Sat, Dec 21, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 79% of the time.
73%
14%
TBL winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Ruutu–Staal–Skinner | Semin–Gerbe–Staal | Dvorak–Malhotra–Bowman | Dwyer–Tlusty–Nash | Sekera–Faulk | Hainsey–Bellemore | Gleason–Harrison | Hainsey–Gleason | Gleason–Bellemore | Gleason–Faulk | Hainsey–Faulk | Hainsey–Sekera | Gleason–Sekera | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis–Johnson–Palat | 2:370.15–0.03 | 4:420.00–0.29 | 2:520.10–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 5:350.04–0.30 | 3:230.32–0.12 | 0:310.10–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:520.02–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||
| Filppula–Purcell–Killorn | 4:000.05–0.03 | 3:280.23–0.02 | 1:060.00–0.15 | 1:430.07–0.00 | 3:070.17–0.02 | 2:080.04–0.00 | 1:420.10–0.00 | 2:260.11–0.12 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.07 | ||
| Thompson–Kucherov–Brown | 4:070.23–0.03 | 1:120.06–0.02 | 1:360.13–0.03 | 1:450.26–0.04 | 3:510.38–0.09 | 2:310.00–0.01 | 1:490.13–0.16 | 0:330.05–0.00 | |||||
| Pyatt–Killorn–Panik | 0:540.00–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.06 | 0:350.00–0.02 | 1:130.00–0.02 | |||||||||
| Filppula–Pyatt–Panik | 1:030.44–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.22 | 0:390.44–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.22 | ||||||||
| St. Louis–Pyatt–Panik | 0:510.06–0.04 | 1:070.11–0.04 | |||||||||||
| Pyatt–Panik–Kucherov | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.02 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.02 | |||||||||
| Carle–Gudas | 9:150.55–0.10 | 3:030.08–0.05 | 0:410.00–0.09 | 2:280.02–0.06 | 5:460.45–0.25 | 5:100.28–0.02 | 1:570.02–0.03 | 2:230.13–0.12 | 1:020.05–0.00 | ||||
| Hedman–Sustr | 2:070.06–0.06 | 2:450.14–0.13 | 3:250.18–0.22 | 2:470.18–0.01 | 2:340.06–0.16 | 0:330.08–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.22 | ||||||
| Salo–Hedman | 1:200.08–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 1:430.00–0.00 | 2:200.00–0.00 | 1:290.05–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.13 | 0:420.00–0.01 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||
| Salo–Cote | 0:350.10–0.00 | 2:040.44–0.08 | 0:520.09–0.02 | 0:560.19–0.00 | 1:080.44–0.03 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:320.04–0.07 | ||||||
| Brewer–Sustr | 0:510.00–0.03 | 1:240.10–0.00 | 0:480.05–0.00 | 1:230.10–0.03 | 0:450.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Cote–Hedman | 1:330.13–0.02 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:350.13–0.02 | ||||||||||
| Salo–Brewer | 1:210.00–0.17 | 1:110.00–0.17 | |||||||||||
| Brewer–Cote | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:520.02–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Cote–Carle | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Justin FaulkCAR | 36 | 29:23 | 0:49 | 1:25 | 4 | 6 |
 Andrej SekeraCAR | 33 | 28:39 | 0:52 | 1:50 | 5 | 6 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 30 | 26:55 | 0:54 | 1:25 | 12 | 3 |
 Ron HainseyCAR | 30 | 25:29 | 0:51 | 1:36 | 2 | 8 |
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 29 | 24:52 | 0:51 | 2:18 | 6 | 3 |
 Matt CarleTBL | 28 | 23:33 | 0:50 | 1:57 | 5 | 4 |
 Radko GudasTBL | 26 | 22:34 | 0:52 | 1:57 | 5 | 4 |
 Valtteri FilppulaTBL | 25 | 21:30 | 0:52 | 1:19 | 10 | 3 |
 Sami SaloTBL | 25 | 20:17 | 0:49 | 1:22 | 7 | 2 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 23 | 20:06 | 0:52 | 1:27 | 10 | 2 |
 Brett BellemoreCAR | 25 | 19:58 | 0:48 | 1:36 | 1 | 8 |
 Eric StaalCAR | 30 | 19:55 | 0:40 | 1:25 | 5 | 4 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 24 | 19:08 | 0:48 | 1:19 | 4 | 2 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 24 | 18:00 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 8 | 3 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 27 | 17:56 | 0:40 | 1:10 | 3 | 4 |
 Jeff SkinnerCAR | 25 | 17:45 | 0:43 | 1:25 | 5 | 2 |
 Tuomo RuutuCAR | 25 | 17:09 | 0:41 | 1:19 | 5 | 2 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 23 | 16:59 | 0:44 | 1:17 | 2 | 3 |
 Tim GleasonCAR | 27 | 16:20 | 0:36 | 1:12 | 1 | 8 |
 Alexander SeminCAR | 24 | 15:54 | 0:40 | 1:21 | 3 | 3 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 21 | 15:01 | 0:43 | 1:19 | 6 | 2 |
 Patrick DwyerCAR | 23 | 14:22 | 0:37 | 1:09 | 2 | 4 |
 Nathan GerbeCAR | 20 | 14:20 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 3 | 1 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 19 | 13:39 | 0:43 | 1:27 | 3 | 5 |
 Manny MalhotraCAR | 21 | 13:34 | 0:39 | 1:07 | 0 | 13 |
 Andrej SustrTBL | 18 | 13:33 | 0:45 | 1:25 | 5 | 1 |
 Radek DvorakCAR | 19 | 12:45 | 0:40 | 1:18 | 0 | 10 |
 JT BrownTBL | 18 | 12:40 | 0:42 | 1:24 | 3 | 2 |
 Jiri TlustyCAR | 21 | 12:27 | 0:36 | 0:55 | 1 | 3 |
 Riley NashCAR | 18 | 10:05 | 0:34 | 1:11 | 2 | 0 |
 Richard PanikTBL | 14 | 9:46 | 0:42 | 1:24 | 6 | 2 |
 Drayson BowmanCAR | 15 | 9:33 | 0:38 | 1:18 | 0 | 7 |
 Jean-Philippe CoteTBL | 16 | 9:28 | 0:36 | 1:05 | 5 | 1 |
 Tom PyattTBL | 13 | 8:32 | 0:39 | 1:24 | 6 | 1 |
 Eric BrewerTBL | 13 | 8:32 | 0:39 | 1:19 | 2 | 2 |
 Jay HarrisonCAR | 7 | 4:23 | 0:38 | 1:05 | 0 | 2 |