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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 5, 2013·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Carolina Hurricanes 5, Nashville Predators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 82% of the time.

NSH winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ruutu–Staal–SkinnerDwyer–Tlusty–StaalGerbe–Nash–LindholmDvorak–Malhotra–BowmanTlusty–Staal–LindholmDvorak–Gerbe–NashTlusty–Staal–NashMalhotra–Gerbe–LindholmRuutu–Staal–TlustyHainsey–MurphySekera–FaulkHainsey–HarrisonHarrison–FaulkKomisarek–HarrisonHarrison–MurphyHainsey–Faulk
Fisher–Hornqvist–Wilson4:020.00–0.351:040.00–0.021:080.00–0.000:470.00–0.001:310.00–0.002:560.02–0.004:010.00–0.301:520.21–0.001:070.00–0.000:540.00–0.02
Legwand–Smith–Bourque2:380.00–0.112:530.02–0.110:420.00–0.002:370.00–0.003:300.00–0.190:350.02–0.01
Cullen–Stalberg–Spaling1:070.04–0.152:030.20–0.031:020.00–0.000:310.00–0.020:550.40–0.001:550.04–0.000:520.00–0.031:440.32–0.191:010.00–0.001:470.28–0.04
Hendricks–Gaustad–Nystrom1:050.00–0.000:370.00–0.000:550.01–0.001:150.10–0.000:330.00–0.000:440.06–0.002:170.00–0.000:430.00–0.000:370.10–0.000:530.01–0.00
Cullen–Legwand–Smith0:460.00–0.000:510.00–0.240:460.00–0.000:510.00–0.24
Legwand–Nystrom–Smith1:040.00–0.110:380.00–0.11
Bartley–Jones0:370.02–0.002:080.00–0.030:330.00–0.011:330.00–0.001:040.00–0.110:310.00–0.020:510.00–0.243:170.06–0.003:190.02–0.380:570.00–0.001:220.10–0.030:500.00–0.02
Klein–Josi4:320.00–0.280:370.00–0.000:340.00–0.001:570.00–0.002:490.00–0.131:190.21–0.000:500.00–0.02
Ellis–Ekholm0:470.00–0.072:570.21–0.021:540.00–0.001:530.00–0.000:560.00–0.111:120.22–0.001:390.21–0.020:550.00–0.00
Josi–Jones4:410.07–0.101:440.04–0.002:510.04–0.100:360.00–0.00
Klein–Ekholm2:030.02–0.030:450.10–0.002:340.02–0.001:530.11–0.03
Bartley–Ellis1:190.00–0.060:470.00–0.001:070.00–0.060:310.00–0.001:070.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndFisher FHornqvist FWilson FLegwand FSmith FBourque FCullen FSpaling FStalberg FNystrom FHendricks FGaustad FJones DJosi DKlein DEkholm DEllis DBartley DMazanec GHutton GStaal FRuutu FSkinner FStaal FTlusty FDwyer FGerbe FLindholm FNash FDvorak FBowman FMalhotra FSekera DFaulk DMurphy DHainsey DKomisarek DHarrison DPeters G
NSHCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Justin FaulkCAR3526:330:461:0936
Seth JonesNSH2624:400:571:5514
Ron HainseyCAR3124:370:481:2011
Andrej SekeraCAR3024:260:491:4035
Ryan MurphyCAR2821:500:472:0541
Eric StaalCAR2920:530:431:4552
Victor BartleyNSH2020:291:011:5512
Roman JosiNSH2719:550:441:3724
Mike FisherNSH2519:210:461:1042
Kevin KleinNSH2418:460:471:4115
Jeff SkinnerCAR2318:180:481:4550
Colin WilsonNSH2217:420:481:4731
Tuomo RuutuCAR2317:420:461:2260
Ryan EllisNSH1917:180:551:5522
Jay HarrisonCAR2417:170:431:0913
Jordan StaalCAR2416:590:421:2310
Patric HornqvistNSH2316:440:441:1741
Nathan GerbeCAR2116:350:471:2330
David LegwandNSH1915:520:501:5241
Jiri TlustyCAR2215:200:421:3723
Matt CullenNSH1915:190:481:3732
Craig SmithNSH1915:160:481:5231
Mattias EkholmNSH1814:520:501:5513
Nick SpalingNSH1814:200:481:2612
Gabriel BourqueNSH2013:570:421:1431
Elias LindholmCAR1813:150:441:1230
Viktor StalbergNSH1812:450:431:2612
Riley NashCAR1812:350:421:1030
Radek DvorakCAR1812:210:411:2101
Manny MalhotraCAR2112:040:341:0903
Paul GaustadNSH1611:350:431:1415
Matt HendricksNSH1611:070:421:1405
Eric NystromNSH159:590:401:0502
Patrick DwyerCAR159:440:391:0900
Drayson BowmanCAR116:070:330:5700
Mike KomisarekCAR74:140:360:5411