Sat, Oct 12, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 69% of the time.
22%
9%
9%
59%
TBL winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28:09 | 0.12 | 87.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25:50 | 0.16 | 86.2% | +23.0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 4 | 22:09 | 0.75 | 77.3% | +108.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:08 | 0.00 | 56.7% | +26.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:02 | 0.19 | 87.1% | +23.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 19:27 | 0.12 | 47.2% | +59.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 5 | 19:05 | 0.49 | 64.6% | +61.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:43 | 0.28 | 81.8% | +44.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:10 | 0.14 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:03 | 0.06 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:27 | 0.05 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 14:12 | 0.34 | 46.8% | +49.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:28 | 0.03 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:52 | 0.00 | 79.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:24 | 0.06 | 22.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:33 | 0.00 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:47 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:05 | 0.00 | 39.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 18 | 14 | 4 | .778 | 1.81 | −2.2 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25:32 | 0.12 | 27.0% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 24:29 | 0.00 | 11.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 24:13 | 0.09 | 14.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21:30 | 0.11 | 42.5% | +48.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21:17 | 0.16 | 31.3% | +57.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 0 | 20:46 | 0.13 | 27.7% | +57.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:23 | 0.46 | 42.5% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 19:10 | 0.05 | 58.8% | +25.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:41 | 0.04 | 57.2% | +22.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:57 | 0.14 | 31.1% | +25.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:04 | 0.10 | 31.4% | +36.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:04 | 0.00 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:08 | 0.24 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:19 | 0.02 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:52 | 0.12 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 8:31 | 0.03 | 19.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:50 | 0.00 | 23.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:05 | 0.00 | 16.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 21 | 5 | .808 | 2.80 | −2.2 | 59:53 |