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Ice Lab

Mon, Nov 25, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

New York Rangers 0, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 64% of the time.

TBL winsNYR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stepan–Kreider–ZuccarelloRichards–Nash–CallahanMoore–Boyle–DorsettPouliot–Brassard–HagelinCallahan–Pouliot–BrassardRichards–Nash–HagelinStaal–StralmanDel Zotto–MooreGirardi–McDonaghStralman–McDonagh
St. Louis–Filppula–Brown1:300.10–0.003:540.16–0.142:490.18–0.261:560.00–0.000:550.00–0.005:310.31–0.271:360.00–0.113:520.13–0.09
Johnson–Panik–Palat3:030.00–0.030:410.10–0.003:030.05–0.000:430.00–0.011:310.00–0.134:280.02–0.033:390.15–0.130:450.00–0.00
Purcell–Killorn–Kucherov0:470.07–0.081:580.10–0.001:360.15–0.212:210.00–0.121:230.00–0.011:420.03–0.023:480.15–0.222:420.07–0.20
Crombeen–Thompson–Palat0:500.00–0.000:590.00–0.021:160.00–0.00
St. Louis–Crombeen–Thompson0:310.00–0.000:490.00–0.000:460.01–0.00
Carle–Sustr5:000.10–0.140:450.00–0.003:470.10–0.111:290.00–0.100:540.00–0.005:520.10–0.162:250.04–0.113:480.10–0.090:380.05–0.06
Salo–Hedman0:340.00–0.006:030.29–0.150:560.00–0.001:460.04–0.001:350.07–0.132:410.17–0.083:460.17–0.254:040.03–0.02
Brewer–Barberio2:470.07–0.120:430.00–0.000:430.05–0.001:360.15–0.132:040.00–0.021:320.00–0.013:490.02–0.024:040.22–0.141:080.00–0.080:570.07–0.04
Carle–Hedman0:410.00–0.100:530.00–0.12
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBrown FSt. Louis FFilppula FJohnson FPalat FPanik FPurcell FKucherov FKillorn FCrombeen FThompson FLabrie FSalo DHedman DCarle DSustr DBrewer DBarberio DBishop GRichards FCallahan FNash FKreider FStepan FZuccarello FBrassard FPouliot FHagelin FDorsett FBoyle FMoore FGirardi DMcDonagh DStralman DStaal DDel Zotto DMoore DLundqvist GTalbot G
TBLNYRFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryan McDonaghNYR2622:550:531:2663
Victor HedmanTBL2921:590:451:3338
Andrej SustrTBL2521:440:521:3816
Matt CarleTBL2721:330:481:4218
Dan GirardiNYR2721:130:471:4274
Ryan CallahanNYR2420:100:502:1050
Anton StralmanNYR2519:290:471:3553
Ondrej PalatTBL2619:230:451:1526
Martin St. LouisTBL2118:520:541:4334
Marc StaalNYR2318:520:491:3563
Sami SaloTBL2718:470:421:2509
Brad RichardsNYR2418:470:471:3770
Tyler JohnsonTBL2618:380:431:3327
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2018:360:561:2934
Derek StepanNYR2518:250:441:3761
Mats ZuccarelloNYR2318:120:471:2270
Rick NashNYR2417:350:441:1190
Michael Del ZottoNYR2417:210:431:1460
JT BrownTBL2016:450:501:2933
Chris KreiderNYR2115:390:451:2270
Derick BrassardNYR1915:350:491:2261
Eric BrewerTBL2215:270:421:3113
John MooreNYR2115:220:441:3140
Richard PanikTBL1814:350:491:3324
Teddy PurcellTBL1614:200:541:4424
Nate ThompsonTBL2214:150:391:2418
Alex KillornTBL1914:130:451:3305
Mark BarberioTBL1913:300:431:0814
B.J. CrombeenTBL2113:140:381:2108
Carl HagelinNYR1712:250:441:1621
Nikita KucherovTBL1611:310:431:3704
Brian BoyleNYR1611:240:431:0827
Benoit PouliotNYR1611:090:421:0541
Dominic MooreNYR1611:010:411:0836
Derek DorsettNYR148:260:361:0834
Pierre-Cedric LabrieTBL20:380:190:3601