Sat, Oct 12, 2013·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Edmonton Oilers 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 6 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 61% of the time.
30%
9%
9%
52%
TOR winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:45 | 0.05 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 4 | 25:20 | 0.13 | 55.2% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 23:48 | 0.14 | 70.7% | +43.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:42 | 0.22 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:35 | 0.11 | 70.4% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:06 | 0.01 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:03 | 0.00 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 3 | 18:06 | 0.22 | 30.2% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:59 | 0.00 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:05 | 0.09 | 71.0% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 1 | 16:07 | 0.07 | 86.5% | +71.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 15:39 | 0.40 | 88.3% | +57.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:26 | 0.15 | 33.0% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:42 | 0.06 | 16.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 12:39 | 0.80 | 88.9% | +44.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:27 | 0.09 | 88.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:38 | 0.03 | 74.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:31 | 0.00 | 74.3% | 0.0 |
| O | 26 | 20 | 6 | .769 | 1.97 | −4.0 | 62:09 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 24:58 | 0.04 | 32.2% | +36.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 24:03 | 0.12 | 34.3% | +29.1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 22:54 | 0.18 | 54.6% | +50.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:59 | 0.03 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:36 | 0.31 | 21.9% | +29.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 21:11 | 0.01 | 50.9% | +44.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 2 | 20:29 | 0.11 | 14.6% | +72.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:59 | 0.00 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 17:43 | 0.04 | 26.6% | +66.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:14 | 0.35 | 43.7% | +51.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:53 | 0.01 | 27.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 15:31 | 0.19 | 32.7% | +62.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 15:20 | 0.18 | 33.6% | +33.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:39 | 0.31 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:44 | 0.00 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 6:53 | 0.09 | 32.7% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:54 | 0.00 | 8.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:21 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 26 | 5 | .839 | 2.56 | −2.4 | 61:43 |