Tue, Jan 28, 2014·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 70% of the time.
22%
8%
8%
62%
TOR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 25:24 | 0.31 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 24:29 | 0.38 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 23:33 | 0.17 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:07 | 0.13 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:51 | 0.07 | 53.6% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19:58 | 0.29 | 72.3% | +39.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:47 | 0.13 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:37 | 0.02 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:18 | 0.02 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:25 | 0.20 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:20 | 0.16 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:25 | 0.12 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:52 | 0.19 | 59.8% | +25.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:55 | 0.41 | 66.8% | +25.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:53 | 0.00 | 42.9% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10:16 | 0.32 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:12 | 0.01 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:16 | 0.00 | 12.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 1.84 | −1.2 | 58:22 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 24:19 | 0.08 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:31 | 0.14 | 42.0% | +40.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:27 | 0.00 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:07 | 0.17 | 44.8% | +40.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:49 | 0.12 | 43.1% | +40.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:45 | 0.04 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:51 | 0.09 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:58 | 0.19 | 36.7% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:35 | 0.00 | 30.9% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:33 | 0.05 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 18:14 | 0.35 | 39.2% | +35.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:38 | 0.02 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 13:56 | 0.24 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:59 | 0.10 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:44 | 0.10 | 70.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:35 | 0.10 | 79.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:10 | 0.00 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:52 | 0.05 | 54.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 42 | 40 | 2 | .952 | 2.95 | +0.9 | 59:57 |