Fri, Apr 5, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 2, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 50% of the time.
40%
10%
9%
41%
BUF winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 25:05 | 0.09 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:58 | 0.10 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 21:46 | 0.02 | 29.0% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:35 | 0.24 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:55 | 0.12 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:36 | 0.17 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 17:15 | 0.05 | 74.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:52 | 0.05 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 16:49 | 0.42 | 49.3% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:37 | 0.32 | 64.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:19 | 0.06 | 61.5% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 15:14 | 0.12 | 71.7% | +42.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 13:57 | 0.09 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:51 | 0.00 | 55.6% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:13 | 0.38 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:52 | 0.00 | 19.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:08 | 0.08 | 20.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:19 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 2.27 | −1.7 | 57:39 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 25:54 | 0.20 | 57.0% | +7.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 25:33 | 0.09 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:47 | 0.02 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 21:14 | 0.01 | 45.6% | +56.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:10 | 0.26 | 49.1% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:33 | 0.28 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:58 | 0.30 | 70.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:01 | 0.25 | 57.0% | +39.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:55 | 0.39 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:39 | 0.09 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:50 | 0.12 | 45.0% | +7.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:29 | 0.02 | 52.2% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:14 | 0.11 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 12:03 | 0.01 | 57.8% | +41.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 11:57 | 0.06 | 60.1% | +47.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:15 | 0.00 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:40 | 0.06 | 32.9% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:48 | 0.01 | 35.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 35 | 2 | .946 | 2.30 | +0.3 | 60:00 |