Thu, Apr 11, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Montréal Canadiens 5, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 97% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:29Shot by Plekanec, saved by Miller
- P1 0:30Shot by Plekanec, saved by Miller
- P1 1:25Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Miller
- P1 3:41Shot by Myers, saved by Budaj
- P1 3:59Shot by Porter, saved by Budaj
- P1 5:25Shot by Moen, saved by Miller
- P1 5:51Shot by Eller, saved by Miller
- P1 5:58Shot by Stafford, saved by Budaj
- P1 6:43Goal by Bourque (Gionta, Plekanec)+20 pts WP
On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Vanek, Hodgson, Myers, Foligno · MTL Gionta, Plekanec, Bourque, Drewiske, Beaulieu
- P1 6:47Kaleta: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: BUF Hecht, Sekera, Pardy, Kaleta, Gerbe · MTL Prust, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Drewiske, Beaulieu
- P1 6:47Prust: Fighting (5 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Hecht, Sekera, Pardy, Kaleta, Gerbe · MTL Prust, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Drewiske, Beaulieu
- P1 7:52Pardy: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Ott, Stafford, Sekera, Porter, Pardy · MTL Ryder, Eller, Drewiske, Beaulieu, Galchenyuk
- P1 10:02Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Miller
- P1 10:27Goal by Galchenyuk (Ryder)+21 pts WP
On ice: BUF Vanek, Weber, Hodgson, Foligno, Pysyk · MTL Bouillon, Ryder, Gorges, Eller, Galchenyuk
- P1 10:41Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Miller
- P1 13:10Shot by Bouillon, saved by Miller
- P1 13:23Shot by Weber, saved by Budaj
- P1 13:40Shot by Vanek, saved by Budaj
- P1 14:25Shot by Subban, saved by Miller
- P1 14:30Shot by Gallagher, saved by Miller
- P1 16:11Shot by Bouillon, saved by Miller
- P1 16:24Shot by Gorges, saved by Miller
- P1 18:13Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Miller
- P1 18:54Shot by Porter, saved by Budaj
- P1 19:36Shot by Hodgson, saved by Budaj
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 2:27Shot by Gallagher, saved by Miller
- P2 2:45Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Miller
- P2 2:49Shot by Gorges, saved by Miller
- P2 4:30Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Miller
- P2 4:34Shot by Desharnais, saved by Miller
- P2 4:36Goal by Gallagher (Desharnais, Pacioretty)+9 pts WP
On ice: BUF Hecht, Sekera, Kaleta, Gerbe, Pysyk · MTL Desharnais, Pacioretty, Drewiske, Gallagher, Beaulieu
- P2 4:59Shot by Bouillon, saved by Miller
- P2 5:11Shot by Ennis, saved by Budaj
- P2 5:21Shot by Gionta, saved by Miller
- P2 6:16Shot by Gionta, saved by Miller
- P2 6:20Shot by Eller, saved by Miller
- P2 6:21Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Miller
- P2 7:16Shot by Gerbe, saved by Budaj
- P2 7:59Gerbe: Elbowing (2 min)5v6
On ice: BUF Hecht, Ehrhoff, Kaleta, Gerbe, Myers · MTL Halpern, Moen, Plekanec, Prust, Drewiske, Beaulieu
- P2 8:18Shot by Subban, saved by Miller4v5
- P2 9:20Shot by Ryder, saved by Miller4v5
- P2 11:49Shot by Bourque, saved by Miller
- P2 12:30Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Budaj
- P2 12:49Ott: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Porter, Myers, Flynn · MTL Bouillon, Gorges, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Gallagher
- P2 12:49Bouillon: Fighting (5 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Porter, Myers, Flynn · MTL Bouillon, Gorges, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Gallagher
- P2 14:58Shot by Ennis, saved by Budaj
- P2 16:05Weber: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)
On ice: BUF Sekera, Porter, Weber, Foligno, Flynn · MTL Markov, Halpern, Moen, Prust, Beaulieu
- P2 17:05Shot by Gallagher, saved by Miller4v5
- P2 17:07Shot by Markov, saved by Miller4v5
- P2 17:08Hecht: High sticking (2 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Hecht, Ehrhoff, Stafford, Myers · MTL Markov, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher
- P2 17:54Goal by Markov (Subban, Ryder)3v5+3 pts WP
On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Myers, Flynn · MTL Gionta, Markov, Ryder, Plekanec, Subban
- P2 19:08Prust: Tripping (2 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Stafford, Sekera, Porter, Weber · MTL Halpern, Moen, Gorges, Prust, Drewiske
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:08Shot by Subban, saved by Enroth5v4
- P3 4:30Shot by Moen, saved by Enroth
- P3 5:32Shot by Desharnais, saved by Enroth
- P3 5:37Adam: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Kaleta, Gerbe, Myers, Adam · MTL Bouillon, Markov, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Gallagher
- P3 6:45Goal by Flynn (Porter, Sekera)4v5+2 pts WP
On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Sekera, Porter, Flynn · MTL Markov, Ryder, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty
- P3 7:20Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Enroth4v5
- P3 7:48Ennis: Too many men on the ice (2 min)
On ice: BUF Hecht, Stafford, Pardy, Adam, Pysyk · MTL Ryder, Gorges, Eller, Drewiske, Galchenyuk
- P3 8:10Shot by Subban, saved by Enroth4v5
- P3 9:34Gallagher: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Sekera, Porter, Myers, Flynn · MTL Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher, Beaulieu
- P3 9:34Shot by Subban, saved by Enroth4v4
- P3 12:02Shot by Hodgson, saved by Budaj
- P3 15:23Shot by Myers, saved by Budaj
- P3 16:13Hecht: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Hecht, Stafford, Pardy, Foligno, Pysyk · MTL Bouillon, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Drewiske, Gallagher
- P3 17:14Shot by Markov, saved by Enroth4v5
- P3 17:19Goal by Subban (Markov, Pacioretty)4v50 pts WP
On ice: BUF Ott, Kaleta, Weber, Myers · MTL Markov, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher
- P3 18:30Shot by Ennis, saved by Budaj
- P3 18:31Gerbe: Abuse of officials (2 min)
On ice: BUF Vanek, Sekera, Weber, Hodgson, Ennis · MTL Bouillon, Ryder, Eller, Drewiske, Galchenyuk
- P3 19:30Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Enroth4v5
- P3 19:59Shot by Eller, saved by Enroth4v5
- P3 0:00Bourque: Roughing (2 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Hecht, Pardy, Pysyk, Flynn · MTL Gorges, Bourque, Eller, Drewiske, Galchenyuk
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final