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Ice Lab

Tue, Apr 9, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Ottawa Senators 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Away

Ottawa Senators

2

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.

TBL winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:06Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Bishop
  3. P1 0:30Shot by Stamkos, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 0:53Shot by Killorn, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 1:05Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 1:07Smith: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Lecavalier, Purcell, Killorn, Barberio · OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Neil, Greening, Smith

  7. P1 2:54Shot by Barberio, saved by Anderson5v4
  8. P1 3:22Shot by Methot, saved by Bishop
  9. P1 4:29Labrie: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Carle, Crombeen, Thompson, Labrie · OTT Phillips, Neil, Benoit, Conacher, Zibanejad

  10. P1 4:54Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Bishop4v5
  11. P1 6:57Shot by Gudas, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 7:13Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Bishop
  13. P1 8:16Shot by Salo, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 8:27Shot by Neil, saved by Bishop
  15. P1 9:38Shot by Methot, saved by Bishop
  16. P1 10:38Shot by Panik, saved by Anderson
  17. P1 11:14Shot by Methot, saved by Bishop
  18. P1 11:59Shot by Greening, saved by Bishop
  19. P1 14:10Shot by Latendresse, saved by Bishop
  20. P1 14:23Shot by Turris, saved by Bishop
  21. P1 14:27Shot by Turris, saved by Bishop
  22. P1 14:29Goal by Alfredsson (Turris, Phillips)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Barberio, Johnson, Panik, Connolly · OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Benoit, Latendresse, Turris

  23. P1 15:54Shot by Crombeen, saved by Anderson
  24. P1 17:49Shot by Latendresse, saved by Bishop
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:28Shot by Malone, saved by Anderson
  28. P2 1:41Shot by Greening, saved by Bishop
  29. P2 2:28Shot by Aulie, saved by Anderson
  30. P2 2:33Shot by Crombeen, saved by Anderson
  31. P2 2:35Goal by Labrie (Thompson, Crombeen)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Crombeen, Thompson, Aulie, Labrie, Gudas · OTT Methot, Regin, Kassian, Gryba, Condra

  32. P2 3:50Turris: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Purcell, Killorn, Stamkos, Barberio · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Latendresse, Turris, Wiercioch

  33. P2 3:50Regin: Delaying game face off violation (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Purcell, Killorn, Stamkos, Barberio · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Latendresse, Turris, Wiercioch

  34. P2 4:10Shot by Stamkos, saved by Anderson5v3
  35. P2 4:13Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Anderson5v3
  36. P2 4:26Shot by Purcell, saved by Anderson5v3
  37. P2 4:28Goal by Lecavalier (Purcell, St. Louis)5v3+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Malone, Purcell, Stamkos · OTT Phillips, Methot, Condra

  38. P2 4:40Shot by Turris, saved by Bishop5v4
  39. P2 6:21Shot by Thompson, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 6:27Shot by Carle, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 7:42Benoit: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Malone, Aulie, Stamkos, Gudas · OTT Phillips, Neil, Benoit, Latendresse, Turris

  42. P2 9:56Gonchar: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Carle, Killorn, Panik, Connolly · OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Benoit, Greening, Condra

  43. P2 9:59St. Louis: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Purcell, Stamkos · OTT Methot, Regin, Gryba, Silfverberg

  44. P2 10:05Shot by Methot, saved by Bishop4v4
  45. P2 10:47Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Bishop4v4
  46. P2 10:54Bishop: Delaying game (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Malone, Purcell, Barberio · OTT Phillips, Wiercioch, Silfverberg, Zibanejad

  47. P2 11:40Shot by Turris, saved by Bishop3v4
  48. P2 12:55Phillips: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Carle, Crombeen, Thompson, Purcell · OTT Phillips, Neil, Benoit, Silfverberg, Zibanejad

  49. P2 13:33Shot by Salo, saved by Anderson5v4
  50. P2 14:31Shot by Johnson, saved by Anderson5v4
  51. P2 15:54Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Bishop
  52. P2 16:20Shot by Smith, saved by Bishop
  53. P2 16:28Shot by Benoit, saved by Bishop
  54. P2 19:02Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Bishop
  55. P2 19:21Crombeen: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, Crombeen, Thompson, Aulie, Panik · OTT Gonchar, Neil, Greening, Smith, Wiercioch

  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:21Goal by Latendresse (Turris, Wiercioch)4v5+27 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, Carle, Thompson, Killorn · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Latendresse, Turris, Wiercioch

  59. P3 0:39Shot by Gryba, saved by Bishop
  60. P3 2:45Shot by Turris, saved by Bishop
  61. P3 3:29Shot by Conacher, saved by Bishop
  62. P3 5:06Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Bishop
  63. P3 6:40Shot by Turris, saved by Bishop
  64. P3 6:51Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Bishop
  65. P3 10:33Shot by Greening, saved by Bishop
  66. P3 12:10Shot by Salo, saved by Anderson
  67. P3 12:47Shot by Carle, saved by Anderson
  68. P3 14:40Gonchar: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Malone, Carle, Stamkos · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Phillips, Latendresse, Turris

  69. P3 14:56Goal by Stamkos (Lecavalier, St. Louis)5v4+40 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Purcell, Stamkos · OTT Methot, Gryba, Condra, Turris

  70. P3 15:15Shot by Gonchar, saved by Bishop
  71. P3 15:49Shot by Neil, saved by Bishop
  72. P3 16:32Shot by Benoit, saved by Bishop
  73. P3 16:32Malone: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Malone, Aulie, Stamkos · OTT Phillips, Neil, Benoit, Greening, Smith

  74. P3 16:32Neil: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Malone, Aulie, Stamkos · OTT Phillips, Neil, Benoit, Greening, Smith

  75. P3 17:58Shot by St. Louis, saved by Anderson4v4
  76. P3 0:00Brewer: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Carle, Crombeen, Thompson, Killorn · OTT Phillips, Neil, Benoit, Greening, Conacher, Zibanejad

  77. P3 0:00Neil: Roughing (2 min)4v6

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Carle, Crombeen, Thompson, Killorn · OTT Phillips, Neil, Benoit, Greening, Conacher, Zibanejad

  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final