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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 10, 2013·Verizon Center, Washington

Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Washington Capitals 6 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 53% of the time.

WSH winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Filppula–Purcell–KillornSt. Louis–Johnson–PalatThompson–Kucherov–BrownCrombeen–Thompson–PanikCrombeen–Killorn–PanikCarle–GudasSalo–BrewerBrewer–SustrSalo–TaorminaBrewer–BarberioCarle–SustrTaormina–GudasTaormina–SustrBrewer–GudasBarberio–SustrSalo–CarleSalo–Barberio
Chimera–Erat–Ward6:060.10–0.323:140.42–0.410:300.00–0.002:500.00–0.121:060.00–0.060:480.10–0.002:140.36–0.050:350.00–0.450:470.00–0.000:390.00–0.000:440.05–0.00
Fehr–Grabovski–Brouwer1:190.06–0.033:030.00–0.041:280.00–0.050:480.20–0.002:080.20–0.091:100.06–0.032:390.05–0.021:210.00–0.000:390.00–0.000:430.00–0.000:390.00–0.02
Ovechkin–Backstrom–Johansson3:050.08–0.033:030.01–0.081:470.10–0.113:490.02–0.142:360.00–0.060:450.01–0.000:350.00–0.00
Beagle–Volpatti–Wilson1:490.10–0.000:530.00–0.090:340.00–0.001:040.10–0.000:320.00–0.00
Chimera–Ward–Beagle1:030.09–0.001:030.09–0.00
Carlson–Orlov4:400.06–0.166:190.01–0.571:000.10–0.163:220.00–0.152:590.06–0.002:150.13–0.041:200.00–0.110:330.00–0.030:590.00–0.001:130.01–0.00
Green–Alzner2:130.12–0.133:260.36–0.091:280.00–0.001:270.20–0.000:530.00–0.093:080.20–0.082:090.00–0.250:310.00–0.001:150.36–0.050:310.00–0.000:500.00–0.000:460.00–0.00
Oleksy–Schmidt1:010.02–0.003:220.10–0.241:370.02–0.110:570.00–0.030:340.00–0.000:520.00–0.081:120.10–0.00
Carlson–Schmidt2:240.16–0.050:310.00–0.000:580.00–0.030:380.00–0.051:500.16–0.00
Alzner–Oleksy1:340.10–0.181:130.16–0.00
Green–Orlov
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndErat FChimera FWard FOvechkin FBackstrom FJohansson FFehr FBrouwer FGrabovski FVolpatti FWilson FBeagle FAlzner DGreen DCarlson DOrlov DOleksy DSchmidt DHoltby GGrubauer GJohnson FPalat FSt. Louis FPurcell FKillorn FFilppula FBrown FThompson FKucherov FCrombeen FPanik FGudas DCarle DBrewer DSalo DTaormina DSustr DBarberio DBishop G
WSHTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

John CarlsonWSH3134:481:072:0329
Radko GudasTBL3128:380:552:1124
Matt CarleTBL3228:130:531:5312
Troy BrouwerWSH2523:430:571:4942
Karl AlznerWSH2523:130:561:5825
Alex OvechkinWSH2222:521:023:2945
Alex KillornTBL2622:200:522:0432
Eric BrewerTBL3022:020:442:0435
Nicklas BackstromWSH2721:550:491:4944
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2621:440:502:0463
Tyler JohnsonTBL2820:500:451:3673
Martin St. LouisTBL2720:450:461:3652
Sami SaloTBL3120:400:402:1851
Ondrej PalatTBL2920:250:421:3673
Teddy PurcellTBL2219:500:542:0440
Dmitry OrlovWSH1818:391:021:5503
Marcus JohanssonWSH2418:360:471:3045
Mikhail GrabovskiWSH2218:130:501:4942
Eric FehrWSH2118:060:521:2803
Mike GreenWSH2317:570:472:0534
Joel WardWSH2317:340:461:4214
Martin EratWSH2217:300:481:4603
Jason ChimeraWSH2316:450:441:3205
Nate ThompsonTBL2816:080:351:2255
Nate SchmidtWSH1714:210:511:5004
Nikita KucherovTBL2014:070:421:5351
Steve OleksyWSH1512:400:511:3112
Andrej SustrTBL1511:360:461:1921
Matt TaorminaTBL1611:330:431:3370
JT BrownTBL1811:020:371:1242
Jay BeagleWSH118:310:461:2404
B.J. CrombeenTBL148:310:371:2231
Mark BarberioTBL117:180:402:0420
Richard PanikTBL105:290:331:0831
Aaron VolpattiWSH64:320:451:1701
Tom WilsonWSH53:170:391:1701