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Thu, Apr 11, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Montréal Canadiens 5, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 97% of the time.

BUF winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:29Shot by Plekanec, saved by Miller
  3. P1 0:30Shot by Plekanec, saved by Miller
  4. P1 1:25Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Miller
  5. P1 3:41Shot by Myers, saved by Budaj
  6. P1 3:59Shot by Porter, saved by Budaj
  7. P1 5:25Shot by Moen, saved by Miller
  8. P1 5:51Shot by Eller, saved by Miller
  9. P1 5:58Shot by Stafford, saved by Budaj
  10. P1 6:43Goal by Bourque (Gionta, Plekanec)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Vanek, Hodgson, Myers, Foligno · MTL Gionta, Plekanec, Bourque, Drewiske, Beaulieu

  11. P1 6:47Kaleta: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Sekera, Pardy, Kaleta, Gerbe · MTL Prust, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Drewiske, Beaulieu

  12. P1 6:47Prust: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Sekera, Pardy, Kaleta, Gerbe · MTL Prust, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Drewiske, Beaulieu

  13. P1 7:52Pardy: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ott, Stafford, Sekera, Porter, Pardy · MTL Ryder, Eller, Drewiske, Beaulieu, Galchenyuk

  14. P1 10:02Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Miller
  15. P1 10:27Goal by Galchenyuk (Ryder)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Vanek, Weber, Hodgson, Foligno, Pysyk · MTL Bouillon, Ryder, Gorges, Eller, Galchenyuk

  16. P1 10:41Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Miller
  17. P1 13:10Shot by Bouillon, saved by Miller
  18. P1 13:23Shot by Weber, saved by Budaj
  19. P1 13:40Shot by Vanek, saved by Budaj
  20. P1 14:25Shot by Subban, saved by Miller
  21. P1 14:30Shot by Gallagher, saved by Miller
  22. P1 16:11Shot by Bouillon, saved by Miller
  23. P1 16:24Shot by Gorges, saved by Miller
  24. P1 18:13Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Miller
  25. P1 18:54Shot by Porter, saved by Budaj
  26. P1 19:36Shot by Hodgson, saved by Budaj
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 2:27Shot by Gallagher, saved by Miller
  30. P2 2:45Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Miller
  31. P2 2:49Shot by Gorges, saved by Miller
  32. P2 4:30Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Miller
  33. P2 4:34Shot by Desharnais, saved by Miller
  34. P2 4:36Goal by Gallagher (Desharnais, Pacioretty)+9 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Sekera, Kaleta, Gerbe, Pysyk · MTL Desharnais, Pacioretty, Drewiske, Gallagher, Beaulieu

  35. P2 4:59Shot by Bouillon, saved by Miller
  36. P2 5:11Shot by Ennis, saved by Budaj
  37. P2 5:21Shot by Gionta, saved by Miller
  38. P2 6:16Shot by Gionta, saved by Miller
  39. P2 6:20Shot by Eller, saved by Miller
  40. P2 6:21Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Miller
  41. P2 7:16Shot by Gerbe, saved by Budaj
  42. P2 7:59Gerbe: Elbowing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Ehrhoff, Kaleta, Gerbe, Myers · MTL Halpern, Moen, Plekanec, Prust, Drewiske, Beaulieu

  43. P2 8:18Shot by Subban, saved by Miller4v5
  44. P2 9:20Shot by Ryder, saved by Miller4v5
  45. P2 11:49Shot by Bourque, saved by Miller
  46. P2 12:30Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Budaj
  47. P2 12:49Ott: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Porter, Myers, Flynn · MTL Bouillon, Gorges, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  48. P2 12:49Bouillon: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Porter, Myers, Flynn · MTL Bouillon, Gorges, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  49. P2 14:58Shot by Ennis, saved by Budaj
  50. P2 16:05Weber: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Sekera, Porter, Weber, Foligno, Flynn · MTL Markov, Halpern, Moen, Prust, Beaulieu

  51. P2 17:05Shot by Gallagher, saved by Miller4v5
  52. P2 17:07Shot by Markov, saved by Miller4v5
  53. P2 17:08Hecht: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Ehrhoff, Stafford, Myers · MTL Markov, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  54. P2 17:54Goal by Markov (Subban, Ryder)3v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Myers, Flynn · MTL Gionta, Markov, Ryder, Plekanec, Subban

  55. P2 19:08Prust: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Stafford, Sekera, Porter, Weber · MTL Halpern, Moen, Gorges, Prust, Drewiske

  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:08Shot by Subban, saved by Enroth5v4
  59. P3 4:30Shot by Moen, saved by Enroth
  60. P3 5:32Shot by Desharnais, saved by Enroth
  61. P3 5:37Adam: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Kaleta, Gerbe, Myers, Adam · MTL Bouillon, Markov, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  62. P3 6:45Goal by Flynn (Porter, Sekera)4v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Sekera, Porter, Flynn · MTL Markov, Ryder, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty

  63. P3 7:20Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Enroth4v5
  64. P3 7:48Ennis: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Stafford, Pardy, Adam, Pysyk · MTL Ryder, Gorges, Eller, Drewiske, Galchenyuk

  65. P3 8:10Shot by Subban, saved by Enroth4v5
  66. P3 9:34Gallagher: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Sekera, Porter, Myers, Flynn · MTL Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher, Beaulieu

  67. P3 9:34Shot by Subban, saved by Enroth4v4
  68. P3 12:02Shot by Hodgson, saved by Budaj
  69. P3 15:23Shot by Myers, saved by Budaj
  70. P3 16:13Hecht: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Stafford, Pardy, Foligno, Pysyk · MTL Bouillon, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Drewiske, Gallagher

  71. P3 17:14Shot by Markov, saved by Enroth4v5
  72. P3 17:19Goal by Subban (Markov, Pacioretty)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ott, Kaleta, Weber, Myers · MTL Markov, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher

  73. P3 18:30Shot by Ennis, saved by Budaj
  74. P3 18:31Gerbe: Abuse of officials (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Vanek, Sekera, Weber, Hodgson, Ennis · MTL Bouillon, Ryder, Eller, Drewiske, Galchenyuk

  75. P3 19:30Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Enroth4v5
  76. P3 19:59Shot by Eller, saved by Enroth4v5
  77. P3 0:00Bourque: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Pardy, Pysyk, Flynn · MTL Gorges, Bourque, Eller, Drewiske, Galchenyuk

  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final