Tue, Apr 9, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Ottawa Senators 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.
55%
10%
9%
26%
TBL winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:19 | 0.04 | 70.2% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:48 | 0.06 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:22 | 0.02 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 21:25 | 0.45 | 78.0% | +46.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:02 | 0.13 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:49 | 0.36 | 78.0% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:55 | 0.17 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:34 | 0.08 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:17 | 0.01 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:49 | 0.21 | 84.9% | +26.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:46 | 0.03 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:28 | 0.17 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:24 | 0.07 | 43.0% | +26.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:29 | 0.08 | 90.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:47 | 0.07 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:52 | 0.00 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:36 | 0.00 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 2:42 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 2.68 | −0.3 | 58:42 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:48 | 0.10 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:57 | 0.12 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:13 | 0.12 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:15 | 0.20 | 29.6% | +40.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:09 | 0.00 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20:45 | 0.05 | 32.0% | +59.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:58 | 0.12 | 58.4% | +19.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15:58 | 1.23 | 52.9% | +59.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.01 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:05 | 0.04 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:46 | 0.13 | 65.7% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:12 | 0.07 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:30 | 0.19 | 57.0% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:49 | 0.08 | 13.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:03 | 0.07 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:42 | 0.00 | 14.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:37 | 0.03 | 14.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:30 | 0.14 | 64.6% | +20.2 |
| W | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 1.96 | 0.0 | 60:00 |