OTT 2 @ BUF 4 · Apr 5, 2013

Fri, Apr 5, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Away

Ottawa Senators

Final

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Buffalo Sabres

Three stars

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 50% of the time.

40%

10%

41%

BUF winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

	Neil–Greening–Smith	Alfredsson–Latendresse–Turris	Silfverberg–Conacher–Zibanejad	Regin–Kassian–Condra	Regin–Silfverberg–Conacher	Alfredsson–Greening–Turris	Phillips–Methot	Gonchar–Lundin	Gryba–Wiercioch	Methot–Gryba	Gonchar–Phillips
Porter–Adam–Flynn	0:420.08–0.00	0:460.00–0.02	3:020.12–0.33	1:030.00–0.00	0:520.01–0.00		2:450.14–0.08	1:160.06–0.11	4:030.01–0.33
Stafford–Ennis–Foligno		2:130.15–0.08	0:350.00–0.00	2:100.05–0.00	1:060.03–0.09		2:430.16–0.04	3:340.05–0.12	0:470.03–0.08
Ott–Gerbe–Hodgson	0:440.00–0.00	3:000.13–0.16	1:030.06–0.00				1:440.13–0.14	3:310.03–0.26	1:030.06–0.00	1:060.09–0.00
Hecht–Kaleta–Scott	5:500.16–0.28						4:080.11–0.18	0:580.00–0.10	0:410.00–0.01		0:470.05–0.00
Stafford–Gerbe–Ennis		1:330.18–0.00	0:520.00–0.00				0:320.18–0.00	0:500.00–0.00			0:340.00–0.00
Ott–Kaleta–Hodgson	0:590.00–0.06
Hecht–Porter–Flynn							0:370.00–0.00
Ehrhoff–Myers	2:300.11–0.10	4:580.30–0.12	1:150.01–0.15	2:400.05–0.00	1:300.14–0.09	0:590.00–0.00	4:480.40–0.04	5:470.24–0.22	2:470.07–0.16		1:350.00–0.00
Sekera–Weber	2:570.07–0.18	3:010.18–0.07	2:420.16–0.16	0:490.00–0.00	0:450.00–0.00	0:300.00–0.11	4:410.32–0.34	2:590.00–0.11	3:340.04–0.26	0:320.00–0.00	0:310.05–0.00
Pardy–Pysyk	3:100.00–0.06	0:420.00–0.07	2:130.00–0.03	0:570.09–0.00			4:060.11–0.13	2:070.00–0.03	1:410.03–0.02	2:160.09–0.01
Ehrhoff–Pysyk							0:460.00–0.00
Weber–Myers										0:350.00–0.00

Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

BUFOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals


Tyler MyersBUF	28	25:54	0:56	2:16	3	5
Christian EhrhoffBUF	26	25:33	0:59	2:16	3	2
Sergei GoncharOTT	31	25:05	0:49	1:40	7	1
Chris PhillipsOTT	28	23:58	0:51	1:55	3	5
Andrej SekeraBUF	26	21:47	0:50	1:43	2	5
Marc MethotOTT	26	21:46	0:50	1:34	1	5
Mike WeberBUF	24	21:14	0:53	1:30	3	5
Daniel AlfredssonOTT	25	20:35	0:49	2:44	3	3
Kyle TurrisOTT	24	19:55	0:50	2:06	4	3
Guillaume LatendresseOTT	24	19:36	0:49	1:41	5	1
Steve OttBUF	25	19:10	0:46	1:44	3	9
Drew StaffordBUF	23	18:33	0:48	1:39	2	1
Patrick WierciochOTT	21	17:15	0:49	2:26	4	0
Tyler EnnisBUF	20	16:58	0:51	1:29	4	0
Mike LundinOTT	23	16:52	0:44	1:18	4	0
Jakob SilfverbergOTT	23	16:49	0:44	1:15	4	0
Colin GreeningOTT	21	16:37	0:47	1:28	5	4
Brian FlynnBUF	20	16:01	0:48	1:12	1	2
Nathan GerbeBUF	23	15:55	0:42	1:46	1	3
Cody HodgsonBUF	21	15:39	0:45	1:44	3	5
Eric GrybaOTT	22	15:19	0:42	1:08	1	1
Mika ZibanejadOTT	21	15:14	0:44	1:52	4	0
Kevin PorterBUF	19	14:50	0:47	1:21	1	1
Cory ConacherOTT	20	13:57	0:42	1:29	4	0
Chris NeilOTT	19	13:51	0:44	1:17	4	3
Mark PysykBUF	17	13:29	0:48	1:22	0	0
Patrick KaletaBUF	19	13:14	0:42	1:10	5	4
Zack SmithOTT	17	13:13	0:47	1:17	3	3
Adam PardyBUF	17	12:03	0:43	1:22	1	0
Jochen HechtBUF	20	11:57	0:36	1:13	6	2
Peter ReginOTT	18	11:52	0:40	1:31	1	4
Marcus FolignoBUF	15	11:15	0:45	1:26	2	0
Luke AdamBUF	13	10:40	0:49	1:11	0	1
Erik CondraOTT	14	10:08	0:43	1:23	1	4
John ScottBUF	13	7:48	0:36	1:10	5	2
Matt KassianOTT	9	6:19	0:42	1:03	1	2

Ottawa Senators 2, Buffalo Sabres 4

Who was on the ice

Shift totals