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Ice Lab

Mon, Nov 25, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

New York Rangers 0, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 64% of the time.

TBL winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:52Shot by Kreider, saved by Bishop
  3. P1 1:25Shot by Stralman, saved by Bishop
  4. P1 1:33Shot by Palat, saved by Lundqvist
  5. P1 1:44Shot by Johnson, saved by Lundqvist
  6. P1 2:09Shot by Brewer, saved by Lundqvist
  7. P1 2:12Goal by Kucherov (Purcell, Brewer)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Purcell, Killorn, Barberio, Kucherov · NYR Pouliot, Brassard, Hagelin, Del Zotto, Moore

  8. P1 2:14Labrie: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Carle, Crombeen, Thompson, Labrie, Sustr · NYR Moore, Boyle, Girardi, Dorsett, McDonagh

  9. P1 2:14Dorsett: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Carle, Crombeen, Thompson, Labrie, Sustr · NYR Moore, Boyle, Girardi, Dorsett, McDonagh

  10. P1 3:10Goal by St. Louis (Filppula, Hedman)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Filppula, Hedman, Brown · NYR Richards, Nash, Callahan, Staal, Stralman

  11. P1 2:36Shot by McDonagh, saved by Bishop
  12. P1 5:15Del Zotto: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Carle, Purcell, Killorn, Kucherov, Sustr · NYR Pouliot, Brassard, Hagelin, Del Zotto, Moore

  13. P1 5:38Shot by Brown, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  14. P1 6:54Shot by Salo, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  15. P1 7:40Shot by Moore, saved by Bishop
  16. P1 7:49Shot by Nash, saved by Bishop
  17. P1 7:55Shot by Richards, saved by Bishop
  18. P1 9:00Shot by Brassard, saved by Bishop
  19. P1 9:06Shot by Hagelin, saved by Bishop
  20. P1 9:26Brewer: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Purcell, Killorn, Barberio, Kucherov · NYR Pouliot, Brassard, Hagelin, Del Zotto, Moore

  21. P1 9:50Shot by Nash, saved by Bishop4v5
  22. P1 10:05Shot by Callahan, saved by Bishop4v5
  23. P1 12:03Shot by Boyle, saved by Bishop
  24. P1 12:58Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Bishop
  25. P1 13:31Shot by Palat, saved by Lundqvist
  26. P1 13:42Hedman: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, Johnson, Hedman, Panik, Palat · NYR Richards, Nash, Callahan, Del Zotto, Moore

  27. P1 16:21Shot by Moore, saved by Bishop
  28. P1 16:39Shot by Stralman, saved by Bishop
  29. P1 17:10Shot by Crombeen, saved by Lundqvist
  30. P1 18:04Shot by Staal, saved by Bishop
  31. P1 18:32Shot by Nash, saved by Bishop
  32. P1 19:29Shot by Purcell, saved by Lundqvist
  33. P1 19:43Shot by Kreider, saved by Bishop
  34. P1 0:00Period end
  35. P2 0:00Period start
  36. P2 0:21Shot by Nash, saved by Bishop
  37. P2 0:31Shot by Brown, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P2 1:23Shot by Staal, saved by Bishop
  39. P2 3:12Goal by St. Louis (Filppula, Sustr)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Filppula, Carle, Brown, Sustr · NYR Moore, Boyle, Girardi, Dorsett, McDonagh

  40. P2 3:37Shot by St. Louis, saved by Lundqvist
  41. P2 4:15Shot by Panik, saved by Lundqvist
  42. P2 4:22Shot by Palat, saved by Lundqvist
  43. P2 4:29Shot by Johnson, saved by Lundqvist
  44. P2 4:43Shot by Barberio, saved by Lundqvist
  45. P2 5:51Killorn: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, Purcell, Killorn, Hedman, Kucherov · NYR Richards, Nash, Callahan, Girardi, McDonagh

  46. P2 6:04Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Bishop4v5
  47. P2 6:49Crombeen: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Crombeen, Thompson, Hedman · NYR Richards, Callahan, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan

  48. P2 7:25Shot by Nash, saved by Bishop3v5
  49. P2 7:35Shot by Thompson, saved by Lundqvist3v5
  50. P2 7:44Shot by Callahan, saved by Bishop3v5
  51. P2 7:52Shot by Richards, saved by Bishop4v5
  52. P2 7:58Shot by Girardi, saved by Bishop4v5
  53. P2 9:01Staal: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Carle, Crombeen, Thompson, Sustr · NYR Pouliot, Staal, Stralman, Stepan, Kreider

  54. P2 11:06Shot by Killorn, saved by Lundqvist
  55. P2 11:21Shot by Panik, saved by Lundqvist
  56. P2 11:27Shot by Carle, saved by Lundqvist
  57. P2 11:34Stralman: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Carle, Thompson, Panik, Palat, Sustr · NYR Richards, Nash, Stralman, McDonagh, Zuccarello

  58. P2 16:52Goal by Purcell, unassisted+3 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, Carle, Purcell, Killorn, Kucherov · NYR Richards, Nash, Callahan, Girardi, McDonagh

  59. P2 17:45Shot by Moore, saved by Bishop
  60. P2 18:13Shot by Stepan, saved by Bishop
  61. P2 18:17Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Bishop
  62. P2 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Period start
  64. P3 2:19Killorn: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Purcell, Killorn, Barberio, Kucherov · NYR Callahan, Pouliot, Brassard, Del Zotto, Moore

  65. P3 2:21Shot by Stepan, saved by Bishop4v5
  66. P3 2:43Shot by Nash, saved by Bishop4v5
  67. P3 3:15Shot by McDonagh, saved by Bishop4v5
  68. P3 3:50Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Bishop4v5
  69. P3 4:45Shot by Salo, saved by Talbot
  70. P3 4:50Shot by St. Louis, saved by Talbot
  71. P3 5:34Shot by Brassard, saved by Bishop
  72. P3 6:26Shot by McDonagh, saved by Bishop
  73. P3 8:37Shot by Boyle, saved by Bishop
  74. P3 11:17Shot by Hagelin, saved by Bishop
  75. P3 11:19Hedman: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, Johnson, Hedman, Panik, Palat · NYR Richards, Nash, Hagelin, Del Zotto, Moore

  76. P3 13:10Shot by Boyle, saved by Bishop4v5
  77. P3 15:10Shot by Moore, saved by Bishop
  78. P3 18:59Goal by Purcell (St. Louis, Killorn)0 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Purcell, Killorn, Hedman · NYR Richards, Nash, Hagelin, Del Zotto, Moore

  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final