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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 11, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Pittsburgh Penguins 6, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 75% of the time.

TBL winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:58Shot by Gudas, saved by Vokoun
  3. P1 2:05Shot by Gudas, saved by Vokoun
  4. P1 3:50Shot by Gudas, saved by Vokoun
  5. P1 4:05Shot by Morrow, saved by Bishop
  6. P1 4:07Goal by Jokinen (Morrow, Dupuis)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Lecavalier, Purcell, Killorn, Gudas · PIT Morrow, Dupuis, Murray, Jokinen, Niskanen

  7. P1 4:30Labrie: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Crombeen, Thompson, Aulie, Labrie · PIT Morrow, Dupuis, Eaton, Engelland, Jokinen

  8. P1 4:45Shot by Malkin, saved by Bishop4v5
  9. P1 6:00Shot by Kennedy, saved by Bishop4v5
  10. P1 6:02Goal by Dupuis (Kennedy, Niskanen)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Killorn, Johnson, Gudas · PIT Morrow, Dupuis, Kennedy, Niskanen, Bennett

  11. P1 8:45Shot by Sutter, saved by Bishop
  12. P1 9:04Shot by Kennedy, saved by Bishop
  13. P1 9:31Shot by Kennedy, saved by Bishop
  14. P1 11:29Shot by Malone, saved by Vokoun
  15. P1 13:01Shot by Crombeen, saved by Vokoun
  16. P1 13:06Shot by Labrie, saved by Vokoun
  17. P1 14:38Shot by Adams, saved by Bishop
  18. P1 15:21Shot by Malkin, saved by Bishop
  19. P1 15:38Malkin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Malone, Carle, Stamkos · PIT Iginla, Orpik, Kunitz, Malkin, Letang

  20. P1 16:00Goal by Purcell (Stamkos, Salo)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Purcell, Stamkos · PIT Cooke, Murray, Orpik, Sutter

  21. P1 17:36Shot by Carle, saved by Vokoun
  22. P1 17:55Shot by Cooke, saved by Bishop
  23. P1 18:15Shot by Eaton, saved by Bishop
  24. P1 19:59Shot by Malkin, saved by Bishop
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:57Shot by Letang, saved by Bishop
  28. P2 1:00Malone: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Malone, Carle · PIT Morrow, Dupuis, Jokinen, Niskanen, Letang

  29. P2 1:48Goal by Kunitz (Iginla, Letang)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, Carle, Crombeen, Thompson · PIT Iginla, Jokinen, Kunitz, Malkin, Letang

  30. P2 4:13Bennett: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Thompson, Stamkos, Barberio · PIT Morrow, Eaton, Engelland, Malkin, Bennett

  31. P2 5:10Shot by Salo, saved by Vokoun5v4
  32. P2 5:17Shot by Stamkos, saved by Vokoun5v4
  33. P2 5:46Goal by Connolly (Panik, Killorn)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Barberio, Johnson, Panik, Connolly · PIT Dupuis, Eaton, Murray, Jokinen

  34. P2 5:59Niskanen: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Carle, Crombeen, Thompson, Labrie · PIT Iginla, Eaton, Kunitz, Malkin, Niskanen

  35. P2 7:47Shot by Letang, saved by Bishop5v4
  36. P2 8:44Shot by Malone, saved by Vokoun
  37. P2 9:05Shot by St. Louis, saved by Vokoun
  38. P2 9:38Shot by Niskanen, saved by Bishop
  39. P2 9:58Shot by Glass, saved by Bishop
  40. P2 10:34Shot by Crombeen, saved by Vokoun
  41. P2 11:02Shot by Morrow, saved by Bishop
  42. P2 12:24St. Louis: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Malone, Carle, Stamkos · PIT Iginla, Dupuis, Orpik, Kunitz, Malkin, Letang

  43. P2 12:58Shot by Malkin, saved by Bishop4v5
  44. P2 13:13Shot by Letang, saved by Bishop4v5
  45. P2 14:20Shot by Niskanen, saved by Bishop4v5
  46. P2 14:51Shot by Kennedy, saved by Bishop
  47. P2 15:36Shot by Sutter, saved by Bishop
  48. P2 17:11Shot by Bennett, saved by Bishop
  49. P2 17:27Shot by Glass, saved by Bishop
  50. P2 18:27Shot by Malkin, saved by Bishop
  51. P2 19:59Shot by Killorn, saved by Vokoun
  52. P2 0:00Gudas: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Carle, Crombeen, Thompson, Killorn, Gudas · PIT Morrow, Dupuis, Engelland, Jokinen, Niskanen

