Thu, Apr 11, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Montréal Canadiens 5, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 97% of the time.
95%
BUF winsMTL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MTL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Gionta–Plekanec–Bourque | Desharnais–Pacioretty–Gallagher | Ryder–Eller–Galchenyuk | Halpern–Moen–Prust | Halpern–Moen–Pacioretty | Halpern–Moen–Bourque | Prust–Eller–Galchenyuk | Gorges–Subban | Bouillon–Markov | Drewiske–Beaulieu | Markov–Drewiske | Bouillon–Gorges | Subban–Beaulieu | Bouillon–Beaulieu | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ott–Porter–Flynn | 3:590.10–0.50 | 0:400.00–0.04 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.02 | 1:400.10–0.00 | 3:460.10–0.49 | 1:340.00–0.43 | 0:390.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Stafford–Ennis–Adam | 0:560.00–0.02 | 2:380.12–0.06 | 1:380.00–0.09 | 2:280.09–0.12 | 1:050.05–0.06 | 0:490.00–0.02 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Vanek–Hodgson–Foligno | 1:100.00–0.20 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 2:570.15–0.45 | 3:160.00–0.08 | 0:500.15–0.44 | |||||||||
| Hecht–Kaleta–Gerbe | 0:560.00–0.00 | 2:420.01–0.74 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.19 | 1:590.01–0.52 | |||||||||
| Hecht–Stafford–Gerbe | 1:180.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:160.02–0.00 | 0:360.02–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Vanek–Hodgson–Ennis | 1:010.15–0.00 | 0:420.01–0.00 | 1:350.01–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Porter–Foligno–Flynn | 1:000.00–0.28 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Vanek–Ennis–Foligno | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:430.07–0.01 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:430.07–0.01 | ||||||||||
| Porter–Gerbe–Flynn | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Hecht–Stafford–Adam | 0:550.00–0.02 | 0:580.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||
| Hecht–Gerbe–Flynn | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Ehrhoff–Myers | 3:540.02–0.23 | 0:550.01–0.05 | 3:330.13–0.05 | 1:180.01–0.00 | 1:190.10–0.09 | 3:030.02–0.12 | 5:520.13–0.03 | 0:410.01–0.20 | 1:260.01–0.07 | |||||
| Sekera–Pardy | 1:240.10–0.07 | 2:250.00–0.08 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:560.10–0.05 | 1:360.00–0.04 | 1:530.00–0.12 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Pardy–Pysyk | 1:410.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.28 | 2:020.05–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.01 | 1:370.02–0.01 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:300.03–0.00 | |||||||
| Sekera–Weber | 1:380.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:230.09–0.02 | 1:120.09–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.36 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Weber–Pysyk | 0:310.00–0.43 | 1:270.00–0.00 | 1:450.18–0.48 | 0:310.00–0.03 | 1:350.00–0.03 | 0:400.02–0.47 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:070.16–0.44 | ||||||
| Pardy–Weber | 1:280.01–0.19 | 0:370.03–0.03 | 0:550.00–0.02 | 1:000.00–0.02 | 1:250.03–0.22 | |||||||||
| Sekera–Pysyk | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:430.07–0.01 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:030.07–0.04 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFMTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Tyler MyersBUF | 27 | 25:37 | 0:57 | 2:02 | 4 | 8 |
 P.K. SubbanMTL | 24 | 25:06 | 1:03 | 1:49 | 10 | 3 |
 Andrei MarkovMTL | 26 | 24:04 | 0:56 | 2:16 | 6 | 1 |
 Christian EhrhoffBUF | 26 | 22:02 | 0:51 | 1:49 | 5 | 7 |
 Mike WeberBUF | 25 | 21:22 | 0:51 | 2:12 | 2 | 5 |
 Francis BouillonMTL | 24 | 19:51 | 0:50 | 1:29 | 2 | 1 |
 Andrej SekeraBUF | 22 | 19:16 | 0:53 | 1:29 | 3 | 1 |
 Josh GorgesMTL | 24 | 18:51 | 0:47 | 1:25 | 6 | 5 |
 Brian FlynnBUF | 23 | 17:58 | 0:47 | 1:32 | 5 | 3 |
 Adam PardyBUF | 21 | 17:56 | 0:51 | 1:29 | 1 | 2 |
 Rene BourqueMTL | 20 | 17:14 | 0:52 | 1:53 | 3 | 3 |
 Jochen HechtBUF | 20 | 17:07 | 0:51 | 1:55 | 1 | 4 |
 Drew StaffordBUF | 20 | 17:03 | 0:51 | 1:19 | 0 | 4 |
 Max PaciorettyMTL | 20 | 17:01 | 0:51 | 1:49 | 2 | 1 |
 Kevin PorterBUF | 23 | 16:56 | 0:44 | 1:29 | 5 | 1 |
 Nathan BeaulieuMTL | 24 | 16:50 | 0:42 | 1:40 | 2 | 0 |
 Tomas PlekanecMTL | 20 | 16:46 | 0:50 | 1:53 | 5 | 3 |
 Steve OttBUF | 21 | 16:20 | 0:47 | 1:29 | 7 | 5 |
 Brian GiontaMTL | 17 | 15:56 | 0:56 | 1:40 | 5 | 2 |
 David DesharnaisMTL | 18 | 15:25 | 0:51 | 1:49 | 2 | 3 |
 Lars EllerMTL | 18 | 15:20 | 0:51 | 1:29 | 3 | 1 |
 Davis DrewiskeMTL | 24 | 15:18 | 0:38 | 1:12 | 2 | 2 |
 Michael RyderMTL | 15 | 14:56 | 1:00 | 1:40 | 4 | 0 |
 Thomas VanekBUF | 17 | 14:16 | 0:50 | 1:20 | 4 | 3 |
 Mark PysykBUF | 20 | 14:03 | 0:42 | 1:31 | 1 | 3 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 17 | 14:02 | 0:50 | 1:20 | 2 | 2 |
 Brendan GallagherMTL | 18 | 13:58 | 0:47 | 1:49 | 2 | 3 |
 Nathan GerbeBUF | 17 | 13:43 | 0:48 | 1:41 | 1 | 1 |
 Travis MoenMTL | 18 | 13:43 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 3 | 1 |
 Jeff HalpernMTL | 18 | 13:28 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 3 | 1 |
 Alex GalchenyukMTL | 17 | 12:28 | 0:44 | 1:29 | 4 | 0 |
 Cody HodgsonBUF | 13 | 10:29 | 0:48 | 1:12 | 2 | 3 |
 Brandon PrustMTL | 15 | 10:13 | 0:41 | 1:20 | 3 | 1 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 14 | 10:03 | 0:43 | 1:21 | 2 | 3 |
 Patrick KaletaBUF | 13 | 10:00 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 1 | 3 |
 Luke AdamBUF | 10 | 7:23 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 0 | 1 |