Thu, Apr 11, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Montréal Canadiens 5, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 97% of the time.
95%
BUF winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 6 | 25:06 | 0.33 | 58.5% | +3.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 24:04 | 0.71 | 76.5% | +3.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:51 | 0.12 | 77.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:51 | 0.02 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:14 | 0.27 | 83.4% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17:01 | 0.32 | 91.3% | +9.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 16:50 | 0.14 | 96.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:46 | 0.43 | 83.2% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:56 | 0.45 | 90.1% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:25 | 0.07 | 96.8% | +9.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:20 | 0.24 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 15:18 | 0.00 | 80.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14:56 | 0.12 | 60.1% | +24.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 13:58 | 1.44 | 96.7% | +9.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:43 | 0.04 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:28 | 0.00 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:28 | 0.42 | 58.9% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:13 | 0.02 | 41.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 15 | 14 | 1 | .933 | 1.05 | 0.0 | 59:32 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:37 | 0.04 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:02 | 0.01 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:22 | 0.01 | 17.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:16 | 0.00 | 20.1% | +1.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:58 | 0.19 | 18.0% | +1.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:56 | 0.00 | 19.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:07 | 0.00 | 3.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:03 | 0.04 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:56 | 0.19 | 16.0% | +1.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:20 | 0.00 | 20.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:16 | 0.15 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:03 | 0.00 | 15.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:02 | 0.29 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:43 | 0.03 | 10.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 10:29 | 0.09 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:03 | 0.00 | 19.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:00 | 0.00 | 5.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:23 | 0.00 | 34.2% | 0.0 |
| – | 10 | 9 | 1 | .900 | 1.08 | +0.1 | 20:00 | |
| L | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 4.07 | +0.1 | 40:00 |