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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 12, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 69% of the time.

TBL winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:04Adams: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Malone, Stamkos, Hedman · PIT Adams, Orpik, Martin, Glass, Malkin

  3. P1 0:04Malone: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Malone, Stamkos, Hedman · PIT Adams, Orpik, Martin, Glass, Malkin

  4. P1 0:27Kobasew: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Purcell, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman · PIT Orpik, Martin, Kobasew, Glass, Malkin

  5. P1 1:17Shot by Johnson, saved by Fleury5v4
  6. P1 3:06Shot by Engelland, saved by Lindback
  7. P1 3:42Shot by Killorn, saved by Fleury
  8. P1 4:28Shot by Crosby, saved by Lindback
  9. P1 5:23Malkin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, Purcell, Johnson, Hedman, Palat · PIT Engelland, Jokinen, Malkin, Bennett, Maatta

  10. P1 6:07Shot by St. Louis, saved by Fleury5v4
  11. P1 6:45Shot by Gudas, saved by Fleury5v4
  12. P1 7:43Shot by Kunitz, saved by Lindback
  13. P1 8:34Shot by Gudas, saved by Fleury
  14. P1 10:11Martin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Killorn, Hedman, Panik, Gudas · PIT Orpik, Martin, Kobasew, Sutter, Jeffrey

  15. P1 12:16Shot by Thompson, saved by Fleury
  16. P1 13:25Goal by Filppula (Killorn, Panik)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, Filppula, Killorn, Hedman, Panik · PIT Engelland, Jokinen, Malkin, Bennett, Maatta

  17. P1 14:07Shot by Kunitz, saved by Lindback
  18. P1 15:31Shot by Malone, saved by Fleury
  19. P1 16:37Shot by Dupuis, saved by Lindback
  20. P1 16:38Gudas: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Killorn, Panik, Gudas · PIT Dupuis, Orpik, Martin, Kunitz, Crosby

  21. P1 16:59Shot by Niskanen, saved by Lindback4v5
  22. P1 17:51Shot by Malkin, saved by Lindback4v5
  23. P1 18:07Shot by Jokinen, saved by Lindback4v5
  24. P1 18:33Shot by Martin, saved by Lindback4v5
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:33Shot by Sustr, saved by Fleury
  28. P2 1:34Brewer: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Malone, Stamkos, Sustr · PIT Orpik, Martin, Kobasew, Sutter, Jeffrey

  29. P2 1:34Malone: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Malone, Stamkos, Sustr · PIT Orpik, Martin, Kobasew, Sutter, Jeffrey

  30. P2 2:12Shot by Jokinen, saved by Lindback4v5
  31. P2 2:14Goal by Crosby (Jokinen, Kunitz)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, Crombeen, Thompson, Hedman · PIT Martin, Jokinen, Kunitz, Malkin, Crosby

  32. P2 4:36Shot by St. Louis, saved by Fleury
  33. P2 5:11Goal by Stamkos (St. Louis, Hedman)+23 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Thompson, Stamkos, Hedman · PIT Orpik, Martin, Kunitz, Malkin, Crosby

  34. P2 6:47Shot by Kobasew, saved by Lindback
  35. P2 6:56Shot by Orpik, saved by Lindback
  36. P2 7:01Goal by Orpik (Dupuis, Kunitz)+23 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Carle, Stamkos, Panik, Gudas · PIT Dupuis, Orpik, Martin, Kunitz, Crosby

  37. P2 7:47Shot by Dupuis, saved by Lindback
  38. P2 10:01Shot by Sutter, saved by Lindback
  39. P2 10:03Panik: Delaying game (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, Filppula, Killorn, Hedman, Panik · PIT Martin, Kobasew, Niskanen, Sutter, Jeffrey

  40. P2 10:13Shot by Malkin, saved by Lindback4v5
  41. P2 13:48Maatta: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Killorn, Panik, Gudas · PIT Adams, Engelland, Glass, Crosby, Maatta

  42. P2 14:23Shot by Stamkos, saved by Fleury5v4
  43. P2 15:25Shot by Malone, saved by Fleury5v4
  44. P2 15:30Shot by Malone, saved by Fleury5v4
  45. P2 15:42Goal by Purcell (Salo, St. Louis)5v4+26 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Malone, Purcell, Stamkos · PIT Dupuis, Scuderi, Martin, Vitale

  46. P2 16:14Shot by Johnson, saved by Fleury
  47. P2 19:40Shot by Malkin, saved by Lindback
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:25Goal by Crosby (Scuderi, Niskanen)+27 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Killorn, Panik, Gudas · PIT Dupuis, Scuderi, Kunitz, Crosby, Niskanen

  51. P3 7:09Shot by Kunitz, saved by Lindback
  52. P3 8:27Shot by Malkin, saved by Lindback
  53. P3 8:28Killorn: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, Filppula, Killorn, Hedman, Panik · PIT Orpik, Martin, Kobasew, Jokinen, Malkin

  54. P3 8:44Shot by Malkin, saved by Lindback4v5
  55. P3 10:26Goal by Crosby (Jokinen, Malkin)4v5+28 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Filppula, Carle · PIT Jokinen, Malkin, Crosby, Niskanen, Maatta

  56. P3 11:43Shot by Adams, saved by Lindback
  57. P3 12:06Shot by Orpik, saved by Lindback
  58. P3 14:28Shot by Hedman, saved by Fleury
  59. P3 15:26Kunitz: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Carle, Killorn, Johnson, Panik, Gudas · PIT Dupuis, Scuderi, Kunitz, Crosby, Niskanen

  60. P3 16:58Goal by Killorn (Panik, Johnson)5v4+37 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Killorn, Johnson, Panik · PIT Adams, Orpik, Martin, Glass

  61. P3 19:03Panik: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, Filppula, Killorn, Hedman, Panik · PIT Orpik, Martin, Kobasew, Jokinen, Malkin

  62. P3 19:41Goal by Niskanen (Malkin, Crosby)4v5+32 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Filppula, Carle, Gudas · PIT Martin, Kunitz, Malkin, Crosby, Niskanen

  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Final