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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 11, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Pittsburgh Penguins 6, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 75% of the time.

TBL winsPIT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PIT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Iginla–Kunitz–MalkinCooke–Kennedy–SutterMorrow–Dupuis–JokinenAdams–Glass–BennettMurray–NiskanenOrpik–LetangEaton–EngellandEaton–NiskanenOrpik–NiskanenEaton–OrpikEngelland–LetangEngelland–NiskanenMurray–Engelland
St. Louis–Malone–Stamkos4:020.11–0.190:320.00–0.002:000.09–0.000:410.00–0.002:090.07–0.074:150.02–0.172:220.18–0.001:020.02–0.02
Lecavalier–Purcell–Killorn3:050.03–0.033:390.13–0.001:120.04–0.354:040.16–0.351:450.00–0.001:350.01–0.000:510.02–0.00
Crombeen–Thompson–Labrie0:340.04–0.001:050.00–0.002:330.00–0.071:110.04–0.061:340.04–0.002:050.00–0.030:340.00–0.00
Johnson–Panik–Connolly0:530.00–0.081:370.05–0.080:560.00–0.072:280.09–0.080:370.00–0.000:590.05–0.00
St. Louis–Killorn–Stamkos0:390.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Lecavalier–Malone–Purcell0:450.00–0.04
Thompson–Labrie–Panik0:380.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
St. Louis–Labrie–Stamkos0:310.00–0.020:350.00–0.02
Salo–Carle3:230.02–0.141:230.00–0.040:500.00–0.031:140.00–0.001:300.04–0.033:270.00–0.101:110.00–0.030:460.02–0.00
Barberio–Gudas3:200.13–0.001:390.00–0.001:470.13–0.020:540.00–0.002:190.14–0.000:440.00–0.001:010.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Brewer–Aulie1:420.00–0.011:110.00–0.001:090.00–0.073:290.09–0.110:350.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Brewer–Carle1:060.07–0.100:390.08–0.000:460.08–0.001:230.14–0.00
Carle–Gudas1:140.00–0.070:450.00–0.040:560.00–0.070:540.00–0.00
Brewer–Gudas0:440.00–0.000:420.04–0.331:040.00–0.030:530.04–0.331:200.00–0.03
Aulie–Barberio0:360.00–0.000:420.02–0.090:360.00–0.00
Carle–Barberio0:480.05–0.080:340.05–0.00
Brewer–Barberio1:020.09–0.000:480.07–0.00
Aulie–Gudas0:420.04–0.040:510.00–0.040:330.04–0.00
Salo–Brewer0:400.02–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMalone FSt. Louis FStamkos FLecavalier FPurcell FKillorn FConnolly FJohnson FPanik FCrombeen FThompson FLabrie FSalo DCarle DBrewer DAulie DGudas DBarberio DBishop GIginla FKunitz FMalkin FSutter FCooke FKennedy FDupuis FMorrow FJokinen FAdams FBennett FGlass FOrpik DLetang DNiskanen DMurray DEaton DEngelland DVokoun G
TBLPITFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Matt CarleTBL3124:470:482:2355
Matt NiskanenPIT2824:170:522:0852
Kris LetangPIT2823:310:502:0872
Eric BrewerTBL3022:040:441:5528
Martin St. LouisTBL2221:280:591:5313
Sami SaloTBL2620:230:471:2564
Steven StamkosTBL2219:230:531:5313
Brooks OrpikPIT2419:020:481:5823
Evgeni MalkinPIT2218:460:511:5941
Mark EatonPIT2317:440:461:1713
Vincent LecavalierTBL2517:400:421:3254
Alex KillornTBL2417:310:441:1534
Jarome IginlaPIT2217:220:471:3861
Mark BarberioTBL2616:470:391:2053
Chris KunitzPIT2216:380:451:2871
Matt CookePIT2116:270:471:3032
Douglas MurrayPIT2116:200:471:4523
Teddy PurcellTBL2115:500:451:2062
Radko GudasTBL1915:430:501:4615
Keith AulieTBL2315:240:401:2805
Nate ThompsonTBL2515:200:371:0137
Tyler KennedyPIT1914:580:471:3041
Brandon SutterPIT2214:530:411:4524
Pascal DupuisPIT2314:520:391:2724
Craig AdamsPIT1914:370:461:3033
Jussi JokinenPIT2114:350:421:5754
Brenden MorrowPIT1713:380:481:2912
B.J. CrombeenTBL1912:480:401:0115
Deryk EngellandPIT2012:400:381:0742
Ryan MaloneTBL1912:340:401:0712
Beau BennettPIT1612:300:472:1431
Tyler JohnsonTBL1612:290:471:3103
Richard PanikTBL1511:360:461:2712
Pierre-Cedric LabrieTBL159:310:381:0123
Tanner GlassPIT159:270:380:5740
Brett ConnollyTBL106:460:411:0301