  53. P2 0:00Engelland: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Carle, Crombeen, Thompson, Killorn, Gudas · PIT Morrow, Dupuis, Engelland, Jokinen, Niskanen

  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 1:24Goal by Malkin, unassisted4v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Lecavalier, Killorn, Aulie · PIT Dupuis, Eaton, Malkin, Niskanen

  57. P3 2:26Shot by Johnson, saved by Vokoun
  58. P3 3:48Shot by Salo, saved by Vokoun
  59. P3 4:16Gudas: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Carle, Purcell, Killorn, Gudas · PIT Cooke, Eaton, Engelland, Malkin, Bennett

  60. P3 4:16Engelland: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Carle, Purcell, Killorn, Gudas · PIT Cooke, Eaton, Engelland, Malkin, Bennett

  61. P3 4:16Gudas: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Carle, Purcell, Killorn, Gudas · PIT Cooke, Eaton, Engelland, Malkin, Bennett

  62. P3 4:16Malkin: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Carle, Purcell, Killorn, Gudas · PIT Cooke, Eaton, Engelland, Malkin, Bennett

  63. P3 4:23Shot by Murray, saved by Bishop
  64. P3 4:45Goal by Jokinen (Murray, Dupuis)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Carle, Barberio, Johnson, Panik, Connolly · PIT Morrow, Dupuis, Murray, Jokinen, Letang

  65. P3 5:06Shot by Glass, saved by Bishop
  66. P3 5:19Crombeen: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Crombeen, Thompson, Aulie, Labrie · PIT Iginla, Murray, Kunitz, Glass, Niskanen

  67. P3 5:19Murray: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Crombeen, Thompson, Aulie, Labrie · PIT Iginla, Murray, Kunitz, Glass, Niskanen

  68. P3 5:19Murray: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Crombeen, Thompson, Aulie, Labrie · PIT Iginla, Murray, Kunitz, Glass, Niskanen

  69. P3 5:19Crombeen: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Crombeen, Thompson, Aulie, Labrie · PIT Iginla, Murray, Kunitz, Glass, Niskanen

  70. P3 6:09Malone: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Malone, Stamkos, Barberio · PIT Cooke, Orpik, Kennedy, Sutter

  71. P3 6:09Orpik: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Malone, Stamkos, Barberio · PIT Cooke, Orpik, Kennedy, Sutter

  72. P3 6:09Stamkos: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Malone, Stamkos, Barberio · PIT Cooke, Orpik, Kennedy, Sutter

  73. P3 7:40Shot by Kennedy, saved by Bishop4v5
  74. P3 9:39Shot by Malkin, saved by Bishop
  75. P3 12:22Shot by Connolly, saved by Vokoun
  76. P3 14:02Gudas: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Malone, Purcell, Barberio, Gudas · PIT Cooke, Eaton, Engelland, Kennedy, Sutter

  77. P3 14:25Shot by Kunitz, saved by Bishop
  78. P3 15:02Aulie: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Killorn, Aulie, Stamkos, Barberio · PIT Cooke, Murray, Engelland, Kennedy, Sutter

  79. P3 15:31Shot by Niskanen, saved by Bishop4v5
  80. P3 16:00Thompson: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Salo, Carle, Crombeen, Thompson · PIT Iginla, Jokinen, Kunitz, Malkin, Letang

  81. P3 16:20Shot by Malkin, saved by Bishop3v5
  82. P3 16:38Shot by Jokinen, saved by Bishop3v5
  83. P3 16:40Goal by Glass (Jokinen, Iginla)3v50 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Lecavalier, Carle · PIT Iginla, Jokinen, Glass, Malkin, Letang

  84. P3 17:57Shot by Adams, saved by Bishop4v5
  85. P3 18:03Shot by Cooke, saved by Bishop
  86. P3 18:30Engelland: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Aulie, Stamkos, Barberio · PIT Orpik, Engelland, Glass, Sutter, Bennett

  87. P3 19:42Goal by Purcell (St. Louis, Carle)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Carle, Purcell, Stamkos · PIT Cooke, Murray, Glass, Niskanen

  88. P3 19:50Shot by Dupuis, saved by Bishop
  89. P3 0:00Period end
  90. P3 0:00Final