Sat, Dec 21, 2013·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 79% of the time.
73%
14%
TBL winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29:23 | 0.34 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28:39 | 0.12 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 25:29 | 0.00 | 25.2% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:58 | 0.03 | 16.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:55 | 0.02 | 16.2% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:56 | 0.45 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:45 | 0.12 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:09 | 0.05 | 25.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:20 | 0.02 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:54 | 0.08 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:22 | 0.00 | 41.6% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:20 | 0.09 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:34 | 0.00 | 20.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:45 | 0.09 | 16.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 12:27 | 0.20 | 49.5% | +33.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:05 | 0.05 | 45.2% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:33 | 0.06 | 19.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:23 | 0.02 | 41.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 50 | 47 | 3 | .940 | 3.52 | +0.5 | 62:16 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 26:55 | 0.18 | 60.5% | +42.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24:52 | 0.68 | 69.3% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 23:33 | 0.32 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22:34 | 0.22 | 71.1% | +51.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 21:30 | 0.21 | 71.8% | +42.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:17 | 0.10 | 72.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:06 | 0.11 | 75.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:08 | 0.06 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:00 | 0.12 | 70.3% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:59 | 0.22 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:01 | 0.20 | 70.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 13:39 | 0.29 | 75.3% | +51.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:33 | 0.03 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:40 | 0.19 | 72.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:46 | 0.08 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:28 | 0.03 | 85.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 8:32 | 0.47 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:32 | 0.02 | 55.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 1.71 | −0.3 | 62:15 |