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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 21, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Carolina Hurricanes 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 79% of the time.

TBL winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:17Shot by Killorn, saved by Peters
  3. P1 1:43Shot by Pyatt, saved by Peters
  4. P1 2:01Shot by Thompson, saved by Peters
  5. P1 4:35Goal by Tlusty (Dwyer, Nash)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Pyatt, Killorn, Panik, Sustr · CAR Hainsey, Harrison, Dwyer, Tlusty, Nash

  6. P1 5:06Dvorak: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Cote, Carle, Thompson, Kucherov, Brown · CAR Dvorak, Malhotra, Sekera, Bowman, Faulk

  7. P1 6:08Shot by Salo, saved by Peters5v4
  8. P1 6:34Shot by Carle, saved by Peters5v4
  9. P1 6:46Shot by Carle, saved by Peters5v4
  10. P1 7:12Shot by Carle, saved by Peters
  11. P1 7:20Shot by Palat, saved by Peters
  12. P1 7:25Shot by Gudas, saved by Peters
  13. P1 8:21Shot by Ruutu, saved by Bishop
  14. P1 9:00Shot by Gudas, saved by Peters
  15. P1 11:01Ruutu: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Carle, Johnson, Gudas, Palat · CAR Ruutu, Gleason, Harrison, Staal, Skinner

  16. P1 11:35Shot by Hedman, saved by Peters5v4
  17. P1 12:54Shot by Kucherov, saved by Peters5v4
  18. P1 13:10Shot by Carle, saved by Peters
  19. P1 13:29Gudas: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Pyatt, Panik, Gudas, Brown · CAR Malhotra, Ruutu, Gleason, Harrison, Skinner

  20. P1 15:01Shot by Faulk, saved by Bishop4v5
  21. P1 15:12Shot by Sekera, saved by Bishop4v5
  22. P1 15:56Shot by Sustr, saved by Peters
  23. P1 16:04Shot by Sustr, saved by Peters
  24. P1 16:12Goal by Hedman (Filppula, Killorn)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Purcell, Killorn, Hedman, Sustr · CAR Gleason, Harrison, Semin, Gerbe, Staal

  25. P1 16:47Shot by Tlusty, saved by Bishop
  26. P1 17:25Shot by Brewer, saved by Peters
  27. P1 19:05Shot by Staal, saved by Bishop
  28. P1 19:11Shot by Faulk, saved by Bishop
  29. P1 19:26Shot by Sekera, saved by Bishop
  30. P1 19:54Shot by Gudas, saved by Peters
  31. P1 19:57Shot by St. Louis, saved by Peters
  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 2:04Shot by Thompson, saved by Peters
  35. P2 2:17Shot by Brown, saved by Peters
  36. P2 3:37Shot by Palat, saved by Peters
  37. P2 6:30Shot by Hedman, saved by Peters
  38. P2 7:46Shot by Johnson, saved by Peters
  39. P2 8:48Bellemore: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Purcell, Killorn, Gudas · CAR Ruutu, Gleason, Staal, Bellemore, Skinner

  40. P2 9:31Shot by Filppula, saved by Peters5v4
  41. P2 10:11Goal by Tlusty (Staal, Hainsey)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Carle, Johnson, Panik, Gudas, Palat · CAR Hainsey, Gleason, Staal, Tlusty

  42. P2 10:50Shot by Salo, saved by Peters
  43. P2 10:52Shot by St. Louis, saved by Peters
  44. P2 11:29Shot by Carle, saved by Peters
  45. P2 12:51Shot by Gleason, saved by Bishop
  46. P2 13:10Shot by Staal, saved by Bishop
  47. P2 13:46Shot by Staal, saved by Bishop
  48. P2 14:09Shot by Semin, saved by Bishop
  49. P2 15:06Shot by Tlusty, saved by Bishop
  50. P2 15:46Shot by Bowman, saved by Bishop
  51. P2 15:56Shot by Dvorak, saved by Bishop
  52. P2 16:20Shot by Purcell, saved by Peters
  53. P2 16:37Shot by Salo, saved by Peters
  54. P2 16:51Shot by Semin, saved by Bishop
  55. P2 17:03Shot by Pyatt, saved by Peters
  56. P2 17:21Shot by Skinner, saved by Bishop
  57. P2 17:53Gleason: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, Cote, Thompson, Kucherov, Brown · CAR Dvorak, Malhotra, Gleason, Bowman, Faulk

  58. P2 18:56Shot by Filppula, saved by Peters5v4
  59. P2 19:02Gudas: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Carle, Killorn, Johnson, Gudas, Kucherov · CAR Hainsey, Staal, Tlusty, Bellemore

  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 0:52Shot by Sekera, saved by Bishop4v5
  63. P3 1:24Shot by Semin, saved by Bishop
  64. P3 2:11Shot by Killorn, saved by Peters
  65. P3 3:59Shot by Killorn, saved by Peters
  66. P3 4:05Shot by Carle, saved by Peters
  67. P3 5:11Shot by Bellemore, saved by Bishop
  68. P3 5:19Shot by Bellemore, saved by Bishop
  69. P3 6:49Staal: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Carle, Johnson, Gudas, Palat · CAR Gleason, Semin, Sekera, Gerbe, Staal

  70. P3 7:56Goal by St. Louis (Hedman, Filppula)5v4+26 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Filppula, Purcell, Hedman · CAR Dvorak, Malhotra, Sekera, Faulk

  71. P3 10:43Shot by Purcell, saved by Peters
  72. P3 11:12Shot by Thompson, saved by Peters
  73. P3 11:23Shot by Kucherov, saved by Peters
  74. P3 11:42Shot by Panik, saved by Peters
  75. P3 11:49Shot by Pyatt, saved by Peters
  76. P3 11:40Shot by Pyatt, saved by Peters
  77. P3 12:30Shot by Faulk, saved by Bishop
  78. P3 12:34Shot by Nash, saved by Bishop
  79. P3 12:37Shot by Faulk, saved by Bishop
  80. P3 13:49Shot by Carle, saved by Peters
  81. P3 14:35Shot by Thompson, saved by Peters
  82. P3 14:43Shot by Cote, saved by Peters
  83. P3 15:29Shot by St. Louis, saved by Peters
  84. P3 16:13Shot by Gudas, saved by Peters
  85. P3 16:53Shot by Brown, saved by Peters
  86. P3 17:23Shot by Palat, saved by Peters
  87. P3 18:31Shot by Gerbe, saved by Bishop
  88. P3 0:00Period end
  89. OT 0:00Period start
  90. OT 1:35Shot by Skinner, saved by Bishop4v4
  91. OT 2:16Goal by Gudas (Thompson)4v4+51 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Carle, Thompson, Panik, Gudas · CAR Hainsey, Gleason, Staal, Skinner

  92. OT 2:16Period end
  93. OT 2:16Final