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Ice Lab

Tue, Apr 9, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Ottawa Senators 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.

TBL winsOTT wins

Ottawa Senators

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Chris PhillipsD · #4011+1023:190.0470.2%+20.0
Sergei GoncharD · #550000122:480.0635.6%0.0
Eric GrybaD · #62000−1122:220.0249.7%0.0
Kyle TurrisC · #7022+1621:250.4578.0%+46.6
Marc MethotD · #3000−1421:020.1354.2%0.0
Daniel AlfredssonRW · #11101+1320:490.3678.0%+20.0
Chris NeilRW · #250000216:550.1741.2%0.0
Colin GreeningC · #140000316:340.0845.0%0.0
Jakob SilfverbergRW · #330000216:170.0164.9%0.0
Guillaume LatendresseLW · #73101+1315:490.2184.9%+26.6
Cory ConacherC · #890000115:460.0346.7%0.0
Mika ZibanejadC · #930000215:280.1743.8%0.0
Patrick WierciochD · #460110215:240.0743.0%+26.6
Andre BenoitD · #61000+1214:290.0890.2%0.0
Zack SmithC · #150000112:470.0752.5%0.0
Erik CondraRW · #22000−108:520.0049.9%0.0
Peter ReginC · #13000−105:360.0043.8%0.0
Matt KassianLW · #28000−102:420.000.0%0.0
Craig Anderson#41L24213.8752.68−0.358:42

Tampa Bay Lightning

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Matt CarleD · #250000224:480.1047.6%0.0
Sami SaloD · #60000323:570.1229.1%0.0
Alex KillornLW · #170000122:130.1253.6%0.0
Steven StamkosC · #911010321:150.2029.6%+40.2
Eric BrewerD · #2000−1021:090.0040.3%0.0
Martin St. LouisRW · #260220120:450.0532.0%+59.7
Teddy PurcellLW · #160110116:580.1258.4%+19.5
Vincent LecavalierC · #41120315:581.2352.9%+59.7
Ryan MaloneLW · #120000115:430.0128.6%0.0
Radko GudasD · #75000+1115:050.0462.8%0.0
Nate ThompsonC · #44011+1114:460.1365.7%+20.2
Mark BarberioD · #8000−1114:120.0732.3%0.0
B.J. CrombeenRW · #19011+1213:300.1957.0%+20.2
Tyler JohnsonC · #63000−1111:490.0813.3%0.0
Keith AulieD · #3000+1111:030.0746.2%0.0
Brett ConnollyRW · #14000−109:420.0014.0%0.0
Richard PanikRW · #71000−119:370.0314.0%0.0
Pierre-Cedric LabrieLW · #76101+118:300.1464.6%+20.2
Ben Bishop#30W33312.9391.960.060:00