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Ice Lab

Mon, Apr 22, 2013·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Winnipeg Jets 2, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 80% of the time.

BUF winsWPG wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Santorelli–Tangradi–BurmistrovLadd–Wheeler–LittleWellwood–Wright–KaneMiettinen–Thorburn–GagnonMiettinen–Wright–KaneSantorelli–Tangradi–WrightSantorelli–Wright–KaneGagnon–Wright–KaneWheeler–Gagnon–LittleMeech–ByfuglienHainsey–ClitsomeStuart–PostmaHainsey–StuartByfuglien–ClitsomeStuart–ByfuglienHainsey–ByfuglienMeech–Postma
Vanek–Hodgson–Ennis2:250.04–0.013:540.18–0.073:380.02–0.010:460.00–0.000:470.04–0.001:010.07–0.001:400.00–0.018:560.36–0.100:310.00–0.002:170.04–0.000:430.05–0.00
Hecht–Stafford–Grigorenko6:420.02–0.242:050.13–0.020:520.07–0.730:390.01–0.001:000.00–0.154:300.19–0.741:040.00–0.003:520.02–0.041:000.00–0.100:410.00–0.00
Ott–Porter–Flynn0:590.00–0.005:390.07–0.151:190.09–0.051:520.00–0.000:340.00–0.024:510.02–0.091:270.00–0.023:330.03–0.060:560.09–0.05
Gerbe–Scott–Foligno2:010.20–0.400:430.05–0.001:320.01–0.000:350.02–0.001:520.12–0.111:230.07–0.002:370.16–0.29
Ehrhoff–Sekera2:050.18–0.016:580.30–0.134:220.15–0.810:380.00–0.020:460.00–0.001:000.00–0.157:040.37–1.147:230.13–0.151:020.00–0.001:040.07–0.000:480.09–0.05
Pardy–Pysyk6:240.15–0.614:020.07–0.102:240.06–0.001:230.01–0.001:130.14–0.023:340.00–0.164:010.24–0.004:320.22–0.352:590.00–0.100:300.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Weber–Ruhwedel3:560.00–0.050:490.02–0.013:380.01–0.171:050.02–0.020:450.04–0.004:210.04–0.172:270.06–0.034:440.00–0.150:420.02–0.010:300.00–0.04
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndOtt FPorter FFlynn FHodgson FVanek FEnnis FStafford FGrigorenko FHecht FScott FGerbe FFoligno FPardy DPysyk DEhrhoff DSekera DRuhwedel DWeber DEnroth GLadd FLittle FWheeler FKane FWellwood FWright FBurmistrov FSantorelli FTangradi FMiettinen FGagnon FThorburn FMeech DByfuglien DHainsey DClitsome DPostma DStuart DPavelec G
BUFWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dustin ByfuglienWPG2424:031:002:2231
Christian EhrhoffBUF2623:380:551:5223
Andrej SekeraBUF2422:210:561:5213
Ron HainseyWPG2322:170:581:5641
Adam PardyBUF2622:080:511:2815
Grant ClitsomeWPG2120:330:591:3431
Bryan LittleWPG2020:011:001:5622
Derek MeechWPG2119:530:571:5142
Blake WheelerWPG2019:511:001:4522
Thomas VanekBUF1718:521:071:3715
Evander KaneWPG2018:450:561:4521
Mark PysykBUF2018:090:541:2812
Mike WeberBUF2317:570:471:2519
Eric TangradiWPG1617:391:061:4831
Jochen HechtBUF1917:270:551:3334
Mark StuartWPG2117:150:491:2021
Cody HodgsonBUF1817:140:571:3715
Drew StaffordBUF2017:070:511:5344
Alexander BurmistrovWPG1617:011:041:5131
Mike SantorelliWPG1617:011:041:4431
Tyler EnnisBUF1816:580:572:0123
Andrew LaddWPG1816:540:562:0123
Brian FlynnBUF2116:530:481:4904
Kevin PorterBUF1916:410:531:3704
James WrightWPG1816:290:551:4031
Steve OttBUF1816:280:551:3302
Paul PostmaWPG2015:590:481:2041
Mikhail GrigorenkoBUF1515:181:011:2932
Chad RuhwedelBUF1814:160:481:2518
Kyle WellwoodWPG1110:330:581:2110
Antti MiettinenWPG159:540:401:1150
Nathan GerbeBUF118:390:471:2902
Aaron GagnonWPG128:390:431:2243
John ScottBUF107:330:451:1312
Marcus FolignoBUF117:130:391:0312
Chris ThorburnWPG106:540:411:0440