera, Weber, Ennis, Foligno · OTT Neil, Gryba, Wiercioch, Conacher, Zibanejad

  58. P3 3:15Goal by Ott (Pysyk, Pardy)+25 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ott, Pardy, Gerbe, Hodgson, Pysyk · OTT Methot, Regin, Kassian, Gryba, Condra

  59. P3 3:25Shot by Hecht, saved by Lehner
  60. P3 3:46Shot by Scott, saved by Lehner
  61. P3 4:20Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Miller
  62. P3 4:40Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Miller
  63. P3 5:04Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Miller
  64. P3 5:06Stafford: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Stafford, Sekera, Weber, Ennis, Foligno · OTT Alfredsson, Methot, Turris, Wiercioch, Conacher

  65. P3 6:59Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Miller4v5
  66. P3 7:14Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Miller
  67. P3 7:19Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Miller
  68. P3 10:59Shot by Hodgson, saved by Lehner
  69. P3 12:04Shot by Gerbe, saved by Lehner
  70. P3 12:20Shot by Ott, saved by Lehner
  71. P3 12:22Methot: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Gerbe, Hodgson, Myers · OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Methot, Latendresse, Turris

  72. P3 12:41Shot by Myers, saved by Lehner5v4
  73. P3 14:06Shot by Stafford, saved by Lehner5v4
  74. P3 14:37Goal by Flynn (Hecht, Weber)+40 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Porter, Pardy, Weber, Flynn · OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Methot, Condra, Silfverberg

  75. P3 14:49Goal by Hecht (Myers, Porter)+8 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Ehrhoff, Porter, Myers, Flynn · OTT Alfredsson, Methot, Latendresse, Gryba, Turris

  76. P3 18:42Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Miller5v6
  77. P3 18:53Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Miller5v6
  78. P3 19:25Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Miller5v6
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final