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Ice Lab

Tue, Apr 9, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Ottawa Senators 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.

TBL winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Alfredsson–Latendresse–TurrisNeil–Greening–SmithSilfverberg–Conacher–ZibanejadNeil–Conacher–ZibanejadRegin–Kassian–CondraMethot–GrybaPhillips–BenoitGonchar–WierciochGonchar–PhillipsPhillips–Gryba
St. Louis–Malone–Stamkos8:340.09–0.301:460.05–0.090:570.00–0.006:140.13–0.244:090.00–0.120:380.00–0.001:160.05–0.02
Lecavalier–Purcell–Killorn3:170.20–0.104:170.04–0.091:540.00–0.032:380.04–0.042:300.00–0.042:010.20–0.090:480.00–0.00
Crombeen–Thompson–Labrie2:560.09–0.171:230.00–0.001:530.22–0.080:550.15–0.003:540.22–0.131:100.00–0.061:520.09–0.00
Johnson–Panik–Connolly1:220.03–0.340:530.01–0.000:370.00–0.001:210.03–0.341:210.03–0.031:040.01–0.00
Thompson–Purcell–Killorn0:350.00–0.030:580.06–0.03
Salo–Carle7:160.09–0.270:440.05–0.001:450.00–0.007:120.01–0.241:560.00–0.001:320.03–0.051:240.05–0.02
Brewer–Aulie5:230.16–0.301:200.00–0.131:270.00–0.111:480.16–0.000:580.00–0.06
Aulie–Gudas0:360.04–0.000:380.15–0.001:480.19–0.022:070.03–0.090:300.00–0.00
Barberio–Gudas1:030.00–0.020:350.00–0.002:330.05–0.031:210.04–0.001:330.00–0.000:510.01–0.03
Brewer–Barberio1:500.00–0.371:140.20–0.050:410.00–0.021:340.00–0.401:190.00–0.040:360.20–0.00
Brewer–Carle0:420.00–0.001:200.14–0.080:430.08–0.001:040.00–0.06
Brewer–Gudas1:130.00–0.021:110.00–0.020:360.00–0.00
Carle–Gudas0:400.07–0.000:510.07–0.000:370.00–0.00
Salo–Brewer0:340.00–0.000:390.01–0.000:380.01–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMalone FSt. Louis FStamkos FLecavalier FPurcell FKillorn FConnolly FJohnson FPanik FCrombeen FThompson FLabrie FSalo DCarle DBrewer DBarberio DGudas DAulie DBishop GTurris FAlfredsson FLatendresse FGreening FSmith FNeil FRegin FCondra FSilfverberg FZibanejad FConacher FKassian FMethot DGryba DPhillips DGonchar DBenoit DWiercioch DAnderson G
TBLOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Matt CarleTBL3124:480:481:3827
Sami SaloTBL3223:570:451:3766
Chris PhillipsOTT3223:190:441:2423
Sergei GoncharOTT2722:480:511:5460
Eric GrybaOTT3022:220:452:1439
Alex KillornTBL2722:130:491:2436
Kyle TurrisOTT2721:250:481:4761
Steven StamkosTBL2221:150:582:1430
Eric BrewerTBL2921:090:441:1838
Marc MethotOTT2821:020:451:2238
Daniel AlfredssonOTT2720:490:461:3261
Martin St. LouisTBL2320:450:541:3840
Teddy PurcellTBL2116:580:481:4963
Chris NeilOTT2416:550:421:4562
Colin GreeningOTT2416:340:411:4562
Jakob SilfverbergOTT2216:170:441:1453
Vincent LecavalierTBL1915:580:501:4982
Guillaume LatendresseOTT2215:490:431:3240
Cory ConacherOTT2215:460:431:3472
Ryan MaloneTBL2115:430:451:1711
Mika ZibanejadOTT2215:280:421:0762
Patrick WierciochOTT2015:240:461:5470
Radko GudasTBL2015:050:451:2913
Nate ThompsonTBL2114:460:421:1828
Andre BenoitOTT2414:290:361:0122
Mark BarberioTBL2014:120:432:0432
B.J. CrombeenTBL1913:300:431:2327
Zack SmithOTT1912:470:401:3052
Tyler JohnsonTBL1911:490:371:2015
Keith AulieTBL1911:030:351:0723
Brett ConnollyTBL139:420:451:2412
Richard PanikTBL149:370:411:2413
Erik CondraOTT148:520:381:2426
Pierre-Cedric LabrieTBL148:300:360:5521
Peter ReginOTT125:360:281:0923
Matt KassianOTT52:420:320:5211