Thu, Apr 11, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Pittsburgh Penguins 6, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 75% of the time.
17%
69%
TBL winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 24:17 | 0.22 | 57.6% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 23:31 | 0.12 | 68.1% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:02 | 0.00 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 18:46 | 0.45 | 62.3% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:44 | 0.02 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:22 | 0.09 | 68.9% | +18.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:38 | 0.23 | 67.4% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:27 | 0.12 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:20 | 0.02 | 70.1% | +6.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14:58 | 0.31 | 60.3% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:53 | 0.11 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 14:52 | 0.40 | 63.2% | +46.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:37 | 0.17 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 14:35 | 0.41 | 58.7% | +26.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 13:38 | 0.09 | 50.7% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:40 | 0.00 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:30 | 0.01 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:27 | 0.54 | 66.7% | +0.1 |
| W | 19 | 16 | 3 | .842 | 1.76 | −1.2 | 59:46 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 24:47 | 0.02 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:04 | 0.04 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:28 | 0.20 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:23 | 0.05 | 32.5% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:23 | 0.14 | 55.1% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:40 | 0.01 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 17:31 | 0.12 | 38.4% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:47 | 0.00 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 15:50 | 0.44 | 29.2% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:43 | 0.15 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:24 | 0.00 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:20 | 0.05 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:48 | 0.14 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:34 | 0.09 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:29 | 0.03 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 11:36 | 0.00 | 52.8% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:31 | 0.06 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 6:46 | 0.24 | 43.3% | +15.4 |
| L | 41 | 35 | 6 | .854 | 3.31 | −2.7 | 59:58 |