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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 27, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Philadelphia Flyers 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 63% of the time.

TBL winsPHI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PHI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Hartnell–Giroux–VoracekLecavalier–Simmonds–SchennDownie–Couturier–RafflHall–Rosehill–RinaldoStreit–GrossmannTimonen–CoburnSchenn–GustafssonCoburn–Gustafsson
St. Louis–Filppula–Brown1:530.07–0.002:220.01–0.006:140.18–0.170:380.00–0.005:490.20–0.124:450.00–0.071:400.07–0.00
Purcell–Killorn–Kucherov2:250.12–0.123:420.17–0.631:180.11–0.000:380.09–0.002:020.19–0.442:060.11–0.054:170.20–0.27
Johnson–Panik–Palat3:480.08–0.001:490.10–0.041:330.10–0.002:580.00–0.043:170.11–0.002:080.14–0.00
Crombeen–Thompson–Palat0:550.04–0.020:470.01–0.100:400.00–0.000:400.02–0.020:500.03–0.09
Crombeen–Thompson–Killorn0:460.00–0.00
Crombeen–Thompson–Panik0:330.02–0.001:020.03–0.04
Crombeen–Thompson–Purcell0:490.00–0.14
St. Louis–Crombeen–Thompson0:300.00–0.05
Carle–Sustr2:560.09–0.003:320.11–0.173:000.24–0.020:310.00–0.004:220.24–0.054:210.04–0.082:530.16–0.220:320.02–0.00
Brewer–Barberio4:230.27–0.020:590.00–0.162:340.10–0.030:350.09–0.001:050.00–0.142:400.12–0.054:020.33–0.14
Salo–Hedman1:480.01–0.002:050.10–0.051:270.01–0.040:440.00–0.002:090.02–0.043:140.09–0.050:450.01–0.00
Salo–Aulie0:440.00–0.031:060.00–0.001:200.09–0.002:190.00–0.031:320.09–0.00
Barberio–Hedman0:480.00–0.000:420.02–0.001:070.02–0.000:550.00–0.000:320.02–0.00
Aulie–Hedman0:310.00–0.001:140.08–0.441:140.08–0.440:310.00–0.00
Carle–Barberio1:310.00–0.120:350.00–0.000:560.00–0.12
Hedman–Sustr1:030.06–0.001:030.06–0.00
Carle–Aulie0:370.06–0.080:370.06–0.08
Carle–Hedman0:560.00–0.000:430.00–0.00
Brewer–Sustr0:340.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBrown FSt. Louis FFilppula FJohnson FPalat FPanik FCrombeen FThompson FPurcell FKillorn FKucherov FSalo DHedman DSustr DCarle DBrewer DBarberio DAulie DLindback GSchenn FSimmonds FLecavalier FDownie FRaffl FCouturier FHartnell FGiroux FVoracek FHall FRinaldo FRosehill FCoburn DTimonen DGrossmann DStreit DSchenn DGustafsson DEmery G
TBLPHIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Martin St. LouisTBL2222:101:001:4733
Victor HedmanTBL2422:080:552:0955
Braydon CoburnPHI2721:530:491:4954
Kimmo TimonenPHI2921:030:441:2166
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2020:391:021:4734
Matt CarleTBL2120:110:581:4022
Mark StreitPHI2319:500:521:5013
Nicklas GrossmannPHI2419:380:491:5026
Claude GirouxPHI2119:180:551:2141
Tyler JohnsonTBL2418:280:462:2842
Andrej SustrTBL2018:010:541:4624
Jakub VoracekPHI2217:550:491:2142
Vincent LecavalierPHI2217:540:491:5544
Sean CouturierPHI2817:360:381:0636
Sami SaloTBL2217:340:481:1632
Erik GustafssonPHI2217:340:481:2104
Alex KillornTBL2017:090:511:3031
JT BrownTBL1917:080:541:3032
Luke SchennPHI2016:560:511:5402
Scott HartnellPHI1816:550:561:3722
Wayne SimmondsPHI2016:470:501:5553
Michael RafflPHI2516:400:401:1824
Ondrej PalatTBL2216:120:441:3433
Nikita KucherovTBL1715:560:561:5131
Teddy PurcellTBL1715:400:552:2441
Brayden SchennPHI2014:310:441:1843
Mark BarberioTBL1914:280:461:2151
Steve DowniePHI2114:120:411:2921
Richard PanikTBL2014:020:421:5433
Eric BrewerTBL1813:280:451:4132
Nate ThompsonTBL1711:550:420:5723
B.J. CrombeenTBL1711:380:411:0313
Zac RinaldoPHI118:550:491:3203
Adam HallPHI138:220:391:0104
Keith AulieTBL137:240:341:0131
Jay RosehillPHI74:490:410:5